Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing – 5th ELLIOTT WAVE Extended Moves…

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

Elliott Waves Perspective

2019

8.08.2019 –  Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing – Global Tech Bull Hope…

12.10.2019 –  Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing – Tech Bull Final Strike…

2020

15.02.2020 – Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing – 5th ELLIOTT WAVE in Action…

2021

2.04.2021 – Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing – 5th ELLIOTT WAVE Extended in Action…

ATA Following …

Philadelphia Semiconductor Index

2021

10.06.2021 – Philadelphia Semiconductor Index – Crunch Time…

VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF

2021

11.06.2021 – VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF – Chip Point Break…

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing  Main Motives

Global Chips Shortage

Chips Global Hunting creating by Mainstream Media

Strong Global Tech – Chips Demand

with

TSM ATH – 140 USD Zone February 2021  ( stricte 142.20 USD )

Bull Strike to Psychological Key Level 140 USD

February 2021

and

still Active Bear Contraction to Lower Psychological Key Level 100 USD Zone

February – Present June 2021

with

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Global Equties – special Wall Street – Nasdaq – US TECH Risk 

Nasdaq 100 Futures New Testing Psychological Key Level 14.000

Global Debt Rising

FED TAPERING Scenario – for Now Delayed even after US CPI Fastest Surge since 1992

US INFLATION Skyrocket

Russia plans to Cut Dollar Holdings in Wealth Fund to ZERO

China & Russia Buying Gold

Cryptocurrencies Mega Speculation

Asia New COVID Wave

with

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD BULL Strike above Master Key Level 90 Zone after ECB and US CPI Strikes

DXY above Master Psychological Key Level 90 and even Higher 90.50  –  ( Now 90.55 )

and

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Locdowns

with

FED Mega ”Central Printing“

FED TAPER ON Key Scenario for Now Delayed 

ECB Mega ” Central Printing” with “MORE” Option

and

Biden Stimulus Ecstasy and Corporate Tax Offer 15% minimum

but with

Asia New COVID Wave

Virus Mutation – Now special India

Vietnam New Hybrid COVID-19 Variant

Vietnam new coronavirus variant – hybrid of India and the U.K

vs

COVID Vaccines Global Hope

with

still Active

Clear Risky Motive

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

vs

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

with

Afterpandemic New Reality 

Global Economy Reopen

K – Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections 

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

First…ATA from  2.04.2021

” Now still dominating

V  Rising Wave 

5 of V Wave Action

Fib Ext Targets 155 – 160 USD Zone

Second…TSMC  Situation 

TSMC  LONG TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Trend is Your Friend

Fibonacci Ext and Ret shows Master Levels ex ante

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns

After

Change Elliott Prefered Scenario

from 5-th Wave to 5-th Wave Extension

Activated 5-th Wave Extension Scenario

Now still dominating

V  Rising Wave 

5 of V Wave Action

Fib Ext Targets 155 – 160 USD Zone

with

3 Wave Top ( 140 USD Zone ) and 4 Wave Low ( 100 USD Zone )

Finally…5-th Wave Ahead

Targets 155 – 160 USD Zone

All Time

Most Important

V Wave Structure – Range – Targets 

Structure – Five Waves 

5th Wave still Active for Now

ATA Investment Conclusion

Present Active  5 of V  Rising  Wave

V Wave Extented Structure

3 Wave Top ( 140 USD Zone ) and 4 Wave Low ( 100 USD Zone )

Finally…5-th Wave Ahead

Targets 155 – 160 USD Zone

so

special Focus on

V Wave Structure – Range – Targets 

Present Targets 

Fib Ext Targets 155 – 160 USD Zone

and of course

TSMC – Global Tech – Chips News

Next China  US Fut  Markets  Smart Money Moves

New Coronavirus News 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOM – Now June

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing  Monthly Charts

Elliott Wave Count &  Fib Ext 

7.08.2019 

Taiwan Semiconductor - M - Elliott

11.10.2019 

Taiwan Semiconductor - M - Elliott

14.02.2020 – EOW 

Taiwan Semiconductor - M - Elliott - Line
Taiwan Semiconductor - M - Elliott
Taiwan Semiconductor - M - Elliott - Focus

1.04.2021 – EOD

11.06.2021 – EOW

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