VIX – SECULAR VIEW – Bulls break the RISK Surface…

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  – Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2019

6.05.2019 – VIX – SECULAR VIEW beyond TRUMP TWEET RISK OFF TRIGGER…

2021

4.07.2021 – VIX – SECULAR VIEW – Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…

15.07.2021 – VIX – SECULAR VIEW – Smart Money Preparing for Machiavellian Action …

6.08.2021 – VIX – SECULAR VIEW – Bull vs Bear Fighting in RISK “Ocean Flor”…

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  Master Key Motives

S&P 500 Dynamic Bear Strike after Last ATH

S&P 500 and S&P 500 Futures Bears Strike

vs

Yesterday Bull Intraday Contraction

Active Fighting in Psychological Key Level 4400

and

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  Dynamic Bull Action

with

Secular Motives 

still Active

Global Trade Boom and Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street RUN –  Master Indexes S&P500 DJIA special Nasdaq

Wall Street Last ATH

vs

Activated

Latest Bear Dynamic Contraction

RISK OFF Strikes

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating

Warning Symptoms

BUBBLE WARNINGS

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

BLACK SWANS

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

Secular Motives

Wall Street Bull Strong – Dynamic Wave Active – Latest Fresh ATH

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

Biden Stimulus Move and Corporate Tax Offer 15% minimum

US Infrastructure Bill – US Senat adopts 3.5 Trillion USD Budget Plan

with

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

Post Pandemic Recovery Euphory creating by Mainstream

Afterpandemic New Reality 

US and Global Economy Reopen

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

vs

New DELTA ; LAMBDA & KAPPA COVID Waves

Global Debt Rising

US INFLATION Skyrocket

Russia plans to Cut US Dollar Holdings in Wealth Fund to ZERO

China & Russia Buying Gold

Cryptocurrencies Mega Speculation

and

US Earnings Season

Fed vs ECB Central Motive

Fed Minutes

Fed Master Central Hawkish Answer

Tapering May Start This Year

with Earlier

ECB and Fed Meeting

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia

FED Mega ”Central Printing“

FED Dovish vs Hawkish Verbal Strikes

vs

ECB European Central Strike

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

( DXY Futures )

Active Bull Strike

from Lower Psychological Key Level 92.50 above Master Psychological Key Level 93 and above  Higher 93.50

DXY 

Finally

Dynamic Bull Strike above FX Master Key Level  93.00

Now dominating

Short Term Bull Strike above Higher Psychological Key Level 93.50  ( Now 93.58 )

First…ATA from  6.08.2021

” Now still dominating

RIKS OFF Bull Contraction

CBOE VIX 

Present Bull Strike

above

Upper Edge Bull Ending Diagonal

Higher Key Level 17

500 VIX Futures 

Present Bull Strike

above

Upper Edge Bull Ending Diagonal

Higher Key Level 17

Second…CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  Situation

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures   LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Master Motives 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns

First of All

After 2019 Year RISK OFF Signals Activated

First…Bull Reversal Risk Pattern – Inverted 2B

CBOE VIX  Key Level 13

500 VIX Futures  Key Level 14.50

Second…Dynamic RISK OFF Waves

CBOE VIX  from 13 to 85 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  from 14.50 to 80 Key Level Zone

Finally…Covid Panic Top – March 2020

CBOE VIX  in 85 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  in 80 Key Level Zone

and

After 2020 Year RISK ON Signals Activated

Bear Waves

CBOE VIX  from 85 to 15 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  from 80 to 1518  Key Levels Zone

with

Test Lows Zone

Now still dominating

RIKS OFF Bull Contraction

CBOE VIX 

Pattern Inception

Bull Ending Diagonal

Bull Large Inverted Ending Diagonal

15 Key Level Zone

with

Bull Strike Continuation

above

Upper Edge Bull Ending Diagonal

Higher Key Level 17

and above

Higher Psychological Key Level 20

500 VIX Futures 

Pattern Inception

Lower Edge

Bear Channel

Bull Ending Diagonal

15 Key Level Zone

with

Bull Strike Continuation

above

Upper Edge Bull Ending Diagonal

Higher Key Level 17

and above

Higher Psychological Key Level 20

with

Monthly August Bull Large Body Candlesticks

vs

still Active MACD Monthly Sell Signals

of course with

Open Scenario RISK OFF Break the RISK Surface Continuation

other words

Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…

VIX Present Active Battlefield

CBOE VIX  20- 23 vs 38 – 40  Key Levels Zone

500 VIX Futures  20  vs 25 Key Levels Zone

ATA Secular Investment Conclusion

special focus on

CBOE VIX   20- 23 vs 38 – 40  Key Levels Zone

500 VIX Futures    20  vs 25 Key Levels Zone

with

Open Scenario RISK OFF Break the RISK Surface Continuation

other words

Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOM – August

CBOE VIX &  S&P500 VIX Futures Monthly Charts

6.05.2019 ( US Session Start )

VIX -M - Line - Log
VIX -M - Log
S&P VIX -M - Line - Log
S&P VIX -M - Log

2.07.2021 – EOD

14.07.2021 – EOD

5.08.2021 – EOD

19.08.2021 – EOD

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