SHANGHAI INDEX – Secular Perspective after Coronavirus First Dust Fall…

SHANGHAI INDEX –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

First of All

FED-BOJ-ECB – Biggest ever Central Black Swan

&

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

 

 

ATA Continuation of…

2018

5.07.2018 –  SHANGHAI INDEX in TRADE WAR TIME…

11.07.2018 –  TRUMP NEW VERBAL TRADE WAR STRIKE – SHANGHAI INDEX…

25.07.2018 –  New China Stimulus Factor – Shanghai Index…

2019

21.08.2019 –  SHANGHAI INDEX on TRADE WAR CHESSBOARD …

2020

24.01.2020  – SHANGHAI INDEX – No Change Long Term View after Coronavirus Strike…

2.02.2020 –  SHANGHAI INDEX – Secular BULL Perspective before Expected Coronavirus Bear Main Strike…

with

ATA Following …

ATA WARNINGS ex ante…

Before Wall Street  Shot Down on Coronavirus  Scary Motive 

ASIA & PACIFIC 

26.01.2020 – ASIA & PACIFIC Equity Indexes – Secular View in Coronavirus Outbreak Risk Shadow…

NIFTY 50 Index 

25.01.2020 –  NIFTY 50 – Bear Reversal Pattern Inception Rising Risk with or without Outbreak Fear…

Shanghai Index 

24.01.2020 –  SHANGHAI INDEX – No Change Long Term View after Coronavirus Strike…

2.02.2020 –  SHANGHAI INDEX – Secular BULL Perspective before Expected Coronavirus Bear Main Strike…

Hang Seng Index 

24.01.2020 –  HONG KONG ASSETS – Coronavirus Strike – Bear Contraction vs No Panic…

Nikkei Index

24.01.2020 –  NIKKEI – No Coronavirus Japan Sell Off Strike…

Taiwan Stock Index 

25.01.2020 –  Taiwan Stock Index – No Corona Fear Impact yet…

KOSPI  Index

25.01.2020 –  KOSPI – Secular Bear Pattern still Active Risk with or without Coronavirus…

Jakarta Index 

25.01.2020 –  Jakarta Composite Index – still Active Bear Reversal Patterns long before Coronavirus Impact…

ASX Index

25.01.2020 –  ASX Index – Australia Stocks Staring at Wall Street without Coronavirus Strike yet…

WALL STREET 

2.01.2020 –  WALL STREET – 2020 ECSTASY START vs SECULAR HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions…

NASDAQ

12.02.2020 –  NASDAQ – ELLIOTT WAVE TOP 2020 FINAL COUNTDOWN…

12.02.2020 –  NASDAQ – US Tech Bulls Parabolic Wave vs Secular Horizon Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…

DJIA 

20.01.2020 – DJIA – Barron’s Cover Warning with Bear Ending Diagonal Risk…

3.02.2020 – DJIA – Secular Perspective after January Coronavirus Outbreak Fear Impact…

17.02.2020 –  DJIA – Wall Street Bulls Run vs SECULAR HORIZON Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…

S&P 500 

17.02.2020 –  S&P 500 – Wall Street Bulls Charge vs SECULAR HORIZON Fibonacci Extensions Update February 2020…

FANG+ Index 

6.02.2020 –  FANG + INDEX – BIG TECH BULL WAVE vs LONG TERM HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…

9.02.2020 –  FANG + INDEX – Spectrum of Research – from Long to Short Term Perspectives…

Dow Jones Airlines Index

24.02.2020 –  Dow Jones Airlines Index – Long Term Perspective vs Mainstream Media Coronavirus Fly Crash…

&

Israel TA 35 

23.02.2020 –  Israel TA 35 – “WORLD WAR Z” Scenario Rising Risk…

Saudi Arabia TASI 

26.01.2020 –  Saudi Arabia TASI – only Limited Bear Contraction on Coronavirus Fear…

with

DAX

18.01.2020 –  DAX – Final Fight in Master 2017-2018 Top Zone…

Italy FTSE MIB 

23.02.2020 –  FTSE MIB – Italian Bulls vs Coronavirus Mortal Fight…

&

After  Wall Street  Shot Down on Coronavirus  Scary Motive 

Last 

NIFTY 50 Index 

28.03.2020 –  NIFTY 50 – India Stock Index Secular View after First Bear Strike on Coronavirus Scary Motive…

&

Earliers

NASDAQ 100

29.02.2020 –  NASDAQ 100 Futures – Secular AMAZING CONSTELLATION after First Bear Strike…

Israel TA 35

15.03.2020 –  Israel TA 35 – Jewish QE Strike…

Saudi Arabia TASI 

15.03.2020 – Saudi Arabia TASI – Stop Black Bleeding…

REITs

21.03.2020 –  US REIT INDEX – NO SAFE HAVEN -AMERICAN REAL ESTATE – REAL LOSS…

21.03.2020 –  EUROPE REIT INDEX – NO SAFE HAVEN – EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE – REAL LOSS…

Hotels & Travel 

22.03.2020 –  Dow Jones Hotels Index – Big Picture in Virus Shadow…

22.03.2020 –  Dow Jones Travel & Tourism Index – Gonna with the Virus Wind…

22.03.2020 –  FTSE 350 Travel & Leisure Index – Bear Ride in Lehman Direction…

24.03.2020 –  STOXX 600 Travel & Leisure Index – No Travel Planet…

 

SHANGHAI INDEX Present  Major Motives 

Asia – China Coronavirus Pandemic

China Second Wave COVID-19 – Rising Risk 

ASIA – China  & Global Slowdown or Recession Risk

vs

PBoC Mega Easing & Stimulus Last Strikes 

&

China Factories First Awake after Virus Halt All Activity 

China Trade Restart 

 

US  Factor for China Shanghai Index 

Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD

&

FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike

More for US Economy Financial System if needed

Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike

5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic

FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike

Policy Room for More Action

Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN

FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits 

US Government  Stimulus Packet 

with

Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike

FED Bullard “Boom” Strike

after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again

Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike

US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction

vs

FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario

US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%

Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike

Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike

Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP

Mnuchin US Jobless Warning

Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action

Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession

 

ATA Conclusion 

Wall Street Factor for China Shanghai Index 

Dynamic Rising Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

or even

1929 Great Depression 

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

 

A men wearing a mask walk at the Shanghai Stock Exchange building at the Pudong financial district in Shanghai

 

First…ATA from  2.02.2020

ATA  SHANGHAI INDEX  Investment Conclusion 

First of All

with Special

already Known China Futures & Hang Seng Bear Strike Paths 

from Last Week Sessions

First Shanghai  Bear Strike Target Zone  2800 – 2850 

Special Focus on

Result of  Testing  

Key Levels  2800-850 – 3000-050

or

Key Levels  2850 – 3030

( Line Chart )

with

Psychological Key Levels  2800   &   3000

including

Percent  %  &  Time Filters     ”

 

 

Second…Present  Shanghai Index  Situation 

SHANGHAI INDEX   SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Schanghai Index

Monthly View

First of All

After Last Two Months

Mainstream Media Virus nonstop Scary Strikes 

at the beginning special from China Wuhan 

Schanghai Index still standing 

of course after

Break Down 

Support Key Levels  2800-850

Monthly Horizontal Channel 

&

Dynamic Shot Down

still under

Psychological Key Level 2800

&

China Bear still Danger Force 

but after

Test FIB RET Zone  61.8 – 78.6% 

No Continuation Dynamic Sell Off

FIB RET Stop  China Bears

so

Now dominating

Bull Contraction 

Testing & Trying to Back above 2800 

of course for Now with

Monthly Bear Candlestick 

vs

Long Upper & special Lower Shadow 

&

MACD Monthly still Active Buy Signal 

but Near to Future Active Sell

 

still Active

Major  RISK OFF  Factors

First..under Bull  Secular Trendline 

starting  December 1995

Second…Out  of   Bull Flag Pattern 

 

SHANGHAI INDEX  Battlefield 

Present Active Range

2500   vs   2800-2850  Zones 

special

Key Level 2865 

with

Psychological Key Levels  2500   &   2800

 

ATA  SHANGHAI INDEX  Investment Conclusion 

First of All

special focus on

Result of  Testing  

 2800-850 Zone with special Key Level 2865 

including

Percent  %  &  Time Filters 

of course with

New Coronavirus News

Next Global – US -CHINA Macro Strikes

&

Central Banks FED,BOJ, PBoC & Governments Strikes 

 

 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

 

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

EOM – Now March

 

 

Shanghai Index  Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts :

5.07.2018

Your new TVC (32)

Your new TVC (33)

Your new TVC (34).png

11.07.2018

Your new TVC (5)

Your new TVC (6)

Your new TVC (7)

25.07.2018

Your new TVC

Your new TVC (1)

Your new TVC (2)

21.08.2019 – EOD

Shanghai - M - Line

Shanghai - W - Line

Shanghai - D - Line

23.01.2020 – EOD

Shanghai - M - Line

Shanghai - W - Line

Shanghai - D - Line

Shanghai Index  Monthly Charts :

23.01.2020 – EOM 

Shanghai - M - Line

Shanghai - M - Line - Focus

Shanghai - M

Shanghai - M - Focus

27.03.2020 – EOW

Shanghai - M - Line

Shanghai - M - Line - Focus

Shanghai - M - Focus

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

Create a website or blog at WordPress.com

Up ↑

%d bloggers like this: