Hang Seng Properities Index – Evergrande – China Real Estate Iceberg Syndrome Risk…

Hang Seng Properities IndexToday on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Following…

Evergrande

25.09.2021 – China Evergrande Group – Saga from Silent Spark 2017 Year to Loud Mainstream Panic 2021 Year…

Hang Seng Properities Index Master Motives

Evergrande China Real Estate Giant Debt Problems

misses payment deadline on dollar bond interest

China Real Estate Iceberg Syndrome Risk

Evergrande RISK OFF Impact to whole China Real Estate Sector

Collapse Extreme Risk

Collapse could pose Systematic Risk to China Financial System and reverberate around the world

” Next Lehman “ Risk

Evergrande the next Lehman Brothers Risk creating by Mainstream Media

vs

PBOC Central Motive

PBOC Rescue Move – PBOC injects cash into China banking system

with

Secular Motives 

still Active

Global Trade Boom and Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street RUN –  Master Indexes S&P500 DJIA special Nasdaq

Wall Street Last September ATH

vs

Latest Bear and Bull Short Term Strikes

on

China Evergrande Motive

DEBT RISK ON/OFF News Day by Day

from Panic to Bull Contraction and Back to Sell Off

and

Warning Symptoms

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk

Rising Probability

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating Risk 

Latest Warning Symptoms Bear Harder Contraction Rising Risk

BUBBLE WARNINGS

Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis

Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime

Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts

Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.

“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market

BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell

Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession

” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

Palantir Gold Bet Warning

Preparing for Future More Black Swans

BLACK SWANS

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

Secular Motives

Wall Street Bull Strong – Dynamic Wave Active – Last ATH

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

vs

COVID Variants Waves

DELTA ; LAMBDA , KAPPA and Newest Mu Mutation Strikes

Global Debt Rising

US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket

Fed vs ECB Central Motive

Fed and ECB Mega ”Central Printing“

European QE > US QE

Fed No Taper and ECB No Taper for Now

Fed

Fed Meeting Hawkish Scenario

Taper Start November 2021 – Ending Mid-2022 , Signals Rate-Hike In 2022

Finally for Now

US Macro and Taper ” Ping Pong ”

Fed Time Game in ” Printing World ”

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia Continuation – from Dovish to Hawkish

ECB

MORE EUROPEAN QE Scenario

ECB to Weigh QE Boost when Covid Bond Buys End

ECB Lagarde Verdict

more Dovish than Hawkish Strike

Not Eurozone Tapering vs Recalibrating PEPP ( Pandemic Stimulus )

with

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Now still dominating

Dollar Index Bull Wave Cont. still above Major Psychological Key Level  93 

with

Present Bull Bear Fight in Higher  93.30

Active Zone Key Levels  93 vs 93.30 -93.50

( Now 93.27 )

ATA Key Tweets

Present  Hang Seng Properities Index Situation

Hang Seng Properities Index   SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

First of All

ATH 45.000 HKD Zone – April 2019

( stricte 45.890.94 )

in

Secular Term 1% Fib Ext Zone

First Secular Bull Wave from August 1998 Low to October 2007 High

Long Term 1.272% Fib Ext Zone

First Long Term Bull Wave from November 2008 Low to November 2010 High

Long Term 0.886% Fib Ext Zone

First Long Term Bull Wave from November 2008 Low to June 2015 High

ATA Conclusion

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

After

Activated

Monthly Bear Reversal Patterns

First 2B – Key Level 44.400 HKD – April 2019

Second 2B – Key Level 40.000 HKD – August 2019

and

Dynamic Bear Wave to 28.000 HKD Low Zone – March 2020

vs

Bull Contraction

with

” Rock Shelf ” 35.800 HKD Zone

5 Months February 2021 – June 2021

Test Fib Ret 44.7-50% Main Bear Wave

and

Present Bear Wave to Lower 27.000 HKD – September 2021

Test Fib Ret 56.4% Long Term Bull Wave from Lehman Low

and

Falling Inverted Ending Diagonal

September Monthly Bear Candlestick vs Lower Long Shadow

Back above 28.000 HKD

Monthly MACD Sell Signal New Activation

with

Open Scenario

Future Activated Bull Reversal Pattern

Inverted 2B – Key Level 30.000 HKD Zone

Master Condition – Back > 30.000 HKD

ATA  Hang Seng Properities Index  Investment Conclusion

Focus on

Hang Seng Properities Index Battlefield

Active Master Psychological Key Levels Zone 27.00028.000 vs 30.000 HKD

ATA Market Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

never forget

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

EOM – Now September

Hang Seng Properities Index  Monthly  Charts

24.09.2021 – EOW

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