VIX – SECULAR VIEW – Bull vs Bear Fighting in RISK “Ocean Flor”…

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  – Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2019

6.05.2019 – VIX – SECULAR VIEW beyond TRUMP TWEET RISK OFF TRIGGER…

2021

4.07.2021 – VIX – SECULAR VIEW – Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…

15.07.2021 – VIX – SECULAR VIEW – Smart Money Preparing for Machiavellian Action …

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  Master Key Motives

Wall Street Indexes Latest August Fresh ATH

vs

VIX Indexes No New Lows

with

Secular Motives 

still Active

Global Trade Boom and Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street RUN –  Master Indexes S&P500 DJIA special Nasdaq

Wall Street Latest Fresh ATH

vs

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk

Rising Probability

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating Risk 

Warning Symptoms Bear Contraction Rising Risk

BUBBLE WARNINGS

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

BLACK SWANS

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

Secular Motives

Wall Street Bull Strong – Dynamic Wave Active – Latest Fresh ATH

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

Biden Stimulus Move and Corporate Tax Offer 15% minimum

with

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

Post Pandemic Recovery Euphory creating by Mainstream

Afterpandemic New Reality 

US and Global Economy Reopen

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

vs

New DELTA and LAMBDA COVID Wave

Global Debt Rising

US INFLATION Skyrocket

Russia plans to Cut US Dollar Holdings in Wealth Fund to ZERO

China & Russia Buying Gold

Cryptocurrencies Mega Speculation

and

Present US Earnings Season

Fed vs ECB Central Motive

after

Fed Bullard and Clarida Hawkish Strikes

ECB and Fed Meeting

Finally still Active

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia

and

FED Mega ”Central Printing“

but with

FED Dovish vs Hawkish Verbal Strikes

vs

ECB European Central Strike

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD BULLS FX Dynamic Strike above Psychological Key Level 92.00

after 

Fed Bullard and Clarida Hawkish Strikes

Fed – Powell Central Strike

DXY 

above Psychological Key Level 90 and 92.00  with Fighting in Higher 92.20 – 92.30 Zone

after

Fed Bullard and Clarida Hawkish Strikes

Now still dominating

Present Short Term Bull vs Bears FX Fighting in Higher 92.30 Zone  ( Now 92.31 )

First…ATA from  15.07.2021

” Now still dominating

Testing

CBOE VIX 

Pattern Inception

Lower Edge

Bull Ending Diagonal

Bull Large Inverted Ending Diagonal

15 Key Level Zone

with

Present Bull First Short Term Strike

above

Higher Key Level 16

500 VIX Futures 

Pattern Inception

Lower Edge

Bear Channel

Bull Ending Diagonal

15 Key Levels Zone “

&

ATA Master Warning Tweets

Second…CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  Situation

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures   LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Master Motives 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns

First of All

After 2019 Year RISK OFF Signals Activated

First…Bull Reversal Risk Pattern – Inverted 2B

( Line Charts )

CBOE VIX  Key Level 13

500 VIX Futures  Key Level 14.50

Second…Dynamic RISK OFF Waves

CBOE VIX  from 13 to 85 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  from 14.50 to 80 Key Level Zone

Finally…Covid Panic Top – March 2020

CBOE VIX  in 85 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  in 80 Key Level Zone

and

After 2020 Year RISK ON Signals Activated

Bear Waves

CBOE VIX  from 85 to 15 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  from 80 to 15-18 Key Levels Zone

with

Test Lows Zone

Now still dominating

RIKS OFF Bull Contraction

CBOE VIX 

Pattern Inception

Bull Ending Diagonal

Bull Large Inverted Ending Diagonal

15 Key Level Zone

with

Present Bull Strike

above

Upper Edge Bull Ending Diagonal

Higher Key Level 17

vs

Active Pullback to Upper Edge Zone

from

Higher Psychological Key Level 20

500 VIX Futures 

Pattern Inception

Lower Edge

Bear Channel

Bull Ending Diagonal

15 Key Level Zone

with

Present Bull Strike

above

Upper Edge Bull Ending Diagonal

Higher Key Level 17

vs

Active Pullback to Upper Edge Zone

from

Higher Psychological Key Level 20

but with

MACD Monthly Sell Signals

with

Open Scenario RISK OFF Wave Reactivation from ” OCEAN Floor ”

other words

Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…

VIX Present Active Battlefield

CBOE VIX  17-20 Key Levels Zone

500 VIX Futures  18-20 Key Levels Zone

ATA Secular Investment Conclusion

special focus on

CBOE VIX  17-20 Key Levels Zone

500 VIX Futures  18-20 Key Levels Zone

with

Open Scenario RISK OFF Wave Reactivation from ” OCEAN Floor ”

other words

Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOM – August

CBOE VIX &  S&P500 VIX Futures Monthly Charts

6.05.2019 ( US Session Start )

VIX -M - Line - Log
VIX -M - Log
S&P VIX -M - Line - Log
S&P VIX -M - Log

2.07.2021 – EOD

14.07.2021 – EOD

5.08.2021 – EOD

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