DJTA – January 2020 Deja Vu Scenario Rising Risk…

DJTA – Back Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2016 – 2017

30.12.2016 – DJTA – RISK OFF FACTOR…

31.12.2016 – DJTA – SHOOTING STAR ON WALL STREET SKY…

10.03.2017 – US STOCKS ACTIVE WARNING – DOW TRANSPORTATION…

2019

19.05.2019 –  DJTA – Lower Top Negative Divergence…

8.10.2019 –  DJTA – TRANSPORT under BEAR CONTROL…

2020

21.01.2020 – DJTA – Vamos DJIA but still with Bear Reversal Risk from 2018…

with

ATA Following …

Latest

S&P 500

6.09.2020 – S&P 500 – Pullback but with Bear Reversal Risk…

DJIA 

6.09.2020 – DJIA – FINAL TOUCH RISING RISK…

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 

4.09.2020 – NASDAQ(S) INDEX SPECTRUM – BEARS STRIKES BACK…

FANG+ Index 

5.09.2020 – FANG + INDEX – FANG BANG BANG…

&

Special Super ex ante

China – Shanghai Index 

2.02.2020 –  SHANGHAI INDEX – Secular BULL Perspective before Expected Coronavirus Bear Main Strike…

Master  Latest  DJTA   Motives

Secular Motives 

still Active

Tech Boom Cycle – Nasdaq Run

with

DJTA Vamos Nasdaq & DJIA

on

Afterpandemic New Reality 

US  & Global Economy Reopen

V – Shaped Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections 

vs

Pandemic Second Wave Fear Strikes Back  

FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

ATA  DJTA Conclusion 

after

Pandemic Tactic Shot Down 

for Now

Bulls New Touch September 2018 & January 2020 Top Zone

but with

Latest Bear Shot Down

vs

Long Term Horizon 

Wall Street Factor  for  DJTA

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

or even

1929 Great Depression 

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK

First…ATA  from  21.01.2020 

Bear Reversal Pattern Inception 

M or  2B  Long Term Pattern Risk 

Key Level  11.600 Zone 

&

Ending Diagonal Long Term Risk 

Upper Edge – Key Level 12.200 

Second…DJTA Present  Situation 

DJIA  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Charts have No Temperature

Markets Never Wrong vs Often Mistaken 

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

Final…INVEST & TRADE – DON’T FORECAST…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

First of All

still

All Time High  11.623,58 – September  2018 

After

Activated

Bear Reversal Pattern – M – Key Level 11.350

&

Pandemic Panic Sell Off

with

Test January 2016 Low – Key Level 6.400 Zone

&

Activated

Bull Reversal Pattern – W – Key Level 6.400

with

Bull Dynamic Wave

Now dominating

New Testing January 2020 Top Zone

with

Latest Bear Strike Back

&

Finally Bear Reversal Pattern Rising Risk

2B – Key Level 11.350 Zone

with

Quarterly Q3/20 Bull Candlestick 

MACD Quarterly Sell Signal 

vs

September Doji Monthly Candlestick 

MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

ATA Investment Conclusion

2B Pattern Domination for Now

special focus on

Key Level 11.350

( Quarterly , Monthly Charts )

with

SM Reaction on 

EOM– September & EOQ – Q3/2020

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

EOQ – First…Q3

EOM – First…September


DJTA Monthly , Weekly  & Daily Charts

29.12.2016

DJTA-W

30.12.2016

DJTA-M
DJTA- W1

9.03.2017

DJTA -M3
DJTA -W3

17.05.2019

DJTA - M - Line
DJTA - W- Line
DJTA - D- Line
DJTA - W - Fib Ret

DJTA  Quarterly, Monthly , Weekly  & Daily Charts

8.10.2019 ( Second Half  US Session )

DJTA - Q
DJTA - M - Line
DJTA - W- Line
DJTA - D- Line
DJTA - W - Fib Ret

DJTA  Quarterly, Monthly , Weekly  Charts

17.01.2020 – EOW

DJTA - Q
DJTA - M - Line
DJTA - M
DJTA - W- Line

DJTA  Quarterly & Monthly Charts

4.09.2020 – EOD

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