Merval – Bankruptcy Heaven…

Merval  –  Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Following …

Bovespa 

14.06.2020 –  Bovespa – under Brazilian Pandemic Pressure…

 

Merval  Key Motives

Argentina  Bankruptcy Extreme High Risk 

with

FED – Powell  Wall Street Hard Awakening 

No Rate Hikes through 2022  – near ZERO again through 2022…

&

Afterpandemic New Reality 

US  & Global Economy Reopen

U or L – Shaped Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections 

vs

FED Powell Warning 

US W-shaped Recovery too optimistic

 

FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

 

ATA Conclusion 

Wall Street Factor  for Merval    

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

or even

1929 Great Depression 

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK

 

Merval

 

ATA Key Tweet 

 

Present  Merval Index Situation 

MERVAL  INDEX  LONG TERM  SITUATION 

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Charts have No Temperature

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Long Term  View 

First of All

Merval –  June 2020 All Time High 

Psychological Key Level 50.000 Zone

( 48.988.82 )

 

Merval Index Perspective 

After

First…Break Up from Wilde Horizon Trend 

Second…Touch FIB EXT  3.618 %  Zone 

Psychological Key Level 50.000 Zone

Now dominating

Dynamic Bear Contraction 

Test FIB RET  23.6% Zone Last Wave Down 

with still Active

MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

 

Present  Merval   Battlefield

40.000   vs   50.000 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present Active Merval  Range 

40.000   vs   50.000 

&

All FIB RET-s 

and of course with New

Argentina Bankruptcy

Coronavirus News 

Global Macro Economy News 

Governments & Central Banks Rescue Strikes 

 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

 

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

N- TIMES

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – June

 

Merval   Monthly Charts

12.06.2020 – EOW 

Merval - M - Line

Merval - M

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