POLAND BOND YIELD – Awakening from Fever…

POLAND  YIELD –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

11.05.2020 –  POLAND BOND YIELD – Bull Contraction in Action…

&

17.05.2020 –  POLAND BOND YIELD – Polish Central Bank Debt Run Action…

with

ATA Following …

Lehman Factor 

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

POLAND 10Y BOND YIELD  Major Motives

Polish Central Bank in Polish Debt Run  Action 

with

Polish Central Bank ( NBP )  – Central Factor 

NBP  First Easing Process – Polish QE   ON

Polish Central Bank Projection

RPP doesn’t rule out Rate Cut 2 Half 2020

&

Poland – EUROZONE – US –  Global Economy Reopen

U or L – Shaped Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections 

Hopes of Potential Coronavirus Drug from Gilead Sciences

vs

Polish Politic Rising Risk

Polish Debt Dynamic Rising 

PLN – Vamos EURO – under Negative Pressure 

with

EUROZONE & EURO Structural Risk 

ITALY- ” Dead Country Walking ”

only with Central Help – ECB economic life-support machine…

EURO Master F/X  Vector for  GERMAN 10Y BOND YIELD 

 

FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

&

Global &  ECB  “Central Printing Projection”

with

Last Poland  Yield  Dynamic Fall Strike 

vs

US  GERMAN & SWISS  Yield Wave Up still ON 

 

ATA POLAND 10Y BOND YIELD  Conclusion 

Long Term Horizon 

EUROZONE – SWISS – US -& Global Debt Crisis – Rising Probability 

&

Wall Street  & Eurozone – DAX Factor  for  POLAND 10Y BOND YIELD 

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

or even

1929 Great Depression 

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK

 

POLAND BONDS - 2

 

First of All…ATA from 15.09.2018 

” ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!! ” 

First…

ATA from  17.05.2020 

New Smart Money Playground 

Key Level   1.15 – 1.20%  vs  1.30%

First…Bear Wave  Stop 

Second…Active Bull Scenario 

Finally

Bull Strong Dynamic Contraction 

with

Future Active

First…

Short  Term Bull Reversal Pattern

Inverted 2B – Key Level 1.30%      ”

 

10Y POLAND BOND YIELD –  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

First…Market Motives :

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Pattern :

Monthly View 

first of all

Mega Long Term Downtrend 

Stopped  for Now

after Last Bull Contraction

from  Last All Time Low – 1.20% Zone – May 2020 

with

Back above Psychological Key Level – 1.30% – April 2020 

with

May Bear Monthly Candlestick

but with

Long Lower Shadow for Now

with

Three Bull Reversal Patterns

Inverted Ending Diagonal 

Upper Edge – Key Level  1.60%

Lower  Edge – Key Level  1.15%

( Candlestick Chart )

Ending Diagonal 

( Line Chart )

Upper Edge – Key Level  1.60%

Lower  Edge – Key Level  1.40%

for Now

Bear Strike – outside of  Pattern 

&

Activated

Short  Term Bull Reversal Pattern

Inverted 2B – Key Level 1.30%

by Present  dominating

Dynamic Shot Up above April Low 1.30% 

&

New Smart Money Playground 

Key Level  1.20 – 1.30%    vs   1.35 – 1.40%

with

MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

vs

Positive Divergence 

 

Finally

Now  First Signal  of  Bull Scenario

First…Bear Wave  Stop 

Second…Activated Short  Term Bull Reversal Pattern

Inverted 2B – Key Level 1.30%

with still wating for

Future Bull Harder Strike &  Active 

Long Term Bull Reversal Pattern

Inverted 2B – Key Level 1.94%

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present Smart Money Playground 

Key Level  1.20 – 1.30%    vs   1.35 – 1.40%

with

Polish Central Bank  Next Buying Strikes 

&

Main Global Yields with Central Banks Actions 

 

always remember

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction 

EOM – May 

 

Poland 10Y Bond Yield   Monthly  Charts :

11.05.2020 – EOD

Poland Yield - M - Line

Poland Yield - M

15.05.2020 – EOW

Poland Yield - M - Line

Poland Yield - M

19.05.2020 – Second Half European Session 

Poland Yield - M - Line

Poland Yield - M

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