US 10Y BOND YIELD – Bulls vs Bears Fighting in Debt Abyss…

US 10Y BOND YIELD  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation…

2018

10.01.2018  –  US BONDS – END(LESS) SUMMER MOVE ON…

30.01.2018  – US 10Y BOND YIELD WARNING…

14.02.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – The Show Must Go On…

25.04.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Who Wants to Live Forever…

16.05.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Mainstream Media Panic…

27.05.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – PERFECT AMBUSH…

15.09.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Strategic Attack on Psychological 3%…

4.11.2018  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – GAME CHANGER in Action…

18.11.2018 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – TACTICAL SAFE BACK…

2019

16.01.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Back to Neutral Zone…

1.04.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – NO MEGA SAFE ESCAPE…

29.05.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – Awakening & Run to Safe Haven…

22.06.2019 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – from DEBT RUSH to DEBT AMBUSH…

7.07.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH PROBABILITY RISING …

13.07.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH SCENARIO GOES ON…

with

ATA Following …

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Major Motives

FED – Central Factor 

FED Funds Rate Negative-December 2020

First Time Negative Policy Rate Price

FED Mega Easing 

FED Balance Sheet Acceleration 

&

US  & Global Economy Reopen

V-Shaped Recovery Scenario Mainstream Projections 

Hopes of Potential Coronavirus Drug from Gilead Sciences

vs

China Stop Buying US Debt Rising Risk 

&

FED Powell Warning 

US W-shaped Recovery too optimistic

FED QE Risk Off Strike

Cut QE from 75 Bln USD per day March to 8 Bln USD Now

of course with

USD Master F/X  Vector for  US 10Y BOND YIELD 

 

FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swans

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

&

FED “Central Printing Projection”

Balance Sheet  Skyrocket Rising  Future Move

Japanification in Global Central Action

BOJ  Mega Easing Process 

with

Last US Yield Rising

on

F/X Reason  USD –  Main Global Currency still Relative Strong

US Equity Reason – Wall Street  Bull  Run Continuation

 

ATA US 10Y BOND YIELD  Conclusion 

Long Term Horizon 

US & Global Debt Crisis – Rising Probability 

&

Wall Street Factor  for  US 10Y BOND YIELD 

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

or even

1929 Great Depression 

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK

 

US BONDS - 5

 

First..of All…ATA from 15.09.2018 

” ATA Strategic Conclusion

NEXT CRISIS

will be

GLOBAL DEBT ARMAGEDDON…!!! ” 

 

First…ATA from  13.07.2019

US Yield Long Term Picture

shows

Two Master Scenarios 

First…Rising US Yield

Active Defense Support Zone 2.00%

with

Probability of  Long Term Invert 2B Pattern 

Key Level 2.12%

vs

Second…Falling US Yield

Break Down Key Level  2.00%

&

Falling Continuation

remember

in the Wider Market Perspective 

Yield Back inside  Secular Bear Channel 

Now still dominating

New Bear Wave 

after

Activated  Long Term 2B Risk Off Pattern

in Psychological Key Level 3.00% 

stricte

US 10Y Bond Yield –  Perfect Ambush      

 

&

ATA Last FED Tweets…

 

 

Second…Present  US 10Y BOND YIELD   Situation 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS…

ATA MARKET MODEL : 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Main Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

after Activated

First…

Long Term 2B Risk Off Pattern

Psychological Key Level 3.00% 

stricte

US 10Y Bond Yield –  Perfect Ambush 

Second…

Falling US Yield  Scenario 

Break Down Key Level  2.00%

Falling Continuation

Break Down Key Level  1.00%

with

Last Test 0.30% Key Level Zone 

( March Low 0.318% )

Now dominating

short term Bull Contraction

with

still above Psychological Key Level 0.50%

 

US Yield Long Term Picture

shows

Second Master Scenario in Action 

Falling US Yield

by

Break Down Key Level  2.00%  & 1.00%

what most important

in the Wider Market Perspective 

Yield Back  still inside Secular Bear Channel 

Now still dominating

New Bear Wave 

with

New Incredible Targets

Entering Negative Territory 

– 0.30%  Zone 

after

Activated  Long Term 2B Risk Off Pattern

in Psychological Key Level 3.00% 

stricte

US 10Y Bond Yield –  Perfect Ambush 

( Monthly Chart )

 

ATA Research Conclusion 

special focus on

Psychological Key Levels  active Zone 

0%  0.30%  0.50%   vs  1%   2%

with

Future Strike outside of this Zone 

 

 

ATA  Research  still Active Thesis  –  US 10Y BOND YIELD 

Now  still Most  depends  of…

FED & Powell Strikes 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on

Psychological Key Levels  0%  0.30%  0.50%   vs  1%   2%

with

New FED Actions 

 

never forget

Next US DEBT Strike can move  others…

First…DEBT MARKETS

Second…WALL STREET

Finally…GLOBAL EQUITY MARKET 

with

NEW GOLDEN RUSH…

 

N-TIMES

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOD-s 

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Key Month May 

 

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Big Picture – Monthly Charts :

10.01.2018

Your new TVC.png

30.01.2018

Your new TVC

14.02.2018

Your new TVC (5)

25.04.2018

Your new TVC (5)

16.05.2018

Your new TVC (4)

25.05.2018

Your new TVC (7)

14.09.2018

US BONDS

2.11.2018

US BONDS

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Big Picture – Monthly  & Daily Charts  :

16.11.2018

US BONDS - M

US BONDS - M - 1

US BONDS - D

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Big Picture – Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts  :

16.01.2019

us bonds - mus bonds - wus bonds - d

1.04.2019

US Yield - MUS Yield - WUS Yield - D

29.05.2019

US Yield - M

US Yield - W

US Yield - D

21.06.2019

US Yield - M

US Yield - W

US Yield - D

5.07.2019

US Yield - M

US Yield - W

US Yield - D

12.07.2019

US Yield - M

US Yield - M - Focus

US Yield - W

US Yield - D

US 10Y BOND YIELD  Big Picture – Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts  :

8.05.2020

US Yield - M

US Yield - M - Focus

US Yield - W

US Yield - D

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

Create a website or blog at WordPress.com

Up ↑

%d bloggers like this: