ISRAEL SHEKEL – Secular View – Testing pre-Lehman Zone in Bull Shadow of US Dollar…

Israel Shekel   – Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2019

22.04.2019 –  ISRAEL SHEKEL – Secular View with F/X SZALOM…

2020

30.08.2020 – ISRAEL SHEKEL – Secular View – Kosher Bulls in Action…

22.10.2020 – ISRAEL SHEKEL – Secular View – Kosher Bet…

3.12.2020 – ISRAEL SHEKEL – Secular View – High Time for FX Chanuka…

Israel Shekel  Main Motives

Israel Shekel  Losing Momentum

Global USD Rising

Bank of Israel Central Factor

holds rates, sees economic risks from Delta variant

BoI keeps rates steady at 0.1%

with

Secular Motives

still Active

Global Trade Boom and Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street RUN –  Master Indexes S&P500 DJIA special Nasdaq

Wall Street Latest Fresh ATH

vs

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk

Rising Probability

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating Risk 

Warning Symptoms Bear Contraction Rising Risk

BUBBLE WARNINGS

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

BLACK SWANS

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

Secular Motives

Wall Street Bull Strong – Dynamic Wave Active – Latest Fresh ATH

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

Biden Stimulus Move and Corporate Tax Offer 15% minimum

with

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

Post Pandemic Recovery Euphory creating by Mainstream

Afterpandemic New Reality 

US and Global Economy Reopen

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

vs

New DELTA ; LAMBDA & KAPPA COVID Wave

Global Debt Rising

US INFLATION Skyrocket

Russia plans to Cut US Dollar Holdings in Wealth Fund to ZERO

China & Russia Buying Gold

Cryptocurrencies Mega Speculation

and

Present US Earnings Season

Fed vs ECB Central Motive

after

Last Hawkish Fed – TAPER Double Impact

US Job Strong Data – Hawkish Factor

Fed Bullard and Clarida Hawkish Strikes

and Earlier

ECB and Fed Meeting

Finally still Active

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia

and

FED Mega ”Central Printing“

but with

FED Dovish vs Hawkish Verbal Strikes

vs

ECB European Central Strike

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

still Active

USD BULLS FX Dynamic Strike to Higher  Psychological Key Level 92.80

after 

US Job Strong Data – Hawkish Factor

Hawkish Factor

Fed Bullard and Clarida Hawkish Strikes

Fed – Powell Central Strike

DXY 

above Psychological Key Level 90 and 92 – 92.50  with  Continuation Test  Higher  92.80 Zone

Finally

Now still dominating

Present Short Term Bull Strike and Testing Higher 92.80 Zone  ( Now 92.81 )

First…ATA from  3.12.2020

Strong Bear Dynamic Strike 

after

Last Bull Pullback

with

MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Special Focus on

Present Active Range Key Levels 3.00 – 3.35

of course with

Low Zone from 2008 – pre Lehman Strike 

 Key Level 3.20

Second…USD/ILS  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Master Motives 

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

First of All

Monthly View 

After

First…

Activated

TRIANGLE Pattern

Break Down Support Zone

Key Levels 3.48 – 3.50 

under Key Monthly MA

Second…

Strong Bear Dynamic Strike 

Finally

Test pre Lehman Low Zone

Key Level 3.20 Zone

with

Dynamic Shot Down to 3.00 Zone – January 2021

and

Dynamic Shot UpBack > 3.20EOM January (3.2771)

Now dominating

Second Testing pre Lehman Low

Forming

Bull Dollar Reversal Patterns – W – Inverted 2B Hybryd – Key Level 3.20 Zone

Secular W-Inverted 2B Hybryd Years 2008 – 2021

Long Term W-Inverted 2B Hybryd January – July 2021

with

MACD Monthly Sell Signal  vs Near to Active Buy Signal

in

Bull Ending Diagonal

ATA Investment Conclusion

Special Focus on

Low Zone from 2008 – pre Lehman Strike  Key Level 3.20

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE…!!!

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N- TIMES

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – August

USD/ILS  Monthly & Weekly  Charts

22.04.2019 

USD-ILS - M
USD-ILS - M Focus
USD-ILS - W- Fib Ret

USD/ILS Monthly Charts

28.08.2020 – EOD 

Israel Shekel - M

22.10.2020 – Assian Session

3.12.2020 – Assian Session

9.08.2021 – European Session Start Phase

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