MSCI WORLD ex USA Index – pre Lehman Top Gravity…

MSCI WORLD ex USA Index  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2018

7.10.2018 –  MSCI WORLD ex USA Index – Global Falling Down Reality…

13.11.2018 –  MSCI WORLD ex USA Index – Dynamic Shot Down…

2019

15.01.2019 –  MSCI WORLD ex USA Index – World Weakness without Wall Street Strength…

30.05.2019 –  MSCI WORLD ex USA Index – World Weakness Pressure…

29.09.2019 – MSCI WORLD ex USA Index – Deadlock Domination after Bull & Bear Attack Collapse…

2021

29.05.2021 – MSCI WORLD ex USA Index – Ahead of pre Lehman Top Test…

MSCI WORLD ex USA Index  Main Motives

Present Active

MSCI WORLD ex USA Index Bear Dynamic Contraction

after Earlier

Bull Strike Stopped and Losing Momentum in pre Lehman Top Zone

Finally

Continuation of

Smart Money Bull vs Bear Fight in Danger Zone – stricte pre Lehman Top 2007 Year Zone

with

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Risk

Rising Probability

Wall Street and US Nasdaq TECH Overheating Risk 

Latest Warning Symptoms Bear Contraction Rising Risk

BUBBLE WARNINGS

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

BLACK SWANS

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

Secular Motives

Wall Street Bull Wave Stopped – Short Term Bear Contraction after Latest Fresh ATH

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

Biden Stimulus Move and Corporate Tax Offer 15% minimum

with

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

Post Pandemic Recovery Euphory creating by Mainstream

Afterpandemic New Reality 

US and Global Economy Reopen

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

vs

New DELTA and LAMBDA COVID Wave

Global Debt Rising

US INFLATION Skyrocket

Russia plans to Cut US Dollar Holdings in Wealth Fund to ZERO

China & Russia Buying Gold

Cryptocurrencies Mega Speculation

and

Present US Earnings Season

Fed vs ECB Central Motive

after ECB and Fed Meeting

Finally still Active

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia

and

FED Mega ”Central Printing“

but with

FED Dovish vs Hawkish Verbal Strikes

vs

ECB European Central Strike

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” – Long Term QE Perspective with “MORE” Option – Lower Forever

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD BEARS vs BULLS FX Fight Back to Lower Psychological Key Level 92.00 Zone 

after  Fed – Powell Central Strike

DXY 

above Psychological Key Level 90 still  above  92.00  vs under  92.30 and 92.50

after

Yesterday Fed – Powell Dynamic Bear Strike

Now dominating

Present Short Term Bull vs Bears FX Fighting in Lower 92.00 Zone ( Now 92.15 )

First…ATA from  29.05.2021

” Now dominating

Bull Wave Continuation

Ahead of Test

First…Upper Edge Long Term Bull Channel

Key Level 2380 Zone

Second…pre Lehman Top Zone

Psychological Key Level 2400 Zone

&

ATA Master Warning Tweet

Second…Present   MSCI WORLD ex USA Index  Situation 

MSCI WORLD ex USA Index LONG TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns

First of All

After

First…

Bull Wave > 1930 October 2019 – January 2020

but with

Activated Bear Reversal Pattern – 2B – Top Key Level 2050 Zone

December 2019 – January 2020

Dynamic Bear Wave with March 2020 Panic

Break Down Lower Edge Long Term Bull Channel

March 2020 Monthly Bear Candlestick – Very Long Lower Shadow

Key Low 1330

vs

Activated Bull Reversal Pattern – Inverted 2B – Key Level 1550 Zone

Dynamic Bull Wave after March 2020 Panic and April Retest Low Zone

Back inside Long Term Bull Channel

Rise above Lower Edge Long Term Bull Channel

and

Bull Wave

Test

First…Upper Edge Long Term Bull Channel

Key Level 2380 Zone

Second…pre Lehman Top Zone

Psychological Key Level 2400 Zone

( July 2021 High 2400 )

Now dominating

Bull Wave Stopped and Bear Contraction to 2250 Zone

but with

July Doji Candlestick

and

MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

still Rising above Upper Edge Horizontal Channel

MSCI WORLD ex USA Index   Present Active Range

2250-2300   vs  2380-2400

with

Present Master Psychological Key Level 2300 

ATA Investment Conclusion

MSCI WORLD ex USA Index   Long Term Picture 

still shows

First…High  Relative Strength of  WALL STREET..special NASDAQ 

&

Second…how far are  Rest of the Equity World  – EUROZONE… EUROPE  & UK 

are  from US WALL STREET & NASDAQ…

so Focus on

Present

Active Range  2250-2300   vs  2380-2400

Master Psychological Key Level 2300 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N – TIMES

Finally …

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Charts show Reversal Pattern First before Move…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

EOM – Now July

MSCI WORLD ex USA Index  Monthly Charts

5.10.2018

MSCI -M

13.11.2018

MSCI -M

MSCI WORLD ex USA Index  Monthly  Charts

15.01.2019

Delayed   Data  December 2018 1710   vs  11.01.2019  1782 

msci -m

30.05.2019

Delayed   Data  April 2019 1920   vs  30.05.2019  1855

MSCI EX US - M

27.09.2019

Delayed   Data  August  2019 1847   vs  27.09.2019  1899

MSCI EX US - M

MSCI WORLD ex USA Index  Monthly Charts

28.05.2021 – EOW

29.07.2021 – European Session Start Phase

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