KOSPI – Bear vs Bull Fight after Secular Bear Reversal Pattern Activated on Coronavirus Panic Motive…

KOSPI  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

First of All

FED-BOJ-ECB – Biggest ever Central Black Swan

&

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

 

ATA  Key Tweets 

 

ATA Continuation of…

ATA WARNINGS ex ante…

21.08.2019 –  KOSPI – ASIAN TIGER WARNING …

&

25.01.2020 –  KOSPI – Secular Bear Pattern still Active Risk with or without Coronavirus…

with

ATA Following …

Last 

After  Wall Street  Shot Down on Coronavirus  Scary Motive 

NIFTY 50 Index 

28.03.2020 –  NIFTY 50 – India Stock Index Secular View after First Bear Strike on Coronavirus Scary Motive…

Shanghai Index 

29.03.2020 –  SHANGHAI INDEX – Secular Perspective after Coronavirus First Dust Fall…

 

KOSPI  Index  Key Motives

Asia – South Korea Coronavirus Pandemic

South Korea Second Wave COVID-19 – Rising Risk 

ASIA – South Korea  & Global Slowdown or Recession Risk

vs

BoK (Bank of Korea) Emergency Rate Cut  

 

US  Factor for  South Korea KOSPI  Index 

Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD

&

FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike

More for US Economy Financial System if needed

Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike

5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic

FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike

Policy Room for More Action

Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN

FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits 

US Government  Stimulus Packet 

with

Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike

FED Bullard “Boom” Strike

after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again

Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike

US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction

vs

FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario

US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%

Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike

Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike

Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP

Mnuchin US Jobless Warning

Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action

Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession

 

ATA Conclusion 

Wall Street Factor for South Korea KOSPI  Index 

Dynamic Rising Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

or even

1929 Great Depression 

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

 

KOSPI - 2

 

First…ATA from  25.01.2020

ATA  KOSPI   Investment Conclusion 

still Real RISK OFF Scenario 

Present Inverted Triangle – Part of Right Shoulder 

Master Top H&S Pattern

Secular H&S     

 

Second…Present KOSPI  Situation 

KOSPI SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

 

 

 

First…Main Motive

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

KOSPI 

Monthly View 

First of All

after

Activated 

Two Bear Reversal Patterns 

First…

Present Inverted Triangle – Part of Right Shoulder H&S

Key Level  2250 

Second…

Master Top H&S Pattern

Secular H&S

November 2011 – March 2020 – Neckline 2000

&

Dynamic Bear Wave 

with

Test FIB RET  Main Two Rising Waves

Now dominating

No Continuation Dynamic Sell Off

FIB RET Stop  Korean  Bears

&

Bull Contraction 

from 1430-50  to 1800 Zone

but for Now with

Korean Bear still Danger Force 

Monthly Bear Candlestick 

vs

Very Long Lower Shadow 

but

Monthly MACD Sell Signal 

 Fall outside Tube Pattern 

 

KOSPI Index   Battlefield 

Present Active Range

1400-450   vs   1800-2000 

special

Psychological Key Levels 1500  vs  1800-2000

 

 

ATA  KOSPI   Investment Conclusion 

Secular RISK OFF Scenario  

Master Top H&S Pattern

Secular H&S

Active

so

Focus carefully on 

Present Master Psychological Key Levels Zone

1400-1500   vs   1800-2000

of course with

New Coronavirus News

Next Global – US -South Korea Macro Strikes

&

Central Banks FED,BOJ, BoK & Governments Strikes 

 

 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

 

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

EOM – Now March 

 

 

KOSPI Index Monthly Charts :

21.08.2019 – EOD 

KOSPI - M - Line

24.01.2020 – EOW 

KOSPI - M - Line

27.03.2020 – EOW 

KOSPI - M - Line

KOSPI - M - Fib Ret

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