ASX Index – Australian Stock Market Kangoo Jumps – from Sky to Hell…

ASX 200 Index  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

First of All

FED-BOJ-ECB – Biggest ever Central Black Swan

&

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

 

ATA  Key Tweets 

 

ATA Continuation of…

16.07.2019 – ASX Index – Australian Warning…

23.08.2019 –  ASX Index – Australian Danger Zone…

25.01.2020 –  ASX Index – Australia Stocks Staring at Wall Street without Coronavirus Strike yet…

with

ATA Following …

Last 

After  Wall Street  Shot Down on Coronavirus  Scary Motive 

NIFTY 50 Index 

28.03.2020 –  NIFTY 50 – India Stock Index Secular View after First Bear Strike on Coronavirus Scary Motive…

Shanghai Index 

29.03.2020 –  SHANGHAI INDEX – Secular Perspective after Coronavirus First Dust Fall…

KOSPI Index 

29.03.2020 –  KOSPI – Bear vs Bull Fight after Secular Bear Reversal Pattern Activated on Coronavirus Panic Motive…

NIKKEI Index

29.03.2020 –  NIKKEI – Flowering Stock Cherries after Coronavirus Media Shock…

 

ASX  Index  Key Motives

Asia –  Australia Coronavirus Pandemic

Australia  COVID-19  Outbreak – still Active Risk 

ASIA – Australia  & Global Slowdown or Recession Risk

vs

RBA  Emergency Rate Cut  

 

US  Factor for Australian ASX Index 

Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD

&

FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike

More for US Economy Financial System if needed

Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike

5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic

FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike

Policy Room for More Action

Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN

FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits 

US Government  Stimulus Packet 

with

Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike

FED Bullard “Boom” Strike

after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again

Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike

US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction

vs

FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario

US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%

Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike

Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike

Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP

Mnuchin US Jobless Warning

Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action

Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession

 

ATA Conclusion 

Wall Street Factor for Australian ASX  Index 

Dynamic Rising Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

or even

1929 Great Depression 

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

 

ASX- 3

 

First…ATA from  25.01.2020

All Time High – January 22th  2020 

Key Level  7144.90

Canceled  for Now

M Pattern – Key Level 6800-850 Zone 

 ( 2007 – 2019 )

by

Dynamic Rising  Wave  above 

First…2007 Year Top – Key Level 6800-850

Second…Upper Edge Trend Up Channel 

Key Level 6930 

with

Psychological Key Level  7000

but remember

Bear Reversal  Pattern – M  Risk Rising

Clear Technical Trigger 

Dynamic Back under 7000 – 6800-850 Zone 

that will Active

Mega  Bull  Trap   

 

 

Second…Present ASX 200 Index  Situation

ASX 200  INDEX  SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

ASX 200 Index

Monthly View 

First of All

All Time High – February  20th  2020 

Key Level  7197.20 

After Activated

First…M Pattern – Key Level 7000

January – February 2020

Second…M Pattern – Key Level 6800-850 Zone 

 ( 2007 – 2019 )

by

Dynamic Bear Strike  

Back under

First…Psychological Key Level 7000

Second…2007 Year Top – Key Level 6800-850

&

Break Down

Long Term Bull Trendline – Key Level  5650   

by

March Monthly Extra Large Real Body Bear Candlestick 

vs

Long Lower Shadow 

&

Test  FIB RET  Last Long Term Rising Wave 

but with

MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

 

 

ASX 200 Index Present Active Battlefield 

4400    vs    4900-5000 

 

ATA ASX 200 Index Investment Conclusion

special focus

Present Master Zone    4400    vs    4900-5000 

with

New Pattern Research  

of course with

New Coronavirus News

Next Global – US – Australian  Macro Strikes

&

Central Banks FED – RBA  &  Governments Strikes 

 

 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

 

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

EOM – Now  March 

 

 

ASX 200 Index  Monthly  Charts :

16.07.2019 – EOD 

ASX - M

ASX - M - Focus

ASX - M - Focus - Focus

23.08.2019 – EOD 

ASX - M - Line

ASX - M

ASX - M - Focus

24.01.2020 – EOW 

ASX - M - Line

ASX - M

27.03.2020 – EOW 

ASX - M - Line

ASX - M

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