MICROSOFT – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
2019
23.04.2019 – MICROSOFT – Secular View beyond Tech Bulls Space Imaginations…
16.07.2019 – MICROSOFT – Tech Bulls Space Flight to Fibonacci Extensions …
7.11.2019 – MICROSOFT – Tech Bulls Hitting Secular Fibonacci Extension…
2020
26.12.2020 – MICROSOFT – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extension – Update December 2019…
10.02.2020 – MICROSOFT – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extension – Update February 2020…
6.05.2020 – MICROSOFT – Tech Bulls Secular Fibonacci Extension – Update May 2020…
20.07.2020 – MICROSOFT – MASTERMIND FIBONACCI PLAY…
5.08.2020 – MICROSOFT – TikTok Game…
8.09.2020 – MICROSOFT – Fibonacci in Action…
29.10.2020 – MICROSOFT – No Fibonacci Coincidences …
2021
26.08.2021 – MICROSOFT – Bull Skyrocket inside Bear Pattern…
MICROSOFT Main Motives
Microsoft Profits Strike
Topped 20 Billion USD for the first time ever last quarter
booming demand for cloud computing services
cloud demand lifted overall sales to a record 45.3 Billion USD
and
Bulls vs Bear Hard Fight and Rising Volatility
after Latest
Nasdaq Bull New Strike Back
Back above Master Psychological Key Level 15.000
Nasdaq 100 and Nasdaq Comp Fresh October ATH
with
Secular Motives
still Active
Global Trade Boom and Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street RUN – Major Indexes S&P500 DJIA special Nasdaq
with
Present Bull Strike – Fresh October ATH S&P500 , DJIA and Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Comp.
on
Wall Street Earnings Season
but with
STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream
clear example
Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror
US DEBT Limit Risk
China Real Estate Evergrande Crisis Contagion RISK OFF WAVE
and
Warning Symptoms
Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating
RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk
Rising Probability
Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating Risk
Latest Warning Symptoms & Bear Harder Contraction Rising Risk
BUBBLE WARNINGS
Peter Schiff Warns of Irrational Exuberance in the Stock Market Casino
Stanley Druckenmiller Warns Stock Market is in an ‘Absolute Raging Mania’
Volatility Storm Rising Risk
” Sugar High ” Over – Nomura Warning
US Economy Has Entered Slowdown Phase
Gartman The Bull Market Has Ended And The Bear Market Has Begun
Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror
Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis
Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime
Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts
Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.
“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market
BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell
Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession
” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning
Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning
‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash
Stagflationary Debt Crisis
10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…
Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning
” Epic Bubble ”
“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning
” Mother of All Crashes ”
Rob Subbaraman Nomura
Cassandra Warning Model
Palantir Gold Bet Warning
Preparing for Future More Black Swans
BLACK SWANS
Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
Secular Motives
Wall Street Bull Wave – October Fresh ATH S&P500 and DJIA Nasdaq 100 Nasdaq Comp.
Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street
Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by Main Central Banks – specially Fed
Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns
vs
Stagflation Rising Risk
Global Debt Rising
US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket
COVID Variants Waves
Now DELTA and DELTA Plus
Fed vs ECB Central Motive
Fed and ECB Mega ”Central Printing“
European QE > US QE
Fed No Taper and ECB No Taper for Now
Fed
Fed Minutes
Fed officials reviewed plans to begin reducing bond-buying stimulus program in November
Fed Meeting Hawkish Scenario
Taper Start November 2021 – Ending Mid-2022 , Signals Rate-Hike In 2022
Finally for Now
Inflation and Stagflation Fears
US Macro and Taper ” Ping Pong ”
Fed Time Game in ” Printing World ”
Fed Verbal Schizophrenia Continuation – from Dovish to Hawkish
ECB
ECB Verdict & Lagarde Conference Impact
Inflation Magic Word
ECB Dovish vs FX Market Move Hawkish
with Earlier
MORE EUROPEAN QE Scenario
ECB is studying a new bond-buying plan
New program would complement 2015 quantitative easing
ECB to Weigh QE Boost when Covid Bond Buys End
ECB Lagarde Verdict
more Dovish than Hawkish Strike
Not Eurozone Tapering vs Recalibrating PEPP ( Pandemic Stimulus )
and
ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
( DXY Futures )
Dollar Index
Bear Hard Strike Back
Fallen Bull Rescue Defense Lower Support Zone Key Level 93.50
ATA Conclusion
Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave Bearish Reversal Rising Risk
after Latest
Bears Hard Action
First…Bear Reversal Pattern 2B-Key Level 94.50
Second…Dynamic Shot Down under Master Support 94
Third… New Dynamic Bear Strike under Lower 93.50
Now dominating
Bull vs Bear Hard Fight under 93.50
after
Test 93.20 and Back above 93.30
Active Zone Key Levels 93.30 – 93.50
( Now 93.40 )
First…ATA from 26.08.2021
” Special Focus on
Microsoft Smart Money Battlefield
300 vs 338-350 USD
with
Master Psychological Key Level 300 USD “
Second…Present MICROSOFT Situation
MICROSOFT SECULAR SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
The Hardest is to be Patient
Trend is Your Friend
Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante
Charts Worth more than 1000 Words
Charts have No Temperature
Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante
Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal
Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast
Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…
First…Key Master Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
First of All
After
Active Defence Master Psychological Key Level 300 USD Zone
Secular Bull Wave still Active
Fresh All Time High – 330 USD Zone – October 2021
( 326.10 USD )
vs
Secular Strong Bull Trend Bearish Reversal Rising Risk
Now dominating
Quarterly View
Pattern Inception
Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal in Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal
Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal – Upper Edge – Key Level 330 USD Zone
Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal – Upper Edge – Key Level 350 USD Zone
Test
Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal
Upper Edge – Key Level 330 USD Zone for Now
Monthly View
still Active
Bull Long Term Channel – Upper Edge – Key Level 360 USD Zone
Close to Test First…Higher Major Target Fibonacci Extension
340 USD Zone ( 5.388% )
Ahead of Second…Higher Major Target Fibonacci Extension
425 USD Zone ( 6.854% )
with
Quarterly View
still Activate Risk of Key Bear Reversal Pattern
Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal
Upper Edge – Key Level 330 USD Zone for Now
with
Open Scenario
Test
Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal – Upper Edge – Key Level 350 USD Zone
Monthly View
Open Scenario
Test
Bull Long Term Channel Upper Edge – Key Level 360 USD Zone
with
Key Psychological Support
Master Psychological Key Level 300 USD
with
Key Monthly MA – Support
MACD Quarterly and Monthly Buy Signals
Quarterly Q4 and Monthly October Bull Candlesticks
vs
Quarterly Q3 Shooting Star Last Warning
ATA Investment Conclusion
still carefully Research
Confirmation or Cancel
Master Trend Reversal Pattern
Quarterly
Smaller Inverted Ending Diagonal
Upper Edge – Key Level 330 USD Zone for Now
Bigger Inverted Ending Diagonal
Upper Edge – Key Level 350 USD Zone
Monthly
Bull Long Term Channel
Upper Edge – Key Level 360 USD Zone
Special Focus on
Microsoft Smart Money Battlefield
300 vs 338- 350 – 360 USD
with
Master Psychological Key Level 300 USD
and
Final SM Reaction
First…EOM – Now October and Finally…EOQ – Q4/2021
ATA Wall Street Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE …!!!
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction….
First…EOM – Now October and Finally…EOQ – Q4/2021
Microsoft Monthly Charts
23.04.2019
16.07.2019
( Starting Phase American Session )
Microsoft Quarterly & Monthly Charts
6.11.2019 – EOD
24.12.2019 – EOD
10.02.2020 ( Second Half US Session )
5.05.2020 – EOD
17.07.2020 – EOW
4.08.2020 – EOD
4.09.2020 – EOD
27.10.2020 – EOD
28.10.2020 – EOD
25.08.2021 – EOD
28.10.2021 – EOD
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 