Baltic Dry Index – Rising Risk of End Shipping Trade Euphory…

Baltic Dry IndexBack Today on ATA Research Radar 

Baltic Dry Index (BDI) is a shipping and trade index created by the London-based Baltic Exchange.

BDI measures changes in the cost of transporting…

ATA Continuation of…

2015 

21.11.2015 – Baltic Dry Index – True Picture vs Legend of Global Recovery

2016

12.01.2016 – Baltic Dry Index – HALTED GLOBAL FOREGIN TRADE…

ATA Following…

Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF

2021

8.08.2021 – Breakwave Dry Bulk Shipping ETF – Top Rising Risk in Extreme Bulls Expectations…

MAERSK

2021

4.08.2021 – MAERSK – Shipping Overheat Warning…

Baltic Dry Index Master Motives

Baltic Dry Index Losing Momentum

on

Cointainer Shipping Rates Skyrocket – Overheating Rising Risk 

Shipping Rates from China To US Hit Record 20.000 USD per 40-foot container

Wall Street Indexes Latest August Fresh ATH

with

Secular Motives 

still Active

Global Trade Boom and Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street RUN –  Master Indexes S&P500 DJIA special Nasdaq

Wall Street Latest Fresh ATH

vs

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk

Rising Probability

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating Risk 

Warning Symptoms Bear Contraction Rising Risk

BUBBLE WARNINGS

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

BLACK SWANS

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

Secular Motives

Wall Street Bull Strong – Dynamic Wave Active – Latest Fresh ATH

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

Biden Stimulus Move and Corporate Tax Offer 15% minimum

US Infrastructure Bill – US Senat adopts 3.5 Trillion USD Budget Plan

with

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

Post Pandemic Recovery Euphory creating by Mainstream

Afterpandemic New Reality 

US and Global Economy Reopen

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

vs

New DELTA ; LAMBDA & KAPPA COVID Waves

Global Debt Rising

US INFLATION Skyrocket

Russia plans to Cut US Dollar Holdings in Wealth Fund to ZERO

China & Russia Buying Gold

Cryptocurrencies Mega Speculation

and

US Earnings Season

Fed vs ECB Central Motive

after

Last Hawkish Fed – TAPER Double Impact

US Job Strong Data – Hawkish Factor

Fed Bullard and Clarida Hawkish Strikes

and Earlier

ECB and Fed Meeting

Finally still Active

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia

and

FED Mega ”Central Printing“

but with

FED Dovish vs Hawkish Verbal Strikes

vs

ECB European Central Strike

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

Activated

USD BEARS FX Dynamic Contraction  Back under  Master Psychological Key Level 93.00

after 

US CPI Strike

Earlier

US Job Strong Data – Hawkish Factor

Hawkish Factor

Fed Bullard and Clarida Hawkish Strikes

Fed – Powell Central Strike

DXY 

above Psychological Key Level 90 ; 92 – 92.50  vs under Higher  Master 93.00 

Finally

Present Active FX Zone 92.80 – 93.00

Now dominating

Present Short Term Bear Strike under Higher Master 93.00  ( Now 92.90 )

Present Baltic Dry Index Situation

BDI LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Master Motives 

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Weekly View 

First of All

After

First…Formed Major Low – Key Level 300 February 2016

Second…Activated Dynamic Bull Wave

from 300 Zone ( February 2016 ) to 1250 Zone ( November 2016 )

Finally…

Forming Long Term Inverted Ending Diagonal

2016 – Present 2021

with

Last…Bear – Bull Cycle

Bear Phase

pre Covid Bear Wave from Upper Edge Inverted Ending Diagonal

from 2500 Zone ( August 2019 ) to 400 Zone ( February 2020 )

Bull Phase

Bull Reversal Pattern in Lower Edge Inverted Ending Diagonal

W Pattern – Key Level 400 Zone ( February – May 2020 )

after Covid Panic Bull Wave

from 400 Zone ( May 2020 ) to 3380 Zone ( August 2021 )

Now dominating

Testing Upper Edge Zone Inverted Ending Diagonal

Pattern Inception

Bear Reversal Patterns

Small Ending Diagonal in Large Ending Diagonal in Inverted Ending Diagonal

Key Levels 3380 vs 3400-500 3800 – 4000 Zone

with

Rising Risk of Future Active Bear Diagonals

and

MACD Weekly Sell Signal Activated

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present Active Range Psychological Key Levels  3300 vs 3400-500 – 38004000

of course with

Next Smart Money Move

Future Active or Cancel

Bear Diagonals

and

New

Global – special US – China News 

Coronavirus News

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Rescue Strikes 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE…!!!

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N- TIMES

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOW-s

Final…EOM – August

Baltic Dry Index Monthly Charts

21.11.2015

12.01.2016

Baltic Dry Index Weekly Chart

11.08.2021

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