VIX – SECULAR VIEW – Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  – Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

6.05.2019 – VIX – SECULAR VIEW beyond TRUMP TWEET RISK OFF TRIGGER…

ATA Following …

Nasdaq 100 Volatility Index

2.07.2021 – Nasdaq 100 Volatility Index – Big Waiting for ” Sleeper Awake “

ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF

3.07.2021 – ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF – Bulls “Last Crusade”…

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  Master Key Motives

Wall Street Indexes Latest July Fresh ATH

vs

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Global Equties – special Wall Street

Secular Motives 

still Active

Wall Street Bull Wave

Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street

Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by  Main Central Banks – specially Fed

with

Post Pandemic Recovery Euphory creating by Mainstream

on

Afterpandemic New Reality 

US and Global Economy Reopen

vs

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Wall Street and US TECH Overheating Risk 

and

Latest Warning Symptoms Bear Contraction Rising Risk

on

Fed Central Motive

Fed Double Hawkish vs Dovish Impact

Fed Meeting Hawkish vs Powell Testimony Dovish

Fed Verbal Schizophrenia

Fed Projections Taper and First post-pandemic Interest Rate Hikes into 2023

vs

Fed Powell Testimony Dovish Words

with

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Global Equties – special Wall Street – Nasdaq – US TECH Risk 

Global Debt Rising

US INFLATION Skyrocket

Russia plans to Cut Dollar Holdings in Wealth Fund to ZERO

China & Russia Buying Gold

Cryptocurrencies Mega Speculation

New DELTA COVID Wave

with

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD BULL still in Action above Psychological Key Level 91.50  after Fed and Powell Testimony

DXY above Psychological Key Level 90 still  >  91.50 

vs

Present Bear Contraction from 92.80 Zone – Back < Higher 92.50 and Lower 92.30 – (EOW 92.25)

and

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Locdowns

with

FED Mega ”Central Printing“

but with

FED Projections

TAPER

First post-pandemic Interest Rate Hikes into 2023

vs

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” with “MORE” Option

and

Biden Stimulus Ecstasy and Corporate Tax Offer 15% minimum

but with

New COVID Wave

Delta Virus Mutation from India

New Lockdowns RIKS OFF Strikes

vs

COVID Vaccines Global Hope

with

all time Active

WARNINGS

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash

Stagflationary Debt Crisis

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning

” Epic Bubble ”

“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning

” Mother of All Crashes ”

Rob Subbaraman Nomura

Cassandra Warning Model

vs

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

but with

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

First…ATA from  6.05.2019

Rising Risk Factor  –  Wall Street Bear Wave Future Activated

Present VIX Master Psychological Key Levels Zone in Smart Money Focus 

CBOE VIX   10 – 15 – 18

S&P500 VIX Futures  10 –  15

VIX Reaction before & on Start Monday US Session

CBOE VIX Max 18.80  vs  17.69 –  US session Start

S&P500 VIX Futures Max  16.78  vs  16.17 –  US session Start “

&

ATA Master Warning Tweet

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures  Situation

CBOE VIX and  S&P500 VIX Futures   LONG TERM SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Master Motives 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns

First of All

After 2019 Year RISK OFF Signals Activated

First…Bull Reversal Risk Pattern Inverted 2B

( Line Charts )

CBOE VIX  Key Level 13

500 VIX Futures  Key Level 14.50

Second…Dynamic RISK OFF Waves

CBOE VIX  from 13 to 85 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  from 14.50 to 80 Key Level Zone

Finally…Covid Panic TopMarch 2020

CBOE VIX  in 85 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  in 80 Key Level Zone

and

After 2020 Year RISK ON Signals Activated

Bear Waves

CBOE VIX  from 85 to 15 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  from 80 to 15-18 Key Levels Zone

Now dominating

Testing

CBOE VIX 

Pattern Inception

Lower Edge

Bull Ending Diagonal

Bull Large Inverted Ending Diagonal

15 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures 

Lower Edge Bear Channel

15-18 Key Levels Zone

vs

MACD Monthly Sell Signals

with

Open Scenario RISK OFF Wave Reactivation

other words

Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…

VIX Present Active Battlefield

CBOE VIX  15 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  15-18 Key Levels Zone

ATA Secular Investment Conclusion 

special focus on

CBOE VIX  15 Key Level Zone

500 VIX Futures  15-18 Key Levels Zone

with

Open Scenario RISK OFF Wave Reactivation

other words

Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOM – July

CBOE VIX &  S&P500 VIX Futures Monthly Charts

6.05.2019 ( US Session Start )

VIX -M - Line - Log
VIX -M - Log
S&P VIX -M - Line - Log
S&P VIX -M - Log

2.07.2021 – EOD

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

Create a website or blog at WordPress.com

Up ↑

%d bloggers like this: