Baltic Dry Index – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is a shipping and trade index created by the London-based Baltic Exchange.
BDI measures changes in the cost of transporting…
ATA Continuation of…
2015
21.11.2015 – Baltic Dry Index – True Picture vs Legend of Global Recovery
2016
12.01.2016 – Baltic Dry Index – HALTED GLOBAL FOREGIN TRADE…
2021
12.08.2021 – Baltic Dry Index – Rising Risk of End Shipping Trade Euphory…
19.09.2021 – Baltic Dry Index – Danger of “Red-Hot Shipping” on Horizon…
ATA Following…
Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF
16.10.2021 – Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF – Bulls Ecstasy Over…
MAERSK
15.10.2021 – MAERSK – Bear Perfect Strike after Shipping Euphory Top…
Baltic Dry Index Master Motives
Baltic Dry Index Bears Hard Dynamic Contraction
on
Mainstream Perfect Motive Big Cargo Crunch
and
Maersk CEO Verbal Strike
No Sign of Freight Market Easing this year
No Indication that the Current Red-Hot Shipping Market will lose steam this year
with
Secular Motives
still Active
Global Trade Boom and Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street RUN – Major Indexes S&P500 DJIA special Nasdaq
with
Present Bull Strike
after Earlier
Bear vs Bull Fight
on
Wall Street Earnings Season
STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream
clear example
Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror
US DEBT Limit Risk
China Real Estate Evergrande Crisis Contagion RISK OFF WAVE
and
Warning Symptoms
Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating
RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk
Rising Probability
Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating Risk
Latest Warning Symptoms & Bear Harder Contraction Rising Risk
BUBBLE WARNINGS
Gartman The Bull Market Has Ended And The Bear Market Has Begun
Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror
Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis
Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime
Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts
Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.
“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market
BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell
Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession
” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning
Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning
‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash
Stagflationary Debt Crisis
10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…
Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning
” Epic Bubble ”
“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning
” Mother of All Crashes ”
Rob Subbaraman Nomura
Cassandra Warning Model
Palantir Gold Bet Warning
Preparing for Future More Black Swans
BLACK SWANS
Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
Secular Motives
Wall Street Bull Wave – September ATH
Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street
Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by Main Central Banks – specially Fed
Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns
vs
Stagflation Rising Risk
Global Debt Rising
US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket
COVID Variants Waves
Fed vs ECB Central Motive
Fed and ECB Mega ”Central Printing“
European QE > US QE
Fed No Taper and ECB No Taper for Now
Fed
Fed Minutes
Fed officials reviewed plans to begin reducing bond-buying stimulus program in November
Fed Meeting Hawkish Scenario
Taper Start November 2021 – Ending Mid-2022 , Signals Rate-Hike In 2022
Finally for Now
Inflation and Stagflation Fears
US Macro and Taper ” Ping Pong ”
Fed Time Game in ” Printing World ”
Fed Verbal Schizophrenia Continuation – from Dovish to Hawkish
ECB
MORE EUROPEAN QE Scenario
ECB is studying a new bond-buying plan
New program would complement 2015 quantitative easing
ECB to Weigh QE Boost when Covid Bond Buys End
ECB Lagarde Verdict
more Dovish than Hawkish Strike
Not Eurozone Tapering vs Recalibrating PEPP ( Pandemic Stimulus )
with
ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
( DXY Futures )
Dollar Index
still Active
Bear Contraction
of Last
Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave
by
First…Bear Reversal Pattern 2B-Key Level 94.50
Second…Dynamic Shot Down to Master Support 94 Zone
Bear Hard Contraction to 94 Zone
after Earlier
Bull Strike Stopped in Higher Psychological Key Level 94.50 Zone
with
Present Continuation
Short Term Dynamic Bull vs Bear Fight in 94 Zone
Active Zone Key Levels 93.80 – 94
( 93.96 )
First…ATA from 19.09.2021
” Now still dominating
Baltic Dry Index Bulls vs Bears Hard Dynamic Fighting
with
Bull Strike above Inverted Ending Diagonal – Key Level 3800
ATA Investment Conclusion
special focus on
Present Active Range Psychological Key Levels 3800–4000 vs 4300 ”
Present Baltic Dry Index Situation
BDI LONG TERM SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
The Hardest is to be Patient
Trend is Your Friend
Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante
Charts Worth more than 1000 Words
Charts have No Temperature
Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante
Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal
Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast
Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…
First…Key Master Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
Weekly View
First of All
ATH 5500 Zone – October 2021
( stricte 5650 )
After
First…Formed Major Low – Key Level 300 – February 2016
Second…Activated Dynamic Bull Wave
from 300 Zone ( February 2016 ) to 1250 Zone ( November 2016 )
and
Formed
Long Term Inverted Ending Diagonal 2016 – August 2021
with
Last…Bear – Bull Cycle
Bear Phase
pre Covid Bear Wave from Upper Edge Inverted Ending Diagonal
from 2500 Zone ( August 2019 ) to 400 Zone ( February 2020 )
Bull Phase
Bull Reversal Pattern in Lower Edge Inverted Ending Diagonal
W Pattern – Key Level 400 Zone ( February – May 2020 )
and
Covid Panic Bull Wave
from 400 Zone ( May 2020 ) to 3800 Zone ( August 2021 )
with
Bull Strike above Upper Edge Inverted Ending Diagonal Key Level 3800
Finally Last
Bull Wave above Higher Psychological Key Level 5.500
Test Fib Ext 2.236 – 2.414% Zone First Bull Wave from 2016 Year Low
with
New Pattern Inception
Smaller Ending Diagonal in Bigger Ending Diagonal
Bull Move above Upper Edge Small Ending Diagonal
Now dominating
Dynamic Bear Contraction from Fib Ext 2.236 – 2.414% Zone
Back
under 5.500 and 5.000
under Upper Edge Small Ending Diagonal Key Level 5250
inside this Bearish Pattern
ahead of Test
Lower Edge Small Ending Diagonal Key Level 4750
with
Rising Risk of Future Active this Bear Ending Diagonal
vs
MACD Weekly Buy Signal
ATA Investment Conclusion
special focus on
Present Active Range Key Levels 4750 – 4800 vs 5000 – 5500
and
Small Ending Diagonal
ATA Wall Street Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE
vs
MAJOR BOTTOMS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS
with
PANIC PHASE…!!!
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
N- TIMES
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
&
Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…EOW-s
Final…EOM – October
Baltic Dry Index Monthly Charts
21.11.2015
12.01.2016
Baltic Dry Index Weekly Charts
11.08.2021 – EOD
17.09.2021 – EOW
15.10.2021 – EOW
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 