APPLE – Pattern and Fibonacci in Supply Chain Crunch Shadow…

APPLE  –  Back  Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2020

Last of 2020

24.12.2020 – APPLE – Next iLevel – Cupertino EV…

2021

8.02.2021 – APPLE – Apple Car Speculation…

19.07.2021 – APPLE – iPhone Optimism Warning…

11.09.2021 – APPLE – App Store Payment Decision Strike…

15.09.2021 APPLE – iPhone event 2021 Motive…

Apple Main Motives

Apple Disappointing Results

Apple posted $83.4 billion in revenue, up 29% year over year, and net income of $20.6 billion (or quarterly earnings per diluted share of $1.24). Wall Street analysts on average had pegged Apple revenue to come in at $84.85 billion and EPS at $1.24.

Apple quarterly sales miss for first time since 2018 amid supply constraints

Apple even bigger Supply-chain Problems during last quarter – product constraints cut sales by about $6 billion

Supply Crunch hurts iPhone Sales

and

Nasdaq Bull New Dynamic Strike

Move above/in Master Psychological Key Levels

Nasdaq 100 > 15.800

Nasdaq Comp. to 15.500

Nasdaq 100 and Nasdaq Comp Fresh October ATH

with

Secular Motives

still Active

Global Trade Boom and Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street RUN –  Major Indexes S&P500 DJIA special Nasdaq

with

Present Bull Strike – Fresh October ATH S&P500  DJIA and Nasdaq 100  Nasdaq Comp.

on

Wall Street Earnings Season

but with

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

clear example

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

US DEBT Limit Risk

China Real Estate Evergrande Crisis Contagion RISK OFF WAVE

and

Warning Symptoms

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk

Rising Probability

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating Risk 

Latest Warning Symptoms Bear Harder Contraction Rising Risk

BUBBLE WARNINGS

Peter Schiff Warns of Irrational Exuberance in the Stock Market Casino

Stanley Druckenmiller Warns Stock Market is in an ‘Absolute Raging Mania’

Volatility Storm Rising Risk

” Sugar High ” Over – Nomura Warning

US Economy Has Entered Slowdown Phase

Gartman The Bull Market Has Ended And The Bear Market Has Begun

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis

Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime

Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts

Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.

“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market

BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell

Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession

” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

Palantir Gold Bet Warning

Preparing for Future More Black Swans

BLACK SWANS

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

Secular Motives

Wall Street Bull Wave  –  October Fresh ATH S&P500 and DJIA Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Comp.

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

vs

Stagflation Rising Risk

Global Debt Rising

US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket

COVID Variants Waves

Now DELTA and DELTA Plus

Fed vs ECB Central Motive

Fed and ECB Mega ”Central Printing“

European QE > US QE

Fed No Taper and ECB No Taper for Now

Fed

Fed Minutes

Fed officials reviewed plans to begin reducing bond-buying stimulus program in November

Fed Meeting Hawkish Scenario

Taper Start November 2021 – Ending Mid-2022 , Signals Rate-Hike In 2022

Finally for Now

Inflation and Stagflation Fears

US Macro and Taper ” Ping Pong ”

Fed Time Game in ” Printing World ”

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia Continuation – from Dovish to Hawkish

ECB

ECB Verdict & Lagarde Conference Impact

Inflation Magic Word

Finally

ECB Dovish  –  FX Market Dovish

on

European QE Story

with Earlier

MORE EUROPEAN QE Scenario

ECB is studying a new bond-buying plan

New program would complement 2015 quantitative easing

ECB to Weigh QE Boost when Covid Bond Buys End

ECB Lagarde Verdict

more Dovish than Hawkish Strike

Not Eurozone Tapering vs Recalibrating PEPP ( Pandemic Stimulus )

and

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Bull Strong Dynamic Strike Back

Reactivation Bull Rescue Defense Lower Support Zone Key Level 93.50 

by

Back from Lower 93.30 Zone above 93.50

ATA Conclusion

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave  Saved

Cancel Last Bearish Reversal Action

Now dominating

Bull Strong Move above Psychological Key Level 94.00

after Yesterday

First Bull Signals – Back above 93.30 and 93.50

Active Zone Key Levels  94.00  – 94.30-94.50

( EOW-EOM-October 94.10 )

First…ATA  from  15.09.2021

Rising Risk of Skyrocket Fly End 

with Activated

Bear Strike Back

from

Upper Edge – Key Level 158 USD Smaller Ending Diagonal

ATA Investment Conclusion

all time special focus on

Present Apple Active Zone 

100-135   vs   150-155-160  USD 

and

Important Psychological Key Level 150 USD

Second…Present Apple  Situation 

APPLE  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motives…

Second…Market Technical Patterns…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Quarterly & Monthly View 

First of All

All Time High – September 2021

after SPLIT 4 : 1 

Key Level 158 USD Zone 

( stricte 157.26 USD )

After

Mega Long Term Strong Bull Trend  New Stopped Strike  since January 2021

Fight in Higher Psychological Key Levels 150-160 USD Zone

Test Key Fib Ext Zone – Key Level 160 USD

still

Rising Risk of Skyrocket Fly End 

with Active

Bull vs Bear Hard Fighting

First…in Psychological Key Level 150 USD Zone

Second…inside Smaller Ending Diagonal

between

Upper Edge – Key Level 160 USD

Lower Edge – Key Level 135 USD

with

Quarterly Q4 Bull Candlestick for Now

vs

Quarterly Q3 Bearish Shooting Star

and

Monthly October Bull Candlestick

vs

Monthly September Bear Candlestick

with

still Active MACD Quarterly and Monthly Buy Signals

vs

MACD Monthly Sell Risk

Apple  Smart Money Battlefield  

100-135   vs   150-160  USD 

Psychological Key Level 150 USD

ATA Investment Conclusion

all time special focus on

Present Apple Active Zone 

100-135   vs   150-160  USD 

and

Important Psychological Key Level 150 USD

still carefully Research

Present Active Smaller Ending Diagonal

with

SM  Final Reaction 

Now…EOM – November

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First..EOM – November  and  Finally…EOQ – Q4/2021 

APPLE  Monthly  Charts

8.11.2019  ( Half US Session )

APPLE - M - FIB EXT
APPLE - M - FIB EXT - Focus

24.12.2019 – EOD

APPLE - M - FIB EXT
APPLE - M - FIB EXT - Focus

7.02.2020 – EOW 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT - Focus

5.05.2020  –  EOD 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

5.06.2020 – EOW 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

19.06.2020 – EOW 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

23.06.2020 – EOD 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

10.07.2020 – EOW 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

31.07.2020 – EOM 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

11.08.2020 – EOD 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

19.08.2020 -EOD 

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

28.08.2020 – EOD

APPLE - M - FIB EXT

APPLE  Quarterly Chart

after SPLIT 4 : 1 

31.08.2020 – EOM 

APPLE - Q - StockCharts

APPLE  Quarterly & Monthly Charts

11.09.2020 – EOD

Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-q-stockcharts-1.png
Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-m-fib-ext-focus.png

16.09.2020 – EOD

Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-q-stockcharts-2.png
Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-m-fib-ext-focus-1.png

21.09.2020 – EOD

Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-q-stockcharts-3.png
Obrazek posiada pusty atrybut alt; plik o nazwie apple-m-fib-ext-focus-2.png

12.10.2020 – EOD

30.10.2020 -EOM

23.12.2020 – EOD

5.02.2021 – EOD

16.07.2021 – EOD

10.09.2021 – EOW

14.09.2021 – EOD

29.10.2021 – EOM

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