SWISS FRANC – EURO/CHF – EUROZONE VIRUS…

SWISS FRANC  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

First of All

SWISS FRANC

2013

28.03.2013 – SWISS STORM…

&

2019

2.08.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – SWISS SPARK in F/X DARK…

27.08.2019 – SWISS FRANC – under Short Term RISK ON Pressure…

25.09.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – from RISK ON Hope to RISK OFF Pressure…

12.12.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – Bull – Bear Fight on Central Trinity FED, SNB, ECB Verdicts & Trump New Verbal Deal Euphory…

21.12.2019 –  SWISS FRANC – Strong Swiss Relative Strength…

2020 

4.01.2020 –  SWISS FRANC – IRAN Motive…

14.01.2020 –  SWISS FRANC – SWISS WARNING – No Falling on No IRAN War Motive…

13.05.2020 –  SWISS FRANC – USD/CHF – COVID CALM…

with

ATA Following…

DEBT FACTOR 

12.05.2020 –  ITALIAN BOND YIELD – DEBT DOLCE VITA FINITO Rising Risk…

10.05.2020 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – Horizontal Drift with Volatility Shocks…

10.05.2020 –  SWISS BOND YIELD – Bull Trend Reversal Process…

SWISS FRANC   EUR/CHF  Master  Present Motives

ECB – Central Factor 

ECB Mega Easing 

ECB Balance Sheet Dynamic Rising

EUROZONE & EURO Structural Risk 

ITALY- ” Dead Country Walking ”

only with Central Help – ECB economic life-support machine…

vs

SNB – Central Factor 

SNB  QE in Action 

ECB Balance Sheet Dynamic  Rising

with

US – Switzerland – EUROZONE –  Global Economy Reopen

U or L – Shaped Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections 

ECB-SNB-Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

ATA  EUR/CHF  Conclusion 

Long Term Horizon 

EUROZONE & Global Debt Crisis – Rising Probability 

&

Wall Street & EUROZONE Index Factor  for  EUR/CHF 

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

or even

1929 Great Depression 

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK

Swiss-Franc- 10

Present  SWISS FRANC  Situation 

SWISS FRANC  EUR/CHF SECULAR & LONG TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

SWISS FRANC Secular & Long Term View

EUR/CHF

Monthly View 

First of All

All Time  dominating

Secular Bear Channel 

but with

EURO Bullish Reversal Patterns 

Pattern Inception 

Bigger Long Term Ending Diagonal 

stated forming in 2007 Year

Lower Edge –  Key Level  0.90

Upper Edge –  Key Level  1..09

&

Smaller Long Term Ending Diagonal 

stated forming  May 2018 Year

Lower Edge –  Key Level  1.05

Upper Edge –  Key Level  1..07

with

MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

SWISS FRANC  Long Term  Battlefield 

EUR/CHF

1.05  vs   1.07 – 1.09

ATA Investment Conclusion

EUR/CHF

EUROZONE VIRUS  but NOT COVID 19 

Focus carefully on 

Present Master  Range

1.05  vs   1.07 – 1.09

Smaller Long Term Ending Diagonal  

Active or Cancel

by

Final Smart Money Strike

always remember

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

Now EOM – May

EUR/CHF ;  USD/CHF  ; GBP/CHF  &  SWISS FRANC FUTURES Charts 

2.08.2019 –  ( First Phase US Session )

EUR-CHF - M

USD-CHF - M

GBP-CHF - M

CHF FUT - M

CHF FUT - M - Line

EUR/CHF  Monthly  Charts :

13.05.2020  ( Second Half European Session )

EUR-CHF - M

EUR-CHF - M - Line

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