SWISS FRANC – USD/CHF – COVID CALM…

SWISS FRANC  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

First of All

SWISS FRANC

2013

28.03.2013 – SWISS STORM…

&

2019

2.08.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – SWISS SPARK in F/X DARK…

27.08.2019 – SWISS FRANC – under Short Term RISK ON Pressure…

25.09.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – from RISK ON Hope to RISK OFF Pressure…

12.12.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – Bull – Bear Fight on Central Trinity FED, SNB, ECB Verdicts & Trump New Verbal Deal Euphory…

21.12.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – Strong Swiss Relative Strength…

2020 

4.01.2020 –  SWISS FRANC – IRAN Motive…

14.01.2020 –  SWISS FRANC – SWISS WARNING – No Falling on No IRAN War Motive…

 

SWISS FRANC   USD/CHF  Master  Present Motives

FED – Central Factor 

FED Funds Rate Negative-December 2020

First Time Negative Policy Rate Price

FED Mega Easing 

FED Balance Sheet Acceleration 

vs

SNB – Central Factor 

SNB  QE in Action 

ECB Balance Sheet Dynamic  Rising

with

US – Switzerland – EUROZONE –  Global Economy Reopen

U or L – Shaped Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections 

 

FED-SNB-Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

 

ATA  USD/CHF  Conclusion 

Long Term Horizon 

US & Global Debt Crisis – Rising Probability 

&

Wall Street Factor  for  USD/CHF 

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

or even

1929 Great Depression 

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK

 

Swiss-Franc- 9

 

First…ATA from 14.01.2020

” still Active

FRANC High Realative Strength 

SWISS CURRENCY WARNING 

FRANC   vs   WALL STREET  

LONG & MEDIUM TERM ECSTASY PROOF

Swiss Franc No Falling     “

 

Second…Present  SWISS FRANC  Situation 

SWISS FRANC  USD/CHF SECULAR & LONG TERM  SITUATION 

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

SWISS FRANC Secular & Long Term View

USD/CHF

Monthly View 

First of All

After Activated March 2020

Long Term Bear Pattern – H&S  

Neckline – Key Level  0.96

with

Dynamic Shot Down – Test February 2018 Low 0.9180 Zone 

vs

Dynamic Shot Up –  Back above Neckline – Key Level  0.96

( EOM – March 0.9614 )

Now still dominating

SECULAR SWISS FX VERDUN 

since  December 2011

Support Zone – Neckline – Key Level  0.96

of course with

H&S Pattern still in Play 

&

MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

vs

Potential W Pattern 

 

SWISS FRANC  Long Term  Battlefield 

USD/CHF

0.96  vs   0.98

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

USD/CHF

Focus carefully on 

Present Master  Range

0.96  vs  0.98

H&S Pattern  Active or Cancel

by

Final Smart Money Strike

 

always remember

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

Now EOM – May

 

EUR/CHF ;  USD/CHF  ; GBP/CHF  &  SWISS FRANC FUTURES Charts 

2.08.2019 –  ( First Phase US Session )

EUR-CHF - M

USD-CHF - M

GBP-CHF - M

CHF FUT - M

CHF FUT - M - Line

USD/CHF Intraday ( H4 )  Charts :

27.08.2019 (   Half of  US Session )

USD-CHF H4 -1

USD-CHF H4 -2

USD/CHF  Daily & Intraday ( H4 )  Charts :

25.09.2019 (  Before Start US Session )

USD-CHF - D

USD-CHF - H4

USD-CHF - H4-Focus

12.12.2019 (  First Half US Session )

USD-CHF - D

USD-CHF - H4

20.12.2019 – EOD 

USD-CHF - D

USD-CHF - H4

3.01.2020 – EOD 

USD-CHF - D

USD-CHF - H4

14.01.2020  ( Before Start US Session )

USD-CHF - D

USD-CHF - H4

USD/CHF  Monthly  Charts :

13.05.2020  ( First Half European Session )

USD-CHF - M

USD-CHF - M - Line

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