NIFTY 50 – Back Today on ATA Research Radar
First of All
FED-BOJ-ECB – Biggest ever Central Black Swan
&
Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System
vs
Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger
ATA Continuation of…
22.08.2019 – NIFTY 50 – on the INDIA Edge…
&
25.01.2020 – NIFTY 50 – Bear Reversal Pattern Inception Rising Risk with or without Outbreak Fear…
with
ATA Following …
ATA WARNINGS ex ante…
Before Wall Street Shot Down on Coronavirus Scary Motive
ASIA & PACIFIC
26.01.2020 – ASIA & PACIFIC Equity Indexes – Secular View in Coronavirus Outbreak Risk Shadow…
Shanghai Index
24.01.2020 – SHANGHAI INDEX – No Change Long Term View after Coronavirus Strike…
2.02.2020 – SHANGHAI INDEX – Secular BULL Perspective before Expected Coronavirus Bear Main Strike…
Hang Seng Index
24.01.2020 – HONG KONG ASSETS – Coronavirus Strike – Bear Contraction vs No Panic…
Nikkei Index
24.01.2020 – NIKKEI – No Coronavirus Japan Sell Off Strike…
Taiwan Stock Index
25.01.2020 – Taiwan Stock Index – No Corona Fear Impact yet…
KOSPI Index
25.01.2020 – KOSPI – Secular Bear Pattern still Active Risk with or without Coronavirus…
Jakarta Index
25.01.2020 – Jakarta Composite Index – still Active Bear Reversal Patterns long before Coronavirus Impact…
ASX Index
25.01.2020 – ASX Index – Australia Stocks Staring at Wall Street without Coronavirus Strike yet…
WALL STREET
2.01.2020 – WALL STREET – 2020 ECSTASY START vs SECULAR HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions…
NASDAQ
12.02.2020 – NASDAQ – ELLIOTT WAVE TOP 2020 FINAL COUNTDOWN…
12.02.2020 – NASDAQ – US Tech Bulls Parabolic Wave vs Secular Horizon Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…
DJIA
20.01.2020 – DJIA – Barron’s Cover Warning with Bear Ending Diagonal Risk…
3.02.2020 – DJIA – Secular Perspective after January Coronavirus Outbreak Fear Impact…
17.02.2020 – DJIA – Wall Street Bulls Run vs SECULAR HORIZON Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…
S&P 500
17.02.2020 – S&P 500 – Wall Street Bulls Charge vs SECULAR HORIZON Fibonacci Extensions Update February 2020…
FANG+ Index
6.02.2020 – FANG + INDEX – BIG TECH BULL WAVE vs LONG TERM HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…
9.02.2020 – FANG + INDEX – Spectrum of Research – from Long to Short Term Perspectives…
Dow Jones Airlines Index
24.02.2020 – Dow Jones Airlines Index – Long Term Perspective vs Mainstream Media Coronavirus Fly Crash…
&
Israel TA 35
23.02.2020 – Israel TA 35 – “WORLD WAR Z” Scenario Rising Risk…
Saudi Arabia TASI
26.01.2020 – Saudi Arabia TASI – only Limited Bear Contraction on Coronavirus Fear…
with
DAX
18.01.2020 – DAX – Final Fight in Master 2017-2018 Top Zone…
Italy FTSE MIB
23.02.2020 – FTSE MIB – Italian Bulls vs Coronavirus Mortal Fight…
&
After Wall Street Shot Down on Coronavirus Scary Motive
NASDAQ 100
29.02.2020 – NASDAQ 100 Futures – Secular AMAZING CONSTELLATION after First Bear Strike…
Israel TA 35
15.03.2020 – Israel TA 35 – Jewish QE Strike…
Saudi Arabia TASI
15.03.2020 – Saudi Arabia TASI – Stop Black Bleeding…
REITs
21.03.2020 – US REIT INDEX – NO SAFE HAVEN -AMERICAN REAL ESTATE – REAL LOSS…
21.03.2020 – EUROPE REIT INDEX – NO SAFE HAVEN – EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE – REAL LOSS…
Hotels & Travel
22.03.2020 – Dow Jones Hotels Index – Big Picture in Virus Shadow…
22.03.2020 – Dow Jones Travel & Tourism Index – Gonna with the Virus Wind…
22.03.2020 – FTSE 350 Travel & Leisure Index – Bear Ride in Lehman Direction…
24.03.2020 – STOXX 600 Travel & Leisure Index – No Travel Planet…
NIFTY 50 Index Key Motives
Asia – India Coronavirus Pandemic
ASIA – India & Global Slowdown or Recession Risk
vs
RBI Mega Easing & Stimulus Strike
Cuts Rate & 50 Billion USD Stimulus in Virus Fight
India Virus Fight Strike
Total Lockdown 1.3 Billion People
US Factor for India NIFY Index
Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD
&
FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike
More for US Economy Financial System if needed
Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike
5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic
FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike
Policy Room for More Action
Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN
FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits
US Government Stimulus Packet
with
Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike
FED Bullard “Boom” Strike
after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again
Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike
US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction
vs
FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario
US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%
Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike
Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike
Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP
Mnuchin US Jobless Warning
Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action
Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession
ATA Conclusion
Wall Street Factor for India NIFY Index
Dynamic Rising Probability
of
2000 Year DOT.COM Bubble Burst DEJA VU Scenario
or even
1929 Great Depression
with
Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning
Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse
Tech Bubble High Risk
GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK
First…ATA from 25.01.2020
” ATA NIFY 50 Investment Conclusion
Bear Scenario Rising Risk
&
ATA Last India Tweet
Second…Present NIFY 50 Situation
NIFY 50 SECULAR SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
NIFTY 50
Monthly View
First of All
All Time High – January 20th 2020
Key Level 12430.50
after Activated
Pattern Inception
Two Main Bear Reversal Patterns
First…Ending Diagonal
Lower Edge – Key Level 11.450
Second…Inverted Ending Diagonal
Lower Edge – Key Level 11.000
&
Dynamic Falling Wave
with
Test Psychological Key Level 7500 Zone
Now dominating
Bull Contraction
in
Wall Street Global Equity Rhythm
with
Back
above
Psychological Key Levels 8000 & 8500
&
Monthly Bear Extra Large Real Body Candlestick
but with
Lower Shadow
vs
Monthly MACD Sell Signal
with
Break Down Lower Edge of Triangle
ATA NIFY 50 Investment Conclusion
Active
Bear Scenario
ATA Wall Street Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE …!!!
&
WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!
vs
MAJOR BOTTOMS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS
with
PANIC PHASE
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction….
EOM – Now March
NIFY 50 Index Monthly Charts :
22.08.2019 – EOD
24.01.2020 – EOW
27.03.2020 – EOW
ATA FINANCIAL RESEARCH 