Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index – Today on ATA Research Radar
ATA Following …
NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index
5.04.2020 – NYSE Arca Gold BUGS Index – Secular Clash of the Titans…
Barrick Gold
4.04.2020 – Barrick Gold – New Golden Strike with Risky Shining…
PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index
Short Term
27.03.2020 – PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Next GOLDEN FALL…
Special
15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…
&
15.01.2020 – CHF/JPY – EUROZONE-ITALIAN STORM 2020 Rising Risk…
Major Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index Motives
Global Coronavirus Pandemic – Rising Risk
Global Slowdown or Recession Extreme High Risk
&
FED-BOJ-ECB-BoE-Biggest ever Black Swan
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
&
FED “Central Printing Projection”
Balance Sheet Skyrocket Rising Future Move
Japanification in Global Central Action
with
Gold & Silver Moves
vs
USD – Very Strong Main Global anti Gold & Silver Currency
US Factors for HAU Gold and Silver
Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD
&
FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike
More for US Economy Financial System if needed
Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike
5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic
FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike
Policy Room for More Action
Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN
FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits
US Government Stimulus Packet
with
Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike
FED Bullard “Boom” Strike
after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again
Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike
US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction
vs
FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario
US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%
Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike
Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike
Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP
Mnuchin US Jobless Warning
Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action
Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession
ATA Conclusion
Wall Street Factor for XAU Gold and Silver
still High Probability
of
2000 Year DOT.COM Bubble Burst DEJA VU Scenario
or even
1929 Great Depression
with
Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning
Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse
Tech Bubble High Risk
GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK
Present Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index Secular Situation
HAU GOLD & SILVER SECULAR SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN SECULAR ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
First of All
for many years
stricte September 2013 – present April 2020
all time dominating
Secular Inception
Strategic Long Term Patterns
Bullish – Inverted H&S
Neckline – 95
vs
Bearish – Rising Ending Diagonal
Upper Edge – 110 vs Lower Edge – 77
with
MACD Quarterly Buy Signal
Present Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index Battlefield
75 vs 85
&
77 vs 95 – 110
with
Psychological Key Levels 80 90 100
ATA Investment Conclusion
Now Special Focus on
First
Present Psychological Key Levels 75 , 80 , 85
Second
Long Term Range
77 vs 95 – 110
with
Key Signal – Move Out of the Range
&
Entering New Bull or Bear Golden Market
of course with
New Coronavirus News
vs
Next Global Macro Strikes
&
Central Banks FED-ECB-BOJ & Governments Strikes
ATA Financial Markets Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE …!!!
&
WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
N – TIMES
F/X Maximes
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
&
Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…
First…EOM – April & EOQ – Q2/2020
by the Gold Way
always remember
Gold – anti US Dollar Vector
Philadelphia Gold and Silver Index Quarterly Chart :
3.04.2020 – EOW