NIFTY 50 – India Stock Index Secular View after First Bear Strike on Coronavirus Scary Motive…

NIFTY 50 –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

First of All

FED-BOJ-ECB – Biggest ever Central Black Swan

&

Minsky Moment Flat Money “Printing” System

vs

Coronavirus “Ugly Duckling”-Trigger

 

ATA Continuation of…

22.08.2019 – NIFTY 50 – on the INDIA Edge…

&

25.01.2020 –  NIFTY 50 – Bear Reversal Pattern Inception Rising Risk with or without Outbreak Fear…

with

ATA Following …

ATA WARNINGS ex ante…

Before Wall Street  Shot Down on Coronavirus  Scary Motive 

ASIA & PACIFIC 

26.01.2020 – ASIA & PACIFIC Equity Indexes – Secular View in Coronavirus Outbreak Risk Shadow…

Shanghai Index 

24.01.2020 –  SHANGHAI INDEX – No Change Long Term View after Coronavirus Strike…

2.02.2020 –  SHANGHAI INDEX – Secular BULL Perspective before Expected Coronavirus Bear Main Strike…

Hang Seng Index 

24.01.2020 –  HONG KONG ASSETS – Coronavirus Strike – Bear Contraction vs No Panic…

Nikkei Index

24.01.2020 –  NIKKEI – No Coronavirus Japan Sell Off Strike…

Taiwan Stock Index 

25.01.2020 –  Taiwan Stock Index – No Corona Fear Impact yet…

KOSPI  Index

25.01.2020 –  KOSPI – Secular Bear Pattern still Active Risk with or without Coronavirus…

Jakarta Index 

25.01.2020 –  Jakarta Composite Index – still Active Bear Reversal Patterns long before Coronavirus Impact…

ASX Index

25.01.2020 –  ASX Index – Australia Stocks Staring at Wall Street without Coronavirus Strike yet…

WALL STREET 

2.01.2020 –  WALL STREET – 2020 ECSTASY START vs SECULAR HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions…

NASDAQ

12.02.2020 –  NASDAQ – ELLIOTT WAVE TOP 2020 FINAL COUNTDOWN…

12.02.2020 –  NASDAQ – US Tech Bulls Parabolic Wave vs Secular Horizon Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…

DJIA 

20.01.2020 – DJIA – Barron’s Cover Warning with Bear Ending Diagonal Risk…

3.02.2020 – DJIA – Secular Perspective after January Coronavirus Outbreak Fear Impact…

17.02.2020 –  DJIA – Wall Street Bulls Run vs SECULAR HORIZON Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…

S&P 500 

17.02.2020 –  S&P 500 – Wall Street Bulls Charge vs SECULAR HORIZON Fibonacci Extensions Update February 2020…

FANG+ Index 

6.02.2020 –  FANG + INDEX – BIG TECH BULL WAVE vs LONG TERM HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…

9.02.2020 –  FANG + INDEX – Spectrum of Research – from Long to Short Term Perspectives…

Dow Jones Airlines Index

24.02.2020 –  Dow Jones Airlines Index – Long Term Perspective vs Mainstream Media Coronavirus Fly Crash…

&

Israel TA 35 

23.02.2020 –  Israel TA 35 – “WORLD WAR Z” Scenario Rising Risk…

Saudi Arabia TASI 

26.01.2020 –  Saudi Arabia TASI – only Limited Bear Contraction on Coronavirus Fear…

with

DAX

18.01.2020 –  DAX – Final Fight in Master 2017-2018 Top Zone…

Italy FTSE MIB 

23.02.2020 –  FTSE MIB – Italian Bulls vs Coronavirus Mortal Fight…

&

After  Wall Street  Shot Down on Coronavirus  Scary Motive 

NASDAQ 100

29.02.2020 –  NASDAQ 100 Futures – Secular AMAZING CONSTELLATION after First Bear Strike…

Israel TA 35 

15.03.2020 –  Israel TA 35 – Jewish QE Strike…

Saudi Arabia TASI 

15.03.2020 – Saudi Arabia TASI – Stop Black Bleeding…

REITs

21.03.2020 –  US REIT INDEX – NO SAFE HAVEN -AMERICAN REAL ESTATE – REAL LOSS…

21.03.2020 –  EUROPE REIT INDEX – NO SAFE HAVEN – EUROPEAN REAL ESTATE – REAL LOSS…

Hotels & Travel 

22.03.2020 –  Dow Jones Hotels Index – Big Picture in Virus Shadow…

22.03.2020 –  Dow Jones Travel & Tourism Index – Gonna with the Virus Wind…

22.03.2020 –  FTSE 350 Travel & Leisure Index – Bear Ride in Lehman Direction…

24.03.2020 –  STOXX 600 Travel & Leisure Index – No Travel Planet…

 

 

NIFTY 50  Index  Key Motives

Asia – India Coronavirus Pandemic

ASIA – India  & Global Slowdown or Recession Risk

vs

RBI Mega Easing & Stimulus Strike 

Cuts Rate & 50 Billion USD  Stimulus in Virus Fight

India Virus Fight Strike 

Total Lockdown 1.3 Billion People

 

US  Factor for India  NIFY Index 

Trump signed CARES Act-2.2 Trillion USD

&

FED Atlanta Bostic “More&More” Strike

More for US Economy Financial System if needed

Mnuchin US Macro “Wonder” Strike

5% GDP-EOY 2020 Realistic

FED Powell New Central “More&More” Strike

Policy Room for More Action

Central Banks-Hazard ALL IN

FED Mega Easing BAZOOKA Strike – QE No Limits 

US Government  Stimulus Packet 

with

Bernanke “Now No Great Depression” Strike

FED Bullard “Boom” Strike

after short term Shock US Economy will Boom again

Kudlow RISK ON Verbal Strike

US likely V-shaped Recovery in Summer vs Present 10-15% Contraction

vs

FED Bullard US Economy Götterdämmerung Scenario

US Q2 GDP -50% & Unemployment Rate 30%

Goldman Sachs US Coronavirus-driven Recession Strike

Goldman “Apocalypse” Strike

Expectation Record 24% Crash US Q2 GDP

Mnuchin US Jobless Warning

Coronavirus could Yield 20% Jobless Rate without Action

Morgan Stanley Base Case – Global Recession

 

ATA Conclusion 

Wall Street Factor for  India  NIFY  Index 

Dynamic Rising Probability

of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

or even

1929 Great Depression 

with

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

 

NIFY 50 - 2

 

First…ATA from  25.01.2020

ATA  NIFY 50  Investment Conclusion

Bear Scenario Rising Risk 

Bear Reversal Pattern Inception 

Ending Diagonal 

in

Inverted Ending Diagonal 

so

Focus carefully on

Present Master Psychological Key Levels 

12.000-12.100   vs   12.500 – 13.000

of course with

New Coronavirus News   

 

&

ATA Last India Tweet 

 

Second…Present NIFY 50 Situation

NIFY 50  SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

NIFTY 50 

Monthly View 

First of All

All Time High – January 20th  2020 

Key Level 12430.50 

after Activated

Pattern Inception 

Two Main Bear Reversal Patterns

First…Ending Diagonal 

Lower Edge – Key Level 11.450 

Second…Inverted Ending Diagonal 

Lower Edge – Key Level 11.000

&

Dynamic Falling Wave 

with

Test Psychological Key Level 7500 Zone 

Now dominating

Bull Contraction

in

Wall Street Global Equity Rhythm 

with

Back

above

Psychological Key Levels 8000 & 8500

&

Monthly Bear  Extra Large Real Body Candlestick 

but with

Lower Shadow 

vs

Monthly MACD Sell Signal 

with

Break Down Lower Edge of Triangle 

 

 

ATA  NIFY 50  Investment Conclusion

Active 

Bear Scenario 

Bear Reversal Pattern Inception 

Ending Diagonal 

in

Inverted Ending Diagonal 

 

Focus carefully on

Present Master Psychological Key Levels 

7500-8000-8500   vs   9000-10000

&

FIB RET 

All  Rasing Waves 

vs

Last Wave Down

of course with

New Coronavirus News

Next Global – US -CHINA-INDIA Macro Strikes

&

Central Banks FED,BOJ, RBI  & Governments Strikes 

 

 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

 

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

EOM – Now March 

 

 

NIFY 50  Index  Monthly Charts :

22.08.2019 – EOD 

NIFTY - M - Line

24.01.2020 – EOW 

NIFTY - M - Line

27.03.2020 – EOW 

NIFTY - M - Line

NIFTY - M

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