DB Agriculture Fund – Secular View in USD, Climate & Coronavirus Shadows …

DB Agriculture Fund – Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Following …

Bloomberg Commodity Index

12.04.2020 –  Bloomberg Commodity Index – Secular Horizon in Shadows of USD & COVID-19…

&

DXY

20.01.2019 –  DXY – NO F/X CAPITULATION…

 

DB Agriculture Fund  Present Main Motives

Climate Changes 

&

Global Slowdown or Recession Extreme High Risk

vs

Central Banks & Governments Rescue Actions 

with

Global Coronavirus Pandemic – still High Risk 

Wuhan Exodus Extreme – Coronavirus Second Wave Risk

&

USD Master F/X  Vector for  Commodities 

 

FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swan

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

&

FED “Central Printing Projection”

Balance Sheet  Skyrocket Rising

 

Wall Street Factor  for Agriculture

still High Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

or even

1929 Great Depression 

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

 

Agriculture

 

Present  DB Agriculture Fund  Situation

AGRICULTURE FUND  SECULAR PERSPECTIVE

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN  SECULAR  ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Monthly View 

First of All  All Time

Present Active  Range 

13 – 15 ( Line Chart )

10-13 – 15-18  ( Candle Chart )

with

Psychological Key Levels  10-13  15  18-20

 

ATA DB Agriculture Fund  Secular Research 

After

First…Created

Major All Time High Top before Lehman

Second…Activated

Major Bear Reversal Pattern – M  – 2008 year 

&

2B  Pattern – 2011 year

with

Secular

Bear Channel  ( Line Chart )

Ending Diagonal ( Candle Chart )

Now dominating

Test 

Lower Edge Bear Channel 

Key Levels Zone  13.45-50  USD 

vs

Active Break Down..for Now 

Lower Edge Ending Diagonal

Key Levels Zone 13.80 -14  USD 

with

MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

 

DB Agriculture Fund   Battlefield 

10  13  vs  14-15  18   USD

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

special focus on

Present Psychological Key Levels Range

13 – 15  USD 

&

Research New Pattern

Classical   Candlestick 

and of course

New Global USD Moves – DXY Direction 

with

New  Climate  &  Coronavirus News

New Global Macro Economy News 

vs

Governments & Central Banks Helping Strikes 

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important s Final Smart money Reaction…

EOM – Now April 

 

 

DB Agriculture Fund   Monthly  Charts:

9.04.2020 – EOD

Agriculture - M - Line

Agriculture - M

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