NIKKEI – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
First of All
FED-BOJ-ECB – Biggest ever Central Black Swan
&
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
ATA Key Tweets
ATA Continuation of…
ATA WARNINGS ex ante…
2018-2019
20.02.2018 – NIKKEI – JAPAN MEGA RISK ON/OFF TEST…
14.03.2018 – JAPAN SOCIALISM – BOJ CENTRAL ACTION…
16.08.2019 – NIKKEI – BOJ is NOT ENOUGH…
2020
24.01.2020 – NIKKEI – No Coronavirus Japan Sell Off Strike…
with
ATA Following …
Last
After Wall Street Shot Down on Coronavirus Scary Motive
NIFTY 50 Index
28.03.2020 – NIFTY 50 – India Stock Index Secular View after First Bear Strike on Coronavirus Scary Motive…
Shanghai Index
29.03.2020 – SHANGHAI INDEX – Secular Perspective after Coronavirus First Dust Fall…
KOSPI Index
29.03.2020 – KOSPI – Bear vs Bull Fight after Secular Bear Reversal Pattern Activated on Coronavirus Panic Motive…
NIKKEI Index Key Motives
Asia – Japan Coronavirus Pandemic
Japan Second Wave COVID-19 – Rising Risk
ASIA – Japan & Global Slowdown or Recession Risk
vs
BOJ New Mega Easing Wave
US Factor for Japan NIKKEI Index
Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD
&
FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike
More for US Economy Financial System if needed
Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike
5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic
FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike
Policy Room for More Action
Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN
FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits
US Government Stimulus Packet
with
Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike
FED Bullard “Boom” Strike
after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again
Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike
US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction
vs
FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario
US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%
Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike
Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike
Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP
Mnuchin US Jobless Warning
Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action
Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession
ATA Conclusion
Wall Street Factor for Japan NIKKEI Index
Dynamic Rising Probability
of
2000 Year DOT.COM Bubble Burst DEJA VU Scenario
or even
1929 Great Depression
with
Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning
Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse
Tech Bubble High Risk
GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK
First…ATA from 24.01.2020
” Focus on
Present Main Key Levels Zone
24.000 – 24.500
Main Top September 2018
with
M or 2B Bear Reversal Pattern Risk
Key Level 24.500 Zone
and of course
New Coronavirus News ”
Second…Present Nikkei Situation
NIKKEI SECULAR SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
Monthly View
after
Test
FIB RET 50 -56.4% All Long Wave Down
Top September 2018 ( 24.448 )
Activated
First…Ending Diagonal Pattern
by Break Down Lower Edge – 23.000
Second…M – Bear Reversal Pattern
Key Level 24.500 Zone
Main Top September 2018 ( 24.448 )
&
Dynamic Bear Wave
with
Test FIB RET Last Rising Wave
Now dominating
No Continuation Dynamic Sell Off
FIB RET Stop Japan Bears
&
Bull Contraction
from 16.000 to 19.000 Zone
but for Now with
Japan Bear still Danger Force
Monthly Bear Candlestick
vs
Super Long Lower Shadow
but
Monthly MACD Sell Signal
vs
Fighting inside Triangle Pattern
in
Lower Edge Zone
ATA Investment Conclusion
Focus on
Main Psychological Key Level 19.000
of course with
New Coronavirus News
Next Global – US – Japan Macro Strikes
&
Central Banks FED – BOJ & Governments Strikes
ATA Wall Street Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE …!!!
vs
MAJOR BOTTOMS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS
with
PANIC PHASE
&
WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction….
EOM – Now March
14.03.2018
16.08.2019 – EOW
24.01.2020 – EOD
27.03.2020 – EOW
