DB Agriculture Fund – Today on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
2020
14.04.2020 – DB Agriculture Fund – Secular View in USD, Climate & Coronavirus Shadows …
21.10.2020 – DB Agriculture Fund – Secular View – Bulls Strike Back…
DB Agriculture Fund Present Main Motives
Global Shocks Era and Climate Changes
Food Shock
Inflation Rising
with
Secular Motives
still Active
Global Trade Boom and Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street RUN – Major Indexes S&P500 DJIA special Nasdaq
with
Present Bull Strike
after Earlier
Bear vs Bull Fight
on
Wall Street Earnings Season
STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream
clear example
Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror
US DEBT Limit Risk
China Real Estate Evergrande Crisis Contagion RISK OFF WAVE
and
Warning Symptoms
Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating
RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk
Rising Probability
Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating Risk
Latest Warning Symptoms & Bear Harder Contraction Rising Risk
BUBBLE WARNINGS
Gartman The Bull Market Has Ended And The Bear Market Has Begun
Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror
Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis
Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime
Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts
Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.
“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market
BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell
Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession
” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning
Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning
‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash
Stagflationary Debt Crisis
10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…
Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning
” Epic Bubble ”
“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning
” Mother of All Crashes ”
Rob Subbaraman Nomura
Cassandra Warning Model
Palantir Gold Bet Warning
Preparing for Future More Black Swans
BLACK SWANS
Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
Secular Motives
Wall Street Bull Wave – September ATH
Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street
Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by Main Central Banks – specially Fed
Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns
vs
Stagflation Rising Risk
Global Debt Rising
US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket
COVID Variants Waves
Fed vs ECB Central Motive
Fed and ECB Mega ”Central Printing“
European QE > US QE
Fed No Taper and ECB No Taper for Now
Fed
Fed Minutes
Fed officials reviewed plans to begin reducing bond-buying stimulus program in November
Fed Meeting Hawkish Scenario
Taper Start November 2021 – Ending Mid-2022 , Signals Rate-Hike In 2022
Finally for Now
Inflation and Stagflation Fears
US Macro and Taper ” Ping Pong ”
Fed Time Game in ” Printing World ”
Fed Verbal Schizophrenia Continuation – from Dovish to Hawkish
ECB
MORE EUROPEAN QE Scenario
ECB is studying a new bond-buying plan
New program would complement 2015 quantitative easing
ECB to Weigh QE Boost when Covid Bond Buys End
ECB Lagarde Verdict
more Dovish than Hawkish Strike
Not Eurozone Tapering vs Recalibrating PEPP ( Pandemic Stimulus )
with
ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
( DXY Futures )
Dollar Index
Bear Contraction Stopped
Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave trying Back on FX Truck
by
Move above Key Level 94
with
Present Continuation
Short Term Dynamic Bull vs Bear Fight above 94
Active Zone Key Levels 94 – 94.30
( 94.05 )
First…ATA from 21.10.2020
” Now dominating
Dynamic Bull Contraction
with
Present Testing Master Psychological Key Level 15 USD
Upper Edge Ending Diagonal ”
Second…Present DB Agriculture Fund Situation
AGRICULTURE FUND SECULAR PERSPECTIVE
ATA MARKET MODEL IN SECULAR ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
The Hardest is to be Patient
Trend is Your Friend
Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante
Charts Worth more than 1000 Words
Charts have No Temperature
Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante
Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal
Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast
Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
Monthly View
First of All All Time
Present Active Range
18 – 20 ( Line Chart )
18– 20 ( Candlestick Chart )
with
Present Master Psychological Key Level 20 USD
ATA DB Agriculture Fund Secular Research
After
First…Created
Major All Time High Top before Lehman
Second…Activated
Major Bear Reversal Pattern – M – 2008 year
2B Pattern – 2011 year
and
Secular
Bear Channel ( Line Chart )
Ending Diagonal ( Candlestick Chart )
with
Bull Strike November 2020
above
Upper Edge Bear Channel Key Level 15 USD
Upper Edge Ending Diagonal Key Level 15.30 USD
and
Test Higher Psychological Key Level 20 USD Zone May 2021
Now dominating
Bull Wave Stopped and Consolidation
Testing Fib Ret 30% Bear Wave started March 2011
with
Short Term Up vs Down Strikes in Master Psychological Key Level 20 USD
and
Monthly Candlesticks Upper Shadows since May 2021
MACD Monthly Buy Signal
DB Agriculture Fund Battlefield
15– 18 vs 20 USD
ATA Investment Conclusion
special focus on
Present Master Psychological Key Level 20 USD
with
Fib Ret Both Bear Waves
Bear Wave started March 2011
Bear Wave started March 2008 Lehman
ATA Wall Street Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE
vs
MAJOR BOTTOMS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS
with
PANIC PHASE…!!!
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
N- TIMES
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
&
Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…EOM – October
DB Agriculture Fund Monthly Charts
9.04.2020 – EOD
20.10.2020 – EOD
15.10.2021 – EOD
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 