SWISS FRANC – EURO/CHF – SWISS SAFE HAVEN BACK WARNING…

SWISS FRANC  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

First of All

SWISS FRANC

2013

28.03.2013 – SWISS STORM…

&

2019

2.08.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – SWISS SPARK in F/X DARK…

27.08.2019 – SWISS FRANC – under Short Term RISK ON Pressure…

25.09.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – from RISK ON Hope to RISK OFF Pressure…

12.12.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – Bull – Bear Fight on Central Trinity FED, SNB, ECB Verdicts & Trump New Verbal Deal Euphory…

21.12.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – Strong Swiss Relative Strength…

2020 

4.01.2020 –  SWISS FRANC – IRAN Motive…

14.01.2020 –  SWISS FRANC – SWISS WARNING – No Falling on No IRAN War Motive…

13.05.2020 – SWISS FRANC – EURO/CHF – EUROZONE VIRUS…

2021

25.02.2021 – SWISS FRANC – EURO/CHF – ESCAPE from SWISS SAFE HAVEN…

SWISS FRANC   EUR/CHF  Master  Present Motives

Swiss National Bank ( SNB ) Verdict – March 2021

left its policy rate and the interest rate on sight deposits at minus 0.75% – the world’s lowest

Bank highlighted its continued willingness to intervene in foreign exchange markets,

as the Swiss franc remains highly valued

SNB softened its language, stating it would intervene “as necessary”

vs

EUROZONE – EURO ECB Factors

with

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD F/X  Global Master Currencies Pathfinder

USD BEAR WAVE Stopped with Latest Friday GREEN BULL Contraction

FED TAPER ON Scenario Winning for Now with Last US Financial Markets TAPER OFF Scenario

DXY Dynamic Fall Stopped

with

Green Bulls Strike Back – Latest Friday Shot Up – Back > Master Psychological Key Level 90 

and

Switzerland – EUROZONE – ASIA – CHINA – US &  Global Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Locdowns

with

SNB ” CENTRAL PRINTING “

ECB  Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “

FED Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “

with

SNB still ready for Forex Intervention

vs

FED First Tapering Signals

and

Biden Stimuls Ecstasy

but with

Virus Mutation – Now special India

vs

COVID Vaccines Global Hope

with

still Active

Clear Risky Motive

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

vs

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Switzerland – EUROZONE – ASIA – CHINA – US – Global Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

with

Afterpandemic New Reality 

Global Economy Reopen

K – Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections 

SNB-RBA-BoC-PBoC-FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

First…ATA  from  25.02.2021

” Activated

EURO Bullish Reversal Patterns 

Pattern Inception 

Bigger Long Term Ending Diagonal 

Upper Edge –  Key Level  1..09

&

Smaller Long Term Ending Diagonal 

Upper Edge –  Key Level  1..07 “

Second…Present  SWISS FRANC  Situation 

SWISS FRANC  EUR/CHF SECULAR & LONG TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

SWISS FRANC Secular & Long Term View

EUR/CHF

Monthly View 

First of All

After Activated

First…

EURO Bullish Reversal Patterns 

Pattern Inception 

Bigger Long Term Ending Diagonal 

started forming in 2007 Year

Upper Edge –  Key Level  1..09

&

Smaller Long Term Ending Diagonal 

started forming  May 2018 Year

Upper Edge –  Key Level  1..07

Second…

EURO Bull Wave above Psychological Key Level 1.10

but with

Test 38.2% Fib Ret Last Long Term Bear Wave

and

Test Upper Edge – Key Level 1.1150

Bear Reversal Pattern on Horizon

Inverted Ending Diagonal

with

Swiss Contraction under Psychological Key Level 1.10

Inverted Ending Diagonal

Rising Probability Scenario – First… Future Test Lower Edge – Key Level 1.0850

vs

MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

SWISS FRANC  Long Term  Battlefield 

EUR/CHF

1.08-1.0850  vs   1.10 – 1.1150

ATA Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on

Present Master  Range

1.08-1.0850  vs   1.10 – 1.1150

ATA FX Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

always remember

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N – TIMES

Finally …

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

Now EOM –  May

EUR/CHF ;  USD/CHF  ; GBP/CHF  &  SWISS FRANC FUTURES Charts 

2.08.2019 –  ( First Phase US Session )

EUR-CHF - M
USD-CHF - M
GBP-CHF - M
CHF FUT - M
CHF FUT - M - Line

EUR/CHF  Monthly  Charts :

13.05.2020  ( Second Half European Session )

EUR-CHF - M
EUR-CHF - M - Line

25.02.2021 – Asian Session

21.05.2021 – EOW

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