Baltic Dry Index – Bear Reversal in Smart Money Play on Mainstream Big Cargo Crunch…

Baltic Dry Index – Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is a shipping and trade index created by the London-based Baltic Exchange.

BDI measures changes in the cost of transporting…

ATA Continuation of…

2015 

21.11.2015 – Baltic Dry Index – True Picture vs Legend of Global Recovery

2016

12.01.2016 – Baltic Dry Index – HALTED GLOBAL FOREGIN TRADE…

2021

12.08.2021 – Baltic Dry Index – Rising Risk of End Shipping Trade Euphory…

19.09.2021 – Baltic Dry Index – Danger of “Red-Hot Shipping” on Horizon…

ATA Following…

Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF

16.10.2021 – Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF – Bulls Ecstasy Over…

MAERSK

15.10.2021 – MAERSK – Bear Perfect Strike after Shipping Euphory Top…

Baltic Dry Index Master Motives

Baltic Dry Index  Bears Hard Dynamic Contraction

on

Mainstream Perfect Motive Big Cargo Crunch

and

Maersk CEO Verbal Strike

No Sign of Freight Market Easing this year

No Indication that the Current Red-Hot Shipping Market will lose steam this year

with

Secular Motives

still Active

Global Trade Boom and Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street RUN –  Major Indexes S&P500 DJIA special Nasdaq

with

Present Bull Strike

after Earlier

Bear vs Bull Fight

on

Wall Street Earnings Season

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

clear example

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

US DEBT Limit Risk

China Real Estate Evergrande Crisis Contagion RISK OFF WAVE

and

Warning Symptoms

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk

Rising Probability

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating Risk 

Latest Warning Symptoms Bear Harder Contraction Rising Risk

BUBBLE WARNINGS

Gartman The Bull Market Has Ended And The Bear Market Has Begun

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis

Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime

Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts

Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.

“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market

BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell

Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession

” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

Palantir Gold Bet Warning

Preparing for Future More Black Swans

BLACK SWANS

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

Secular Motives

Wall Street Bull Wave  – September ATH

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

vs

Stagflation Rising Risk

Global Debt Rising

US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket

COVID Variants Waves

Fed vs ECB Central Motive

Fed and ECB Mega ”Central Printing“

European QE > US QE

Fed No Taper and ECB No Taper for Now

Fed

Fed Minutes

Fed officials reviewed plans to begin reducing bond-buying stimulus program in November

Fed Meeting Hawkish Scenario

Taper Start November 2021 – Ending Mid-2022 , Signals Rate-Hike In 2022

Finally for Now

Inflation and Stagflation Fears

US Macro and Taper ” Ping Pong ”

Fed Time Game in ” Printing World ”

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia Continuation – from Dovish to Hawkish

ECB

MORE EUROPEAN QE Scenario

ECB is studying a new bond-buying plan

New program would complement 2015 quantitative easing

ECB to Weigh QE Boost when Covid Bond Buys End

ECB Lagarde Verdict

more Dovish than Hawkish Strike

Not Eurozone Tapering vs Recalibrating PEPP ( Pandemic Stimulus )

with

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

still Active

Bear Contraction

of Last

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave 

by

First…Bear Reversal Pattern 2B-Key Level 94.50

Second…Dynamic Shot Down to Master Support  94 Zone

Bear Hard Contraction to 94 Zone

after Earlier

Bull Strike  Stopped in Higher Psychological Key Level 94.50  Zone

with

Present Continuation

Short Term Dynamic Bull vs Bear Fight  in 94 Zone

Active Zone Key Levels  93.80 – 94  

( 93.96 )

First…ATA from  19.09.2021

” Now still dominating

Baltic Dry Index  Bulls vs Bears Hard Dynamic Fighting

with

Bull Strike above Inverted Ending Diagonal – Key Level 3800

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present Active Range Psychological Key Levels  38004000 vs 4300

Present Baltic Dry Index Situation

BDI LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Master Motives 

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Weekly View 

First of All

ATH 5500 Zone – October 2021

( stricte 5650 )

After

First…Formed Major Low – Key Level 300 – February 2016

Second…Activated Dynamic Bull Wave

from 300 Zone ( February 2016 ) to 1250 Zone November 2016 )

and

Formed 

Long Term Inverted Ending Diagonal 2016 – August 2021

with

Last…Bear – Bull Cycle

Bear Phase

pre Covid Bear Wave from Upper Edge Inverted Ending Diagonal

from 2500 Zone ( August 2019 ) to 400 Zone February 2020 )

Bull Phase

Bull Reversal Pattern in Lower Edge Inverted Ending Diagonal

W Pattern – Key Level 400 Zone February – May 2020 )

and

Covid Panic Bull Wave

from 400 Zone ( May 2020 ) to 3800 Zone August 2021 )

with

Bull Strike  above Upper Edge Inverted Ending Diagonal Key Level 3800

Finally Last

Bull Wave above Higher Psychological Key Level 5.500

Test Fib Ext 2.236 – 2.414% Zone First Bull Wave from 2016 Year Low

with

New Pattern Inception

Smaller Ending Diagonal in Bigger Ending Diagonal

Bull Move above Upper Edge Small Ending Diagonal

Now dominating

Dynamic Bear Contraction from Fib Ext 2.236 – 2.414% Zone

Back

under 5.500 and 5.000

under Upper Edge Small Ending Diagonal Key Level 5250

inside this Bearish Pattern

ahead of Test

Lower Edge Small Ending Diagonal Key Level 4750

with

Rising Risk of Future Active this Bear Ending Diagonal

vs

MACD Weekly Buy Signal 

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present Active Range  Key Levels  4750 – 4800 vs 50005500

and

Small Ending Diagonal

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE…!!!

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N- TIMES

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOW-s

Final…EOM – October

Baltic Dry Index Monthly Charts

21.11.2015

12.01.2016

Baltic Dry Index Weekly Charts

11.08.2021 – EOD

17.09.2021 – EOW

15.10.2021 – EOW

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