US 10Y BOND YIELD – Perspective after March Super Touchdown…

US 10Y BOND YIELD  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation…

2018

10.01.2018  –  US BONDS – END(LESS) SUMMER MOVE ON…

30.01.2018  – US 10Y BOND YIELD WARNING…

14.02.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – The Show Must Go On…

25.04.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Who Wants to Live Forever…

16.05.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Mainstream Media Panic…

27.05.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – PERFECT AMBUSH…

15.09.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Strategic Attack on Psychological 3%…

4.11.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – GAME CHANGER in Action…

18.11.2018 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – TACTICAL SAFE BACK…

2019

16.01.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Back to Neutral Zone…

1.04.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – NO MEGA SAFE ESCAPE…

29.05.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Awakening & Run to Safe Haven…

22.06.2019 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – from DEBT RUSH to DEBT AMBUSH…

7.07.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH PROBABILITY RISING …

13.07.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH SCENARIO GOES ON…

2020 

10.05.2020 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Bulls vs Bears Fighting in Debt Abyss…

16.05.2020 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – No Bear Strike on US Macro Most Disaster in over 100 Years…

5.06.2020 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Back from US Debt Abyss…

8.08.2020 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Waiting for Debt Godot…

28.08.2020 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – POWELL(LESS)…

2021

7.01.2021 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – PERFECT BULL WAVE…

17.02.2021 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – MASTER DEBT TEST AHEAD…

22.02.2021 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – ” WHO WANTS TO PRINT FOREVER “

2.03.2021 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – Debt Smart Money Perfect Action…

17.03.2021 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – Super Touchdown Ahead of Fed…

with

ATA Following …

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Major Motives

US 10Y Bond Yield Dynamic Falling after March Super Touchdown

Fed ” Printing ” stronger than US Inflaction Skyrocket

with

Fed Powell Taper Time Game – Present Dovish Testimony

and

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Global Equties – special Wall Street

with

Bubble Warnings

Secular Motives 

still Active

Wall Street Bull Wave

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

with

Post Pandemic Recovery Euphory creating by Mainstream

on

Afterpandemic New Reality 

US and Global Economy Reopen

US Earnings Season

vs

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Wall Street and US TECH Overheating Risk 

and

Latest Warning Symptoms Bear Contraction Rising Risk

on

Fed Central Motive

New Double Hawkish vs Dovish Impact

US Inflation Spike Fed QE Taper Hawkish vs Powell Testimony Dovish

Earlier

Fed Meeting Hawkish vs Powell Testimony Dovish

Finally still Active

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia

with

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Global Equties – special Wall Street – Nasdaq – US TECH Risk 

Global Debt Rising

US INFLATION Skyrocket

Russia plans to Cut Dollar Holdings in Wealth Fund to ZERO

China & Russia Buying Gold

Cryptocurrencies Mega Speculation

New DELTA and LAMBDA COVID Wave

with

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD BULL still in Action above Psychological Key Level 92.00  after Latest US Inflation Spike  and  Powell Testimony

DXY 

above Psychological Key Level 90 still  >  92.00

with

Present Bull Strike after Powell Testimony 2-nd Day  from 92.30 Zone  above Key Level 92.50  ( Now 92.60 )

and

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

with

FED Mega ”Central Printing“

but with

FED Dovish vs Hawkish Verbal Strikes

vs

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” with “MORE” Option

and

Biden Stimulus Ecstasy and Corporate Tax Offer 15% minimum

but with

New COVID Wave

Newest Lambda Virus Mutation

Delta Virus Mutation from India

New Lockdowns RIKS OFF Strikes

vs

COVID Vaccines Global Hope

with

all time Active

WARNINGS

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

vs

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

but with

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

First of All…ATA from 15.09.2018 

” ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!! ” 

First of All…ATA from 17.03.2021

Present Bull Strike

Touch Secular Bear Trendline

Master Psychological Key Level 1.63 % Zone

( Max 1.639% )

US Yield Secular Term Picture

still showing

Domination  of   Secular Bear Scenario 

Falling US Yield

what most important

in the Wider Market Perspective 

Yield still inside Secular Bear Channel 

Second…Present  US 10Y BOND YIELD   Situation 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Master Motives 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns

First of All

after Activated

First…

Long Term 2B Risk Off Pattern

Psychological Key Level 3.00% 

stricte

US 10Y Bond Yield –  Perfect Ambush 

Second…

Falling US Yield  Scenario 

Break Down Key Level  2.00%

Falling Continuation

Break Down Key Level  1.00%

with

Test 0.30% Key Level Zone 

( March Low 0.318% )

Third…

Perfect Touchdown Secular Bear Trendline

Bull Contraction to Psychological Key Level 1.80% Zone

( stricte 1.776% – March 2021 )

Now dominating

Dynamic Bear Contraction from Secular Bear Trendline1.80% Zone

Back under Psychological Key Level 1.50% 

with

Present Testing Lower Psychological Key Level 1.30% Zone

US Yield Secular Term Picture

still showing

Domination  of   Secular Bear Scenario 

Falling US Yield

what most important

in the Wider Market Perspective 

Yield still inside Secular Bear Channel 

with

Incredible Targets

Entering Negative Territory 

– 0.50%  Zone 

Long Term Game Changer

Bull Hard Strike above Super Important Higher Key Levels 1.8% & 2.00%

ATA Research Conclusion

special focus on

Present Active Master  Key Levels 1.30% and 1.50% with March 2021 Top 1.80% Zone

ATA  Research  still Active Thesis  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD  Master Trigger

Now  still Most  depends  of…

FED & Powell Strikes  with  US Macro Figures 

and of course

Coronavirus Waves 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on

Psychological Key Levels 1.30% vs 1.50 %  and March 2021 Top 1.80% Zone

with

New FED Actions  &  US Macro 

never forget

Next US DEBT Strike can move  others…

First…DEBT MARKETS

Second…WALL STREET

Finally…GLOBAL EQUITY MARKET 

with

NEW GOLDEN RUSH…

N-TIMES

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – Now Key Month July

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Big Picture – Monthly Charts

10.01.2018

Your new TVC.png

30.01.2018

Your new TVC

14.02.2018

Your new TVC (5)

25.04.2018

Your new TVC (5)

16.05.2018

Your new TVC (4)

25.05.2018

Your new TVC (7)

14.09.2018

US BONDS

2.11.2018

US BONDS

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Big Picture – Monthly  & Daily Charts 

16.11.2018

US BONDS - M
US BONDS - M - 1
US BONDS - D

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Big Picture – Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts 

16.01.2019

us bonds - m
us bonds - w
us bonds - d

1.04.2019

US Yield - M
US Yield - W
US Yield - D

29.05.2019

US Yield - M
US Yield - W
US Yield - D

21.06.2019

US Yield - M
US Yield - W
US Yield - D

5.07.2019

US Yield - M
US Yield - W
US Yield - D

12.07.2019

US Yield - M
US Yield - M - Focus
US Yield - W
US Yield - D

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Big Picture – Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts 

8.05.2020

US Yield - M
US Yield - M - Focus
US Yield - W
US Yield - D

15.05.2020

US Yield - M
US Yield - M - Focus
US Yield - W
US Yield - D

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Big Picture – Monthly  Charts

4.06.2020 – EOD 

US Yield - M - Line
US Yield - M

7.08.2020 – EOD

US Yield - M - Line
US Yield - M

27.08.2020 – Assian Session

US Yield - M - Line
US Yield - M - Focus

6.01.2021 – EOD

16.02.2021 – EOD

22.02.2021 – before European Session Start

1.03.2021 – Assian Session

17.03.2021 – before Start European Session

16.07.2021 – European Session Start Phase

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