POLAND BOND YIELD – Bull Contraction in Action…

POLAND  YIELD –  Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Following …

US YIELD

10.05.2020 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – Bulls vs Bears Fighting in Debt Abyss…

GERMAN YIELD

10.05.2020 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – Horizontal Drift with Volatility Shocks…

SWISS YIELD 

10.05.2020 –  SWISS BOND YIELD – Bull Trend Reversal Process…

&

Lehman Factor 

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

POLAND 10Y BOND YIELD  Major Motives

Polish Central Bank ( NBP )  – Central Factor 

NBP Start First Easing Process – Polish QE

&

Poland – EUROZONE – US –  Global Economy Reopen

U or L – Shaped Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections 

Hopes of Potential Coronavirus Drug from Gilead Sciences

vs

Polish Politic Rising Risk

Polish Debt Dynamic Rising 

PLN – Vamos EURO – under Negative Pressure 

with

EUROZONE & EURO Structural Risk 

ITALY- ” Dead Country Walking ”

only with Central Help – ECB economic life-support machine…

EURO Master F/X  Vector for  GERMAN  10Y BOND YIELD 

 

FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

&

Global &  ECB  “Central Printing Projection”

with

Last Poland  Yield Rising

on

US  GERMAN & SWISS  Yield Wave Up 

 

ATA POLAND 10Y BOND YIELD  Conclusion 

Long Term Horizon 

EUROZONE – SWISS – US -& Global Debt Crisis – Rising Probability 

&

Wall Street  & Eurozone – DAX Factor  for  POLAND 10Y BOND YIELD 

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

or even

1929 Great Depression 

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK

 

POLAND BONDS

 

10Y POLAND BOND YIELD –  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

First…Market Motives :

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Pattern :

Monthly View 

first of all

Mega Long Term Downtrend  stopped for Now 

All Time Low – 1.30% Zone – April 2020 

( Low 1.310% )

with

March & April Monthly Candlesticks 

Long Lower Shadows 

for Now

Present May Monthly Bull Candlestick 

with creating

Two Bull Reversal Patterns

Inverted Ending Diagonal 

Upper Edge – Key Level  1.70%

Lower  Edge – Key Level  1.25%

( Candlestick Chart )

&

Ending Diagonal 

( Line Chart )

Upper Edge – Key Level  1.60%

Lower  Edge – Key Level  1.40%

 

Now dominating

Dynamic Shot Up  from April Low 1.30% Zone

with

Back above Higher Psychological Key Level 1.50% 

vs

MACD Monthly still  Sell Signal 

but with

Positive Divergence 

 

Finally

Real Bull Scenario – Attack on 

First…

Inverted Ending Diagonal Upper Edge  1.70%

Ending Diagonal Upper Edge  1.60%

Second…2015 Year Low Zone  1.90%

Third…Psychological Key Level 2.00% 

&

Future Active Long Term Bull Reversal Pattern

Inverted 2B – Key Level 1.94%

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present Rising Contraction 

but of course for

Major Bull Effect 

IRON Conditions must be Confirm 

First…

No Dynamic Back under  & EOW under Master  1.30%

Second…

Rising above & EOW above Higher Masters 1.60% &  1.70%

 

always remember

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction 

EOM – May 

 

Poland 10Y Bond Yield   Monthly  Charts :

11.05.2020 – EOD

Poland Yield - M - Line

Poland Yield - M

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