DAX – German Secular View after Financial Gotterdammerung First Act…

DAX   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

ATA Continuation of…

2017-2018

13.08.2017 – DAX – ZWAI B PANZERFAUST…

25.09.2017 – AfD – REICH STRIKES BACK…

6.09.2018  –  DAX – GERMAN EQUITY on the EDGE…

12.11.2018 –  DAX – GERMAN EQUITY under the EDGE…

2019 

13.01.2019 – DAX – GERMAN RISK OFF Wave…

9.05.2019 –  DAX – FIGHTING in MASTER EQUATOR 12.000…

3.08.2019 –  DAX – STRIKE under EQUTOUR 12.000

23.09.2019 –  DAX – BULL vs BEAR MAJOR CLASH…

2020 

18.01.2020 –  DAX – Final Fight in Master 2017-2018 Top Zone…

with

ATA Following …

After  Wall Street  Shot Down on Coronavirus  Scary Motive 

Latest

FTSE MIB Index 

30.03.2020 –  FTSE MIB – Italian Secular Perspective after Equity Avalanche Disaster on Coronavirus Panic Motive…

&

NIFTY 50 Index 

28.03.2020 –  NIFTY 50 – India Stock Index Secular View after First Bear Strike on Coronavirus Scary Motive…

Shanghai Index 

29.03.2020 –  SHANGHAI INDEX – Secular Perspective after Coronavirus First Dust Fall…

KOSPI Index 

29.03.2020 –  KOSPI – Bear vs Bull Fight after Secular Bear Reversal Pattern Activated on Coronavirus Panic Motive…

NIKKEI Index

29.03.2020 –  NIKKEI – Flowering Stock Cherries after Coronavirus Media Shock…

ASX Index

29.03.2020 –  ASX Index – Australian Stock Market Kangoo Jumps – from Sky to Hell…

DAX   Index  Key Motives

German &  European Coronavirus Pandemic

European – German  COVID-19 Pandemic –High Risk 

EUROZONE – Germany   & Global Slowdown or Recession Risk

vs

Eurozone ECB  Emergency Mega Stimulus Strike 

US  Factor for German DAX  Index 

Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD

&

FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike

More for US Economy Financial System if needed

Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike

5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic

FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike

Policy Room for More Action

Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN

FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits 

US Government  Stimulus Packet 

with

Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike

FED Bullard “Boom” Strike

after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again

Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike

US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction

vs

FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario

US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%

Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike

Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike

Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP

Mnuchin US Jobless Warning

Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action

Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession

ATA Conclusion 

Wall Street Factor for German DAX Index 

Dynamic Rising Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

or even

1929 Great Depression 

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

DAX - 4

First…ATA from  18.01.2020

” Now dominating

DAX  Candlestick Testing 

November 2017 – January 2018 Top Zone 

Key Levels 13.500 – 13.600 

with

Pattern Inception from H&S to M or 2B 

&

Risk of New Bear Reversal Pattern

M or 2B – Key Levels 13.500 – 13.600     

Second…Present  DAX  Situation

DAX SECULAR  PERSPECTIVE

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

First of All

All Time High – 13.795.34 

February 17th 2020 

After Final Activated

Bear Reversal  Pattern 

LONG TERM TOP PATTERN 

2B  Key Level 13.595  (Candlestick Chart)

M  Key Level 13.250  (Line Chart)

&

Dynamic Bear Strike 

Break Down

Old H&S Pattern Neckline – Key Level  10.750 

but with

Test

First…FIB RET  50-56.4% Last Long Term  Rasing Wave 

from Lehman Low 2009 Year

Second…Psychological Key Level 8.000 Zone 

Now dominating

Dynamic Bull Contraction 

Back to

Psychological Key Level 10.000 Zone 

FIB RET  38.2%  Zone  Last Long Term  Rasing Wave

with

March Monthly Bear Big Real Body Candlestick

vs  Long Lower Shadow 

&

Monthly MACD Sell Signal

Test Lower Edge Long Term Bear Channel 

ATA   DAX  Present Investment Conclusion

Present Battlefield 

8000-8300    vs   10.000

so

focus carefully  on

Result of Test Psychological Key Level 10.000 

&

Research

New Pattern Classic   Candlestick 

of course with

New Coronavirus News

Next Global – US – Eurozone – German Macro Strikes

&

Central Banks FED – ECB  &  Governments Strikes 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

N- TIMES

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOM – March 

DAX  Monthly Charts :

13.08.2017

DAX-M8

25.09.2017

DAX-M44

6.09.2018

DAX-M1

DAX-M2

DAX-M3

12.11.2018

DAX-M1

DAX-M2DAX-M3

11.01.2019

dax-m1

dax-m2

dax-m3

dax-fib-m

9.05.2019

DAX - M - Line

DAX - M - Line - Focus

DAX - M - Fib

2.08.2019

DAX - M - Line

DAX - M - Line - Focus

DAX - M - Fib

23.09.2019 – EOD

DAX - M - Line

DAX - M - Line - Focus

DAX - M - Fib

17.01.2020 – EOW

DAX - M - Line

DAX - M - Line - Focus

DAX - M - Fib

30.03.2020 –  EOD

DAX - M - Line DAX - M - Line - Focus

DAX - M - Fib

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