DAX – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
2017-2018
13.08.2017 – DAX – ZWAI B PANZERFAUST…
25.09.2017 – AfD – REICH STRIKES BACK…
6.09.2018 – DAX – GERMAN EQUITY on the EDGE…
12.11.2018 – DAX – GERMAN EQUITY under the EDGE…
2019
13.01.2019 – DAX – GERMAN RISK OFF Wave…
9.05.2019 – DAX – FIGHTING in MASTER EQUATOR 12.000…
3.08.2019 – DAX – STRIKE under EQUTOUR 12.000
23.09.2019 – DAX – BULL vs BEAR MAJOR CLASH…
2020
18.01.2020 – DAX – Final Fight in Master 2017-2018 Top Zone…
30.03.2020 – DAX – German Secular View after Financial Gotterdammerung First Act…
2021
9.06.2021 – DAX – German Secular View – MAINSTREAM MEDIA FEVER…
10.09.2021 – DAX – German Secular View – Warning on Horizon…
DAX Index Key Motives
German Election 2021
Narrow Victory for SPD leaves Germany in Limbo
Social Democrats narrowly beat Angela Merkel’s alliance in a historic federal election
SPD gaining 25.7% of the vote, CDU/CSU at 24.1%
German Equities still No September New ATH Warning
vs
Wall Street September Last ATH
with
Secular Motives
still Active
Global Trade Boom and Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street RUN – Master Indexes S&P500 DJIA special Nasdaq
Wall Street Last September ATH
vs
Latest Bear and Bull Short Term Strikes
on
China Evergrande Motive
DEBT RISK ON/OFF News Day by Day
from Panic to Bull Contraction and Back to Sell Off
and
Warning Symptoms
Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating
RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk
Rising Probability
Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating Risk
Latest Warning Symptoms & Bear Harder Contraction Rising Risk
BUBBLE WARNINGS
Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis
Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime
Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts
Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.
“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market
BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell
Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession
” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning
Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning
‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash
Stagflationary Debt Crisis
10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…
Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning
” Epic Bubble ”
“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning
” Mother of All Crashes ”
Rob Subbaraman Nomura
Cassandra Warning Model
Palantir Gold Bet Warning
Preparing for Future More Black Swans
BLACK SWANS
Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
Secular Motives
Wall Street Bull Strong – Dynamic Wave Active – Last ATH
Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street
Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by Main Central Banks – specially Fed
Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns
vs
COVID Variants Waves
DELTA ; LAMBDA , KAPPA and Newest Mu Mutation Strikes
Global Debt Rising
US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket
Fed vs ECB Central Motive
Fed and ECB Mega ”Central Printing“
European QE > US QE
Fed No Taper and ECB No Taper for Now
Fed
Fed Meeting Hawkish Scenario
Taper Start November 2021 – Ending Mid-2022 , Signals Rate-Hike In 2022
Finally for Now
US Macro and Taper ” Ping Pong ”
Fed Time Game in ” Printing World ”
Fed Verbal Schizophrenia Continuation – from Dovish to Hawkish
ECB
MORE EUROPEAN QE Scenario
ECB to Weigh QE Boost when Covid Bond Buys End
ECB Lagarde Verdict
more Dovish than Hawkish Strike
Not Eurozone Tapering vs Recalibrating PEPP ( Pandemic Stimulus )
with
ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
( DXY Futures )
Dollar Index
Now still dominating
Dollar Index Bull Wave Cont. still above Major Psychological Key Level 93
with
Present Bull Strike > Higher 93.30
Active Zone Key Levels 93 –93.30 vs 93.50
( Now 93.41 )
First…ATA from 10.09.2021
” Now dominating
Bear Contraction from 16.000 Zone
with
Bear Reversal Pattern – Inverted Ending Diagonal “
Second…Present DAX Situation
DAX SECULAR PERSPECTIVE
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
The Hardest is to be Patient
Trend is Your Friend
Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante
Charts Worth more than 1000 Words
Charts have No Temperature
Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante
Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal
Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast
Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…
First…Key Master Motives
Second…Market Technical Patterns
First of All
All Time High
Psychological Key Level 16.000 Zone – August 2021
( stricte 16.030,33 )
After
March 2020 Covid Panic
but with
Test
First…FIB RET 50-56.4% Last Long Term Rasing Wave
from Lehman Low 2009 Year
Second…Psychological Key Level 8.000 Zone
Dynamic Bull Contraction
Back to
Psychological Key Level 10.000 Zone
FIB RET 38.2% Zone Last Long Term Rasing Wave
with
March Monthly Bear Big Real Body Candlestick
Long Lower Shadow
and
Dynamic Bull Wave
Back above
Master Resistance Zone from 2017 – 2020 Years
LONG TERM TOP PATTERN
2B Key Level 13.595 (Candlestick Chart)
M Key Level 13.250 (Line Chart)
Rising above
First…
Higher Psychological Key Level 15.000
Second…
Upper Edge Inverted Rising Wedge Pattern
after
Earlier Activated Inverted H&S
( Line Chart )
and
Last Test
Fib Ext Node 15.550 – 15.880 Zone
Psychological Key Level 16.000 Zone
Now still dominating
Bear Contraction from 16.000 Zone
Bear Reversal Pattern – Inverted Ending Diagonal
Upper Edge – Key Level 16.300
Lower Edge – Key Level 15.600
but with
Test Lower Edge
Shot Down and Shot Up – Back above Edge for Now
September Monthly Hammer Candlestick
very long Lower Shadow
vs
Bear Engulfing Pattern Risk still Active – Conformation EOM
with
Monthly MACD Buy Signal
Ahead of Higher
FIB EXT 16.300 16.500 17.000 Key Levels Zone
Present DAX Battlefield
15.000-15.500-600 vs 16.000-16.300
ATA Investment Conclusion
Now Special Focus on
Active DAX Range
15.000-15.500-600 vs 16.000-16.300
with
Active or Cancel
Bear Reversal Patterns
Inverted Ending Diagonal
Bear Engulfing
ATA Wall Street Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE
vs
MAJOR BOTTOMS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS
with
PANIC PHASE
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
N – TIMES
Finally …
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
Charts show Reversal Pattern First before Move…
Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction….
EOM – Now September
DAX Monthly Charts
13.08.2017
25.09.2017
6.09.2018
12.11.2018
11.01.2019
9.05.2019
2.08.2019
23.09.2019 – EOD
17.01.2020 – EOW
30.03.2020 – EOD
8.06.2021 – EOD
10.09.2021 – European Session Start Phase
27.09.2021 – European Session First Phase
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