VIX – SECULAR VIEW – Bulls Attack Stopped on Double Hope Impact – Evergrande and Fed…

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  – Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2019

6.05.2019 – VIX – SECULAR VIEW beyond TRUMP TWEET RISK OFF TRIGGER…

2021

4.07.2021 – VIX – SECULAR VIEW – Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…

15.07.2021 – VIX – SECULAR VIEW – Smart Money Preparing for Machiavellian Action …

6.08.2021 – VIX – SECULAR VIEW – Bull vs Bear Fighting in RISK “Ocean Flor”…

20.08.2021 – VIX – SECULAR VIEW – Bulls break the RISK Surface…

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  Master Key Motives

Bulls Attack Stopped on Double Hope Impact : Evergrande and Fed

Evergrande will make onshore bond coupon payments on Sept 23

Fed Taper Time Game Scenario Rising Probability

S&P 500 Dynamic Bear Wave after Last September ATH

S&P 500 and S&P 500 Futures Bears Waves

vs

Yesterday Bear Strike Stopped with Bull Contraction

Active Fighting above Psychological Key Level 4300

and

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  

Dynamic Bull Wave

vs

Yesterday Bull Strike Stopped with Bear Contraction

with

Secular Motives 

still Active

Global Trade Boom and Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street RUN –  Master Indexes S&P500 DJIA special Nasdaq

Wall Street Last September ATH

with

China Evergrande Motive

Bear Hard Strike on Evergrande Panic

vs

Panic Stopped on Flash News Evergrande will make onshore bond coupon payments on Sept 23

and

Warning Symptoms

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk

Rising Probability

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating Risk 

Latest Warning Symptoms Bear Harder Contraction Rising Risk

BUBBLE WARNINGS

Roubini Dr.Doom Warns Stagflationary Debt Crisis

Jim Rogers Warns – Worst Bear Market Of Our Lifetime

Six Largest Wall Street Banks Wall Street Red Alerts

Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse And Goldman Sachs.

“Red Alert” Warnings on the US Stock Market

BofA Warns Stagflationary Hell

Only The Biggest Ever Bubble Delaying A Catastrophic Recession

” No Palce to Hide ” UBS Warning

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

Palantir Gold Bet Warning

Preparing for Future More Black Swans

BLACK SWANS

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

Secular Motives

Wall Street Bull Strong – Dynamic Wave Active – Last ATH

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

vs

COVID Variants Waves

DELTA ; LAMBDA , KAPPA and Newest Mu Mutation Strikes

Global Debt Rising

US – German Eurozone and GLOBAL INFLATION Skyrocket

Fed vs ECB Central Motive

Fed and ECB Mega ”Central Printing“

European QE > US QE

Fed No Taper and ECB No Taper

Finally

Central Banks Tapering the Taper

Fed

Today FOMC Meeting 

Meeting associated with a Summary of Economic Projections

US Macro and Taper ” Ping Pong ”

US Inflation – Core CPI Fall from Latest Extreme High Level

Fed Taper gonna with the Job – US Job Big Miss

Jackson Hole Powell

Fed Time Game in ” Printing World ”

Taper could Start in 2021 vs No Rush on Rate Hike

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia Continuation – still Dovish – No US Taper

ECB

ECB Lagarde Verdict

more Dovish than Hawkish Strike

Not Eurozone Tapering vs Recalibrating PEPP ( Pandemic Stimulus )

with

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Dollar Index

Now still dominating

Dollar Index Bull Wave Cont.  above Major Psychological Key Level  93 

vs

Bear Contraction from 93.50 Zone – Back under   93.30

Present Active Zone Key Levels  93 vs 93.30 – 93.50

( Now 93.25 )

ATA Key Tweets

First…ATA from  20.08.2021

” Now still dominating

RIKS OFF Bull Contraction

CBOE VIX 

Bull Strike Continuation

above

Upper Edge Bull Ending Diagonal

Higher Key Level 17

and above

Higher Psychological Key Level 20

500 VIX Futures 

Bull Strike Continuation

above

Upper Edge Bull Ending Diagonal

Higher Key Level 17

and above

Higher Psychological Key Level 20

Second…CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  Situation

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures   LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Master Motives 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns

First of All

After 2019 Year RISK OFF Signals Activated

First…Bull Reversal Risk Pattern – Inverted 2B

CBOE VIX  Key Level 13

500 VIX Futures  Key Level 14.50

Second…Dynamic RISK OFF Waves

CBOE VIX  from 13 to 85 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  from 14.50 to 80 Key Level Zone

Finally…Covid Panic Top – March 2020

CBOE VIX  in 85 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  in 80 Key Level Zone

and

After 2020 Year RISK ON Signals Activated

Bear Waves

CBOE VIX  from 85 to 15 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  from 80 to 15 – 18  Key Levels Zone

with

Test Lows Zone

Now still dominating

RIKS OFF Bull Contraction

CBOE VIX 

Pattern Inception

Bull Ending Diagonal

Bull Large Inverted Ending Diagonal

15 Key Level Zone

with

Bull Strike Continuation

above

Upper Edge Bull Ending Diagonal – Key Level 17

Psychological Key Level 20

vs

Present Bear Contraction

Back from Higher Psychological Key Level 30

500 VIX Futures 

Pattern Inception

Lower Edge

Bear Channel

Bull Ending Diagonal

15 Key Level Zone

with

Bull Strike Continuation

above

Upper Edge Bull Ending Diagonal – Key Level 17

Psychological Key Level 20

vs

Present Bear Contraction

Back from Upper Edge Bear Channel Higher Psychological Key Level 25

and

Monthly September Bull Large Body Candlesticks

vs

Upper Shadows

with

still Active MACD Monthly Sell Signals

of course with

Open Scenario RISK OFF Break the RISK Surface Continuation

other words

Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…

VIX Present Active Battlefield

CBOE VIX  20- 23 vs 30 – 38-40  Key Levels Zone

500 VIX Futures  20  vs 2530 Key Levels Zone

ATA Secular Investment Conclusion

special focus on

CBOE VIX   20- 23 vs 38 – 40  Key Levels Zone

500 VIX Futures    20  vs 25 Key Levels Zone

with

Open Scenario RISK OFF Break the RISK Surface Continuation

other words

Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOM – September

CBOE VIX &  S&P500 VIX Futures Monthly Charts

6.05.2019 ( US Session Start )

VIX -M - Line - Log
VIX -M - Log
S&P VIX -M - Line - Log
S&P VIX -M - Log

2.07.2021 – EOD

14.07.2021 – EOD

5.08.2021 – EOD

19.08.2021 – EOD

22.09.2021 – European Session First Phase

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