Sinic Holdings Group – China Properities Crisis Domino Dancing…

Sinic – Today on ATA Research Radar 

Global Master Factor

China Property Market – World Largest Asset

ATA Following…

Modern Land

12.10.2021 – Modern Land China – Next China Evergrande Crisis Domino…

Evergrande

25.09.2021 – China Evergrande Group – Saga from Silent Spark 2017 Year to Loud Mainstream Panic 2021 Year…

Fantasia

9.10.2021 – Fantasia Holdings Group – Next China Real Estate Domino Cube Fall…

Hang Seng Properities Index

10.10.2021 – Hang Seng Properities Index – No China Real Estate Catastrophe after October Golden Week…

Sinic  Master Motives

Sinic Deafult Warning

Sinic Warns of Default on 250 Million USD bond due next week

Sinic has 694 Million USD in Dollar bonds outstanding

Sinic has already missed domestic payments last month

Chinese developer Borrowing Costs for dollar junk-rated debt, soars to highest level in about a decade

Present Level Yields 17.5%

with

PBOC Central RIKS ON Action

PBOC Rescue Moves – Rescue Liquidity Injection , Injects cash into China banking system

vs

still Active Risks

China Real Estate Iceberg Syndrome Risk

Evergrande and Fantasia RISK OFF Impact to whole China Real Estate Sector

Collapse Extreme Risk

Collapse could pose Systematic Risk to China Financial System and reverberate around the world

” Next Lehman “ Risk

Evergrande and Fantasia the next Lehman Brothers Risk creating by Mainstream Media

with

Secular Motives

still Active

Global Trade Boom and Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street RUN –  Major Indexes S&P500 DJIA special Nasdaq

vs

Bear Short Term Strikes

Bear vs Bull Fighting

on

STAGFLATION Fear – 70’s Stagflation Deja Vu creating by Mainstream

clear example

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

US DEBT Limit Risk

Congress must raise debt limit by Oct. 18

Powell and Yellen Warn of ‘devastating’ impact of US debt default

China Real Estate Evergrande Crisis Contagion RISK OFF WAVE

FantasiaHoldings and Modern Land

Miss Bond Payment

and

Warning Symptoms

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk

Rising Probability

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating Risk 

Latest Warning Symptoms Bear Harder Contraction Rising Risk

BUBBLE WARNINGS

Gartman The Bull Market Has Ended And The Bear Market Has Begun

Goldman Sachs Stagflation Horror

Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis

Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime

Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts

Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.

“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market

BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell

Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession

” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

Palantir Gold Bet Warning

Preparing for Future More Black Swans

BLACK SWANS

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

Secular Motives

Wall Street Bull Wave  – September ATH

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

vs

Stagflation Rising Risk

Global Debt Rising

US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket

COVID Variants Waves

Fed vs ECB Central Motive

Fed and ECB Mega ”Central Printing“

European QE > US QE

Fed No Taper and ECB No Taper for Now

Fed

Fed Meeting Hawkish Scenario

Taper Start November 2021 – Ending Mid-2022 , Signals Rate-Hike In 2022

Finally for Now

US Macro and Taper ” Ping Pong ”

Fed Time Game in ” Printing World ”

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia Continuation – from Dovish to Hawkish

ECB

MORE EUROPEAN QE Scenario

ECB is studying a new bond-buying plan

New program would complement 2015 quantitative easing

ECB to Weigh QE Boost when Covid Bond Buys End

ECB Lagarde Verdict

more Dovish than Hawkish Strike

Not Eurozone Tapering vs Recalibrating PEPP ( Pandemic Stimulus )

with

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Now still dominating

Dollar Index Long Term Bull Wave 

Active Defence Master Support  94 Zone

Bull Strike  Stopped in Higher Psychological Key Level 94.50  Zone

with

Present

Short Term Dynamic Bear Contraction from Higher 94.50 Zone

Active Zone Key Levels  94 – 94.30  vs  94.50

( Now 94.35 )

ATA Key Tweet

Present  Sinic Situation

SINIC LONG and SHORT TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN SHORT and LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

First of All

ATH 4.50 HKD Zone – June 2021

( stricte 4.58 )

ATA Conclusion

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Risk strikes Fast

After

Activated

Weekly TopBear Reversal Pattern

2B – Key Level  4.55 HKD 

October 2020 – June 2021

Break down

Top Pattern Lower Edge – Support Key Level 4.00 HKD

Finally

Waterfall Pattern

Dynamic Fall to 0.50 HKD

with

Weekly Daily and Intraday H1 Bear Candlestick Extra Large Real Bodies

ATA  Sinic  Investment Conclusion

Focus on Present Psychological Key Level 0.50 HKD

ATA Market Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

never forget

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

EOM – Now October

Sinic  Weekly Daily and Intraday H1  Charts

20.09.2021 – EOD

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