NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR – KIWI FX 2021 Year FLAT LINE..

New Zealand  Dollar  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2018

21.07.2018 –  NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR F/X Barometer signalizes RISK ON Wave…

29.07.2018 –  NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR DOESN’T SURRENDER YUAN WEAKNESS…

4.08.2018 –  NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR – FIGHT in FIBONACCI ZONE…

9.08.2018 –  NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR –RBNZ VERDICT…

2019

4.06.2019 – NEW ZEALAND DOLLAR after RBNZ May Rate Cut…

New Zealand  Dollar  – KIWI  Master Motives

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand Verdict – April 2021

held its official cash rate (0CR) at a record low of 0.25%

left unchanged

the Large Scale Asset Purchase (LSAP) Programme of up to $100 billion

the Funding for Lending Programme (FLP) operation

Next RBNZ  Meeting Tomorrow 26 May

with

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD F/X  Global Master Currencies Pathfinder

USD BEAR WAVE Continuation after Fed Minutes

FED TAPER ON Scenario vs US Financial Markets TAPER OFF Scenario

DXY Dynamic Fall Continuation – Green Bears Strike Back

Shot Down under Master Psychological Key Level 90 

Test Lower Key Level 89.50

and

New Zealand AUSTRALIA – ASIA – CHINA – US &  Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Locdowns

with

FED Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “

vs

FED First Tapering Signals

and

Biden Stimuls Ecstasy

but with

Virus Mutation – Now special India

vs

COVID Vaccines Global Hope

with

still Active

Clear Risky Motive

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

vs

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

New Zealand AUSTRALIA – ASIA – CHINA – US – Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

with

Afterpandemic New Reality 

Global Economy Reopen

K – Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections 

RBNZRBA-BoC-PBoC-FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

First…ATA from 4.06.2019

” for Now Active

Long Term W Pattern in 0.64-0.65 Zone

vs

RISK OFF Scenarios 

Risk of  Free Fall to

2015  Low ( 0.6235 ) 

or even

2009 Low ( 0.49 – 0.50 ) 

Second…Present  New Zealand  Dollar  Situation 

NZD KIWI  SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN SECULAR ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

First…Main Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

NZD/USD

First of All

After

Strong Dynamic KIWI Bear Wave

March 2020 Pandemic Panic

Shot Down under…

Key Low 2015 Year Zone – 0.62

Psychological 0.60

Test Lower 0.55 Key Level Zone

with

Canceled W Pattern – 2015 Year Low Zone – 0.62

Break Down under Lower Edge Ending Diagonal – 0.61

Finally

First…

March 2020 Monthly Candlestick – Super Long Lower Shadow

Test Fib Ret 78.6-88.6% Long Term KIWI Bull Wave

Second…

Shot Up – Back above Key Level 0.62

Activated KIWI Bull Reversal Pattern – Inverted 2B

Back inside – Rising above Higher Edge – Activated Ending Diagonal

and

Dynamic KIWI Bull Wave

but with

Test Fib Ret 56.4-61.8% Last Long Term KIWI Bear Wave

Now dominating

FX KIWI Fighting in Higher Psychological Key Level 0.70-0.73 Zone

with

Monthly MACD Buy Signal 

NZD Present Battlefield 

0.70   vs    0.730.75

with

Master Support  Key Level 0.70

vs

Master Resistance   Key Level 0.75

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Special Focus on

Present Active FX KIWI Range

0.70   vs    0.73-0.75

with

FIB RET Last Long Term Bear Wave 

ATA FX Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N- TIMES

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

EOM – Now  May

NZD/USD Monthly Charts

20.07.2018

Your new TVC

27.07.2018

Your new TVC (7)

3.08.2018

Your new TVC (12)

9.08.2018

Your new TVC

4.06.2019

NZD - USD - M

25.05.2021 – First Half European Session

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