EM CURRENCIES – EM Strong Negative Divergences and EM Warnings…

EM CURRENCIES   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2016

21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…

7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…

2018

16.06.2018  –  DXY – MASTER KEY TO ALL EM DOORS…

17.06.2018  –  DXY – EM Currency Side of American Dollar…

11.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X NORTHERN STAR for EM CURRENCIES…

18.08.2018 –  DXY vs EM CURRENCIES on TURKISH RATING DOUBLE IMPACT…

2019

2.06.2019 –  EM CURRENCIES – SILENCE before the DXY STORM …

14.07.2019 –  EM CURRENCIES – DXY HOSTAGES…

29.08.2019 –  EM CURRENCIES – RISK OFF STRIKE to DANGER ZONE…

2020

25.08.2020 – EM CURRENCIES – IN A LINE ON FX FIRE…

18.11.2020 – EM CURRENCIES – EMERGING FX BULL IN CHARGE…

EM CURRENCIES Master Motives

EM CURRENCIES BULL STRIKES

USD FX MASTER TRIGGER

USD F/X  Master EM Currencies Pathfinder

USD BEAR WAVE Stopped

DXY After Dynamic Fall – Green Bulls Strike Back from Master Psychological Key Level 90

EM CURRENCIES – BULL STRIKES

and

EM from Both Americas &  Europe – Asia Trade & Economy Recovery after Pandemic – Locdowns

with

FED Mega ” CENTRAL PRINTING “

FED No any Tapering Signals

Biden Stimuls Ecstasy

but with

Virus Mutation – Now special India

vs

COVID Vaccines Global Hope

with

still Active

Clear Risky Motive

Roubini ‘Dr. Doom’ Mega Warning

10-year Depression is coming… investors far too confident about a possible recovery…

vs

COVID-19 Vaccines Hopes 

Global EM Recovery Hopes 

created by Mainstream

with

Afterpandemic New Reality 

Global Economy Reopen

K – Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections 

PBoC-FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

First…ATA from  18.11.2020

” After

Last Bull Reversal & EM FX Bull Strike 

with

Latest Flat Correction Hybryd 

Now dominating

New Bull EM FX Move 

ATA  EM FX  Investment Conclusion 

special focus on

Present Bull Strike Impet & Momentum

Second…Present EM CURRENCIES  Situation 

EM CURRENCIES LONG TERM ACTION 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Charts Worth more than 1000 Words

Charts have No Temperature

Charts always show Reversal Pattern First ex ante

Bullish Bearish Divergences – Hidden Key to Reversal

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

Invest – Trade vs Don’t Forecast

Secular/Long Term View shows the Truth

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Long Term  View 

First of All

After

First…Bear Reversal & EM FX Bear Contraction

Second…Bull Reversal & EM FX Bull Strike 

Now dominating

Bull EM FX Move Losing Momentum

with

EM Strong Negative Divergences and EM Warnings

EM FX Daily Perspective 

MSCI Intl Emerging Market EMEA Currency

New Bull Wave after Rising above Bear Trendline

vs

Inverted Ending Diagonal Pattern

Near January 2020 Top Zone Key Levels 1620 – 1615 Zone

MSCI Intl Emerging Market Currency

Bear Contraction with Rising Risk of Long Term and Medium Term 2B Bear Reversal Patterns

2018 and 2021 Years Tops

Key Levels 1730 – 1720 Zone

WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy – ETF 

No New Higher Top after Last Bull Strike

with

No Rising above Bear Long Term Trendline

Key Levels 18.35-18.40 Zone

ATA  EM FX  Investment Conclusion 

special focus on

Present Bull Strike Impet & Momentum

with

EM Strong Negative Divergences and EM Warnings

and of course

DXY Present Psychological Master Key Level 90

ATA  FX Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

EOM – Now  May

DXY  &  EM CURRENCY INDEX & ETF   Weekly Charts

17.06.2018

Your new TVC (10)
Your new TVC (13)
Your new TVC (14)

10.08.2018

DXY-W
EM1 - W
EM2 - W

17.08.2018

DXY -W
MSCI -W
CEW I -W

DXY , MSCI Intl Emerging Market EMEA Currency ,  MSCI Intl Emerging Market Currency & WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Monthly & Weekly Charts

31.05.2019 

DXY V - M
DXY V - W
EM CURRENCY - EMEA - M
EM CURRENCY - EMEA - W
EM CURRENCY - M
EM CURRENCY - W
CEW - M
CEW - W

12.07.2019 

DXY V - M
DXY V - W
EM CURRENCY - EMEA - M
EM CURRENCY - EMEA - W
EM CURRENCY - M
EM CURRENCY - W
CEW - M
CEW - W

DXY , MSCI Intl Emerging Market EMEA Currency ,  MSCI Intl Emerging Market Currency & WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy

Monthly  Weekly & Daily Charts

29.08.2019 ( First Phase of  US Session )

DXY - M - Secular
DXY - M - Secular - Focus
DXY V - W
EM CURRENCY - EMEA - D
EM CURRENCY - D
EM CURRENCY ETF - D

MSCI Intl Emerging Market EMEA Currency ,  MSCI Intl Emerging Market Currency & WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy

Daily Charts

24.08.2020 – EOD 

EM CURRENCY - EMEA - D
EM CURRENCY - D
EM CURRENCY ETF - D

17.11.2020 – EOD

14.05.2021 – EOD

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