VIX – SECULAR VIEW – Smart Money Preparing for Machiavellian Action …

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  – Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2019

6.05.2019 – VIX – SECULAR VIEW beyond TRUMP TWEET RISK OFF TRIGGER…

2021

4.07.2021 – VIX – SECULAR VIEW – Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…

ATA Following …

Nasdaq 100 Volatility Index

13.07.2021 – Nasdaq 100 Volatility Index – First Bull Short Term Signs…

ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF

14.07.2021 – ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF – Volatility First Awakening…

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  Master Key Motives

Wall Street Indexes Latest July Fresh ATH

vs

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Global Equties – special Wall Street

Secular Motives 

still Active

Wall Street Bull Wave

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

with

Post Pandemic Recovery Euphory creating by Mainstream

on

Afterpandemic New Reality 

US and Global Economy Reopen

US Earnings Season

vs

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Wall Street and US TECH Overheating Risk 

and

Latest Warning Symptoms Bear Contraction Rising Risk

on

Fed Central Motive

New Double Hawkish vs Dovish Impact

US Inflation Spike Fed QE Taper Hawkish vs Powell Testimony Dovish

Earlier

Fed Meeting Hawkish vs Powell Testimony Dovish

Finally still Active

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia

with

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Global Equties – special Wall Street – Nasdaq – US TECH Risk 

Global Debt Rising

US INFLATION Skyrocket

Russia plans to Cut Dollar Holdings in Wealth Fund to ZERO

China & Russia Buying Gold

Cryptocurrencies Mega Speculation

New DELTA and LAMBDA COVID Wave

with

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD BULL still in Action above Psychological Key Level 92.00  after Latest US Inflation Spike  and  Powell Testimony

DXY 

above Psychological Key Level 90 still  >  92.00

with

Present Bear Strike after Powell Testimony  from 92.80 Zone  to Key Level 92.30 Zone ( Now 92.37 )

and

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Lockdowns

with

FED Mega ”Central Printing“

but with

FED Dovish vs Hawkish Verbal Strikes

vs

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” with “MORE” Option

and

Biden Stimulus Ecstasy and Corporate Tax Offer 15% minimum

but with

New COVID Wave

Newest Lambda Virus Mutation

Delta Virus Mutation from India

New Lockdowns RIKS OFF Strikes

vs

COVID Vaccines Global Hope

with

all time Active

WARNINGS

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

vs

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

but with

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

First…ATA from  4.07.2021

” Now dominating

Testing

CBOE VIX 

Pattern Inception

Lower Edge

Bull Ending Diagonal

Bull Large Inverted Ending Diagonal

15 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures 

Lower Edge Bear Channel

15-18 Key Levels Zone “

&

ATA Master Warning Tweet

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  Situation

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures   LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Master Motives 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns

First of All

After 2019 Year RISK OFF Signals Activated

First…Bull Reversal Risk Pattern – Inverted 2B

( Line Charts )

CBOE VIX  Key Level 13

500 VIX Futures  Key Level 14.50

Second…Dynamic RISK OFF Waves

CBOE VIX  from 13 to 85 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  from 14.50 to 80 Key Level Zone

Finally…Covid Panic Top – March 2020

CBOE VIX  in 85 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  in 80 Key Level Zone

and

After 2020 Year RISK ON Signals Activated

Bear Waves

CBOE VIX  from 85 to 15 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  from 80 to 15-18 Key Levels Zone

Now still dominating

Testing

CBOE VIX 

Pattern Inception

Lower Edge

Bull Ending Diagonal

Bull Large Inverted Ending Diagonal

15 Key Level Zone

with

Present Bull First Short Term Strike

above

Higher Key Level 16

500 VIX Futures 

Pattern Inception

Lower Edge

Bear Channel

Bull Ending Diagonal

15 Key Levels Zone

vs

Upper Edge

Ending Diagonal

18 Key Levels Zone

Present Bull First Short Term Strike

to

Higher Key Level 18 Zone

but with

MACD Monthly Sell Signals

with

Open Scenario RISK OFF Wave Reactivation

other words

Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…

VIX Present Active Battlefield

CBOE VIX  15 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  15-18 Key Levels Zone

ATA Secular Investment Conclusion 

special focus on

CBOE VIX  15 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  15-18 Key Levels Zone

with

Open Scenario RISK OFF Wave Reactivation

other words

Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOM – July

CBOE VIX &  S&P500 VIX Futures Monthly Charts

6.05.2019 ( US Session Start )

VIX -M - Line - Log
VIX -M - Log
S&P VIX -M - Line - Log
S&P VIX -M - Log

2.07.2021 – EOD

14.07.2021 – EOD

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