Bloomberg Commodity Index – Secular Horizon Aggregate Awakening…

Bloomberg Commodity Index – Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2012

23.04.2012 – CRB – Kierunkowskaz dla EM…

2015

27.09.2015 – CRB – IT’S NOW OR NEVER…

9.12.2015 – CRB – USD IS THE COMMODITIES KEY

2020

12.04.2020 –  Bloomberg Commodity Index – Secular Horizon in Shadows of USD & COVID-19…

Bloomberg Commodity Index  Present Main Motives

Global Recovery Breakdown Risk

vs

Back to Normal – 2021 Horizon

Central Banks & Governments Rescue Actions 

still with

Global Coronavirus Pandemic – still High Risk 

Wuhan Exodus Extreme – Coronavirus Second Wave Risk

&

USD Master F/X  Vector for  Commodities 

FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swan

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

&

FED “Central Printing Projection”

Balance Sheet  Skyrocket Rising

Wall Street Factor  for  Commodities 

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

or even

1929 Great Depression 

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

First…ATA from  12.04.2020

” Now dominating

Stopping  Wave Down 

with

Bull Contraction 

Back above Key Level 63 – Test 63.50 Zone 

Second…Present  Bloomberg Commodity Index  Situation

COMMODITIES INDEX  SECULAR PERSPECTIVE

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN  SECULAR  ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Monthly View 

First of All  All Time

Secular Horizontal  Range 

still dominating

Secular Ending Diagonal Pattern ( Line Chart )

&

Secular Bear Channel

with

Long Term Ending Diagonal Pattern

( Candlestick Chart )

still Under Secular Horizon Lows Zone  1999 – 2016 Years 

74 – 75 ( Line Chart )

72 – 73  ( Candle Chart )

vs

Rising Wave above Psychological Key Level 70 

with

Testing Secular Horizon Lows Zone  1999 – 2016 Years 

ATA Bloomberg Commodity Index  Secular Research 

After

First…Created

Major All Time High Top before Lehman

Second…Activated

Major Bear Reversal Pattern – 2B  – 2008 year 

H&S Pattern – 2009 – 2014 years

Last Hybrid H&S – 2016 – 2020 years 

&

Break Down Secular Trendline 

Dynamic Waterfall Shot 

Test  lower Psychological Key Level 60

( low 59.08 – March 2020 )

Last

Stopping  Wave Down 

Now still dominating

Bull Contraction 

Back above Psychological Key Level 70 

with

Testing Secular Horizon Lows Zone  1999 – 2016 Years 

inside

Secular Ending Diagonal

( Line Chart )

Long Term Inverted Ending Diagonal

( Candlestick Chart )

with

MACD Monthly Activated Buy Signal 

Bloomberg Commodity Index  Battlefield 

70   vs  75

ATA Investment Conclusion

still special focus on

September 2016 Low Zone  &  Trendline 

Psychological Key Levels  70  & 75 

vs

Last Low Zone

Psychological Key Level  60

with

Open RISK OF Option – Bear Wave Continuation 

Strike under Key Level  60

vs

Open RISK ON Option – Strong Bull Wave Activation 

Dynamic back above Key Level 75 

with

Appetite for US Dollar Destruction…!!!

Research Pattern Confirmation

and of course

New Global USD Moves – DXY Direction 

with

New Coronavirus News

New Global Macro Economy News 

vs

Governments & Central Banks Helping Strikes 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important s Final Smart money Reaction…

EOM – Now October

Bloomberg Commodity Index Monthly  Charts

23.04.2012

CRB -2015

29.07.2015

CRB -7-2015

9.12.2015 

CRB -12-2015

9.04.2020 – EOD

CRB -M Line
CRB -M

20.10.2020 – before start European Session

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