CBOE VIX and S&P500 VIX Futures – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
ATA Continuation of…
6.05.2019 – VIX – SECULAR VIEW beyond TRUMP TWEET RISK OFF TRIGGER…
ATA Following …
Nasdaq 100 Volatility Index
2.07.2021 – Nasdaq 100 Volatility Index – Big Waiting for ” Sleeper Awake “
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
3.07.2021 – ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF – Bulls “Last Crusade”…
CBOE VIX and S&P500 VIX Futures Master Key Motives
Wall Street Indexes Latest July Fresh ATH
vs
RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability
Global Equties – special Wall Street
Secular Motives
still Active
Wall Street Bull Wave
Tech Boom Cycle on Wall Street
Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “ by Main Central Banks – specially Fed
with
Post Pandemic Recovery Euphory creating by Mainstream
on
Afterpandemic New Reality
US and Global Economy Reopen
vs
RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability
Wall Street and US TECH Overheating Risk
and
Latest Warning Symptoms & Bear Contraction Rising Risk
on
Fed Central Motive
Fed Double Hawkish vs Dovish Impact
Fed Meeting Hawkish vs Powell Testimony Dovish
Fed Verbal Schizophrenia
Fed Projections Taper and First post-pandemic Interest Rate Hikes into 2023
vs
Fed Powell Testimony Dovish Words
with
RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability
Global Equties – special Wall Street – Nasdaq – US TECH Risk
Global Debt Rising
US INFLATION Skyrocket
Russia plans to Cut Dollar Holdings in Wealth Fund to ZERO
China & Russia Buying Gold
Cryptocurrencies Mega Speculation
New DELTA COVID Wave
with
USD FX MASTER TRIGGER
USD BULL still in Action above Psychological Key Level 91.50 after Fed and Powell Testimony
DXY above Psychological Key Level 90 , still > 91.50
vs
Present Bear Contraction from 92.80 Zone – Back < Higher 92.50 and Lower 92.30 – (EOW 92.25)
and
Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Locdowns
with
FED Mega ”Central Printing“
but with
FED Projections
TAPER
First post-pandemic Interest Rate Hikes into 2023
vs
ECB Mega ” Central Printing” with “MORE” Option
and
Biden Stimulus Ecstasy and Corporate Tax Offer 15% minimum
but with
New COVID Wave
Delta Virus Mutation from India
New Lockdowns RIKS OFF Strikes
vs
COVID Vaccines Global Hope
with
all time Active
WARNINGS
Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning
‘Train Wreck’ Stock Market Crash
Stagflationary Debt Crisis
10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…
Legendary Investor Jeremy Grantham Warning
” Epic Bubble ”
“Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Warning
” Mother of All Crashes ”
Rob Subbaraman Nomura
Cassandra Warning Model
vs
COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes
Global Recovery Hopes
created by Mainstream
but with
Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
First…ATA from 6.05.2019
” Rising Risk Factor – Wall Street Bear Wave Future Activated
Present VIX Master Psychological Key Levels Zone in Smart Money Focus
CBOE VIX 10 – 15 – 18
S&P500 VIX Futures 10 – 15
VIX Reaction before & on Start Monday US Session
CBOE VIX Max 18.80 vs 17.69 – US session Start
S&P500 VIX Futures Max 16.78 vs 16.17 – US session Start “
&
ATA Master Warning Tweet
CBOE VIX and S&P500 VIX Futures Situation
CBOE VIX and S&P500 VIX Futures LONG TERM SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
The Hardest is to be Patient
Trend is Your Friend
Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante
Charts Worth more than 1000 Words
Charts have No Temperature
Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante
Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal
Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast
Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…
First…Key Master Motives
Second…Market Technical Patterns
First of All
After 2019 Year RISK OFF Signals Activated
First…Bull Reversal Risk Pattern – Inverted 2B
( Line Charts )
CBOE VIX Key Level 13
500 VIX Futures Key Level 14.50
Second…Dynamic RISK OFF Waves
CBOE VIX from 13 to 85 Key Level Zone
500 VIX Futures from 14.50 to 80 Key Level Zone
Finally…Covid Panic Top – March 2020
CBOE VIX in 85 Key Level Zone
500 VIX Futures in 80 Key Level Zone
and
After 2020 Year RISK ON Signals Activated
Bear Waves
CBOE VIX from 85 to 15 Key Level Zone
500 VIX Futures from 80 to 15-18 Key Levels Zone
Now dominating
Testing
CBOE VIX
Pattern Inception
Lower Edge
Bull Ending Diagonal
Bull Large Inverted Ending Diagonal
15 Key Level Zone
500 VIX Futures
Lower Edge Bear Channel
15-18 Key Levels Zone
vs
MACD Monthly Sell Signals
with
Open Scenario RISK OFF Wave Reactivation
other words
Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…
VIX Present Active Battlefield
CBOE VIX 15 Key Level Zone
500 VIX Futures 15-18 Key Levels Zone
ATA Secular Investment Conclusion
special focus on
CBOE VIX 15 Key Level Zone
500 VIX Futures 15-18 Key Levels Zone
with
Open Scenario RISK OFF Wave Reactivation
other words
Machiavellian Smart Money Plan…
ATA Wall Street Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction….
First…EOM – July
CBOE VIX & S&P500 VIX Futures Monthly Charts
6.05.2019 ( US Session Start )
2.07.2021 – EOD
