SHANGHAI INDEX – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
First of All
FED-BOJ-ECB – Biggest ever Central Black Swan
&
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
ATA Continuation of…
2018
5.07.2018 – SHANGHAI INDEX in TRADE WAR TIME…
11.07.2018 – TRUMP NEW VERBAL TRADE WAR STRIKE – SHANGHAI INDEX…
25.07.2018 – New China Stimulus Factor – Shanghai Index…
2019
21.08.2019 – SHANGHAI INDEX on TRADE WAR CHESSBOARD …
2020
24.01.2020 – SHANGHAI INDEX – No Change Long Term View after Coronavirus Strike…
2.02.2020 – SHANGHAI INDEX – Secular BULL Perspective before Expected Coronavirus Bear Main Strike…
with
ATA Following …
ATA WARNINGS ex ante…
Before Wall Street Shot Down on Coronavirus Scary Motive
ASIA & PACIFIC
26.01.2020 – ASIA & PACIFIC Equity Indexes – Secular View in Coronavirus Outbreak Risk Shadow…
NIFTY 50 Index
25.01.2020 – NIFTY 50 – Bear Reversal Pattern Inception Rising Risk with or without Outbreak Fear…
Shanghai Index
24.01.2020 – SHANGHAI INDEX – No Change Long Term View after Coronavirus Strike…
2.02.2020 – SHANGHAI INDEX – Secular BULL Perspective before Expected Coronavirus Bear Main Strike…
Hang Seng Index
24.01.2020 – HONG KONG ASSETS – Coronavirus Strike – Bear Contraction vs No Panic…
Nikkei Index
24.01.2020 – NIKKEI – No Coronavirus Japan Sell Off Strike…
Taiwan Stock Index
25.01.2020 – Taiwan Stock Index – No Corona Fear Impact yet…
KOSPI Index
25.01.2020 – KOSPI – Secular Bear Pattern still Active Risk with or without Coronavirus…
Jakarta Index
25.01.2020 – Jakarta Composite Index – still Active Bear Reversal Patterns long before Coronavirus Impact…
ASX Index
25.01.2020 – ASX Index – Australia Stocks Staring at Wall Street without Coronavirus Strike yet…
WALL STREET
2.01.2020 – WALL STREET – 2020 ECSTASY START vs SECULAR HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions…
NASDAQ
12.02.2020 – NASDAQ – ELLIOTT WAVE TOP 2020 FINAL COUNTDOWN…
12.02.2020 – NASDAQ – US Tech Bulls Parabolic Wave vs Secular Horizon Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…
DJIA
20.01.2020 – DJIA – Barron’s Cover Warning with Bear Ending Diagonal Risk…
3.02.2020 – DJIA – Secular Perspective after January Coronavirus Outbreak Fear Impact…
17.02.2020 – DJIA – Wall Street Bulls Run vs SECULAR HORIZON Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…
S&P 500
17.02.2020 – S&P 500 – Wall Street Bulls Charge vs SECULAR HORIZON Fibonacci Extensions Update February 2020…
FANG+ Index
6.02.2020 – FANG + INDEX – BIG TECH BULL WAVE vs LONG TERM HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…
9.02.2020 – FANG + INDEX – Spectrum of Research – from Long to Short Term Perspectives…
Dow Jones Airlines Index
24.02.2020 – Dow Jones Airlines Index – Long Term Perspective vs Mainstream Media Coronavirus Fly Crash…
&
Israel TA 35
23.02.2020 – Israel TA 35 – “WORLD WAR Z” Scenario Rising Risk…
Saudi Arabia TASI
26.01.2020 – Saudi Arabia TASI – only Limited Bear Contraction on Coronavirus Fear…
with
DAX
18.01.2020 – DAX – Final Fight in Master 2017-2018 Top Zone…
Italy FTSE MIB
23.02.2020 – FTSE MIB – Italian Bulls vs Coronavirus Mortal Fight…
&
After Wall Street Shot Down on Coronavirus Scary Motive
Last
NIFTY 50 Index
28.03.2020 – NIFTY 50 – India Stock Index Secular View after First Bear Strike on Coronavirus Scary Motive…
&
Earliers
NASDAQ 100
29.02.2020 – NASDAQ 100 Futures – Secular AMAZING CONSTELLATION after First Bear Strike…
Israel TA 35
15.03.2020 – Israel TA 35 – Jewish QE Strike…
Saudi Arabia TASI
15.03.2020 – Saudi Arabia TASI – Stop Black Bleeding…
REITs
21.03.2020 – US REIT INDEX – NO SAFE HAVEN -AMERICAN REAL ESTATE – REAL LOSS…
21.03.2020 – EUROPE REIT INDEX – NO SAFE HAVEN – EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE – REAL LOSS…
Hotels & Travel
22.03.2020 – Dow Jones Hotels Index – Big Picture in Virus Shadow…
22.03.2020 – Dow Jones Travel & Tourism Index – Gonna with the Virus Wind…
22.03.2020 – FTSE 350 Travel & Leisure Index – Bear Ride in Lehman Direction…
24.03.2020 – STOXX 600 Travel & Leisure Index – No Travel Planet…
SHANGHAI INDEX Present Major Motives
Asia – China Coronavirus Pandemic
China Second Wave COVID-19 – Rising Risk
ASIA – China & Global Slowdown or Recession Risk
vs
PBoC Mega Easing & Stimulus Last Strikes
&
China Factories First Awake after Virus Halt All Activity
China Trade Restart
US Factor for China Shanghai Index
Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD
&
FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike
More for US Economy Financial System if needed
Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike
5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic
FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike
Policy Room for More Action
Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN
FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits
US Government Stimulus Packet
with
Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike
FED Bullard “Boom” Strike
after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again
Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike
US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction
vs
FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario
US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%
Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike
Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike
Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP
Mnuchin US Jobless Warning
Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action
Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession
ATA Conclusion
Wall Street Factor for China Shanghai Index
Dynamic Rising Probability
of
2000 Year DOT.COM Bubble Burst DEJA VU Scenario
or even
1929 Great Depression
with
Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning
Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse
Tech Bubble High Risk
GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK
First…ATA from 2.02.2020
” ATA SHANGHAI INDEX Investment Conclusion
First of All
with Special
already Known China Futures & Hang Seng Bear Strike Paths
from Last Week Sessions
First Shanghai Bear Strike Target Zone 2800 – 2850
Special Focus on
Second…Present Shanghai Index Situation
SHANGHAI INDEX SECULAR SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
Schanghai Index
Monthly View
First of All
After Last Two Months
Mainstream Media Virus nonstop Scary Strikes
at the beginning special from China Wuhan
Schanghai Index still standing
of course after
Break Down
Support Key Levels 2800-850
Monthly Horizontal Channel
&
Dynamic Shot Down
still under
Psychological Key Level 2800
&
China Bear still Danger Force
but after
Test FIB RET Zone 61.8 – 78.6%
No Continuation Dynamic Sell Off
FIB RET Stop China Bears
so
Now dominating
Bull Contraction
Testing & Trying to Back above 2800
of course for Now with
Monthly Bear Candlestick
vs
Long Upper & special Lower Shadow
&
MACD Monthly still Active Buy Signal
but Near to Future Active Sell
still Active
Major RISK OFF Factors
First..under Bull Secular Trendline
starting December 1995
Second…Out of Bull Flag Pattern
SHANGHAI INDEX Battlefield
Present Active Range
2500 vs 2800-2850 Zones
special
Key Level 2865
with
Psychological Key Levels 2500 & 2800
ATA SHANGHAI INDEX Investment Conclusion
First of All
special focus on
ATA Wall Street Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE …!!!
vs
MAJOR BOTTOMS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS
with
PANIC PHASE
&
WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction….
EOM – Now March
Shanghai Index Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts :
5.07.2018
11.07.2018
25.07.2018
21.08.2019 – EOD
23.01.2020 – EOD
Shanghai Index Monthly Charts :
23.01.2020 – EOM
27.03.2020 – EOW
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 