Philadelphia Semiconductor Index – Crunch Time…

Philadelphia Semiconductor Index – Back Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2019

29.04.2019 –  Philadelphia Semiconductor Index – Cheap Chips …!!???

10.10.2019 – Philadelphia Semiconductor Index – Surfing on Tops…

2021

4.05.2021 – Philadelphia Semiconductor Index – Chip ICARUS Risk…

Philadelphia Semiconductor Index  –  Master Motives 

Global Chips Shortage

Chips Global Hunting creating by Mainstream Media

Strong Global Tech – Chips Demand

vs

Semiconductor Index Losing Momentum in Chip ICARUS Flight

with

RISK OFF Scenario Rising Probability

Global Equties – special Wall Street and US TECH Risk 

Global Debt Rising

FED TAPERING Scenario – for Now Delayed after Last Friday US Job – Payrolls

US INFLATION Rising

Russia plans to Cut Dollar Holdings in Wealth Fund to ZERO

China & Russia Buying Gold

Cryptocurrencies Mega Speculation

Asia New COVID Wave

with

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD F/X  Global Master Gold Pathfinder

USD BEAR WAVE Reactivation after Last Friday US Job – Payrolls Strike

FED TAPER ON Key Scenario for Now Delayed after US Job – Payrolls Publication

DXY Dynamic Falling Contraction – Green Bear Strike Back

FX Trigger Activated DXY 90.50

Back under Higher Key Level 90.50

vs

still above Master Psychological Key Level 90 ( Now 90.21 )

and

Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Locdowns

with

FED Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “

vs

FED First Tapering Signals vs for Now Delayed after US Job – Payrolls

and

Biden Stimulus Ecstasy and Corporate Tax Offer 15% minimum

but with

Asia New COVID Wave

Virus Mutation – Now special India

Vietnam New Hybrid COVID-19 Variant

Vietnam new coronavirus variant – hybrid of India and the U.K

vs

COVID Vaccines Global Hope

with

still Active

Clear Risky Motive

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

vs

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

with

Afterpandemic New Reality 

Global Economy Reopen

K – Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections 

Main CENTRAL BANKS -Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

First…ATA from  4.05.2021

Philadelphia Semiconductor Index Battlefield

Active Zone 3000 – 3100

Philadelphia Semiconductor ETF Battlefield

Active Zone 400 – 430-450 USD

Second…Philadelphia Semiconductor Index Situation 

Philadelphia Semiconductor Index  SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

The Hardest is to be Patient

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Master Motives 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns

Quarterly  & Monthly View 

First of  All

Bull Dynamic Wave Losing Momentum

specially SOXX ETF

Testing Upper Edge Inverted Long Term Ending Diagonal

Psychological Key Level 430 – 450 USD Zone

with

still Activated

Bear Reversal Patterns

Ending Diagonals

SOX Index

Move Out from Diagonal – Lower Edge Key Level 3150

SOXX ETF

Move Out from Diagonal – Lower Edge Key Level 430 USD

Philadelphia Semiconductor Index Battlefield

Active Zone 3000-3100 vs 3150-3300

Philadelphia Semiconductor ETF Battlefield

Active Zone 400 vs 430-450 USD

ATA Investment Conclusion

Special Focus on

Active Zone

3000-3100 vs 3150-3300  ( SOX Index )

400 vs 430-450 USD ( SOXX ETF )

with

still Active Ending Diagonals

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE…!!!

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N- TIMES

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – June  &  EOQ – Q2/2021

PHLX  Semiconductor Index  &  ETF Monthly Charts

29.04.2019

Semiconductor Index - M - Line log
Semiconductor Index - M - Line log - Focus
Semiconductor ETF - M - Line log
Semiconductor ETF - M - Line log - Focus

PHLX  Semiconductor Index  &  ETF  Quarterly & Monthly Charts

10.10.2019 – ( Start US Session )

Semiconductor Index - Q
Semiconductor Index - M
Semiconductor Index - M - Line log
Semiconductor ETF - M - Line log

PHLX  Semiconductor Index  &  ETF  Monthly Line Charts

3.05.2021 – EOD

PHLX  Semiconductor  ETF & Index Quarterly & Monthly Charts

9.06.2021 – EOD

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