Alibaba – Warning “Black Swan” of Coronavirus…

Alibaba  –  Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

with

ATA Following …

TATS –  ” ASIAN FANG ” 

TATS –  Taiwan Semiconductor , Alibaba, Tencent, Samsung

7.12.2017 –  TATS WARNING – NOT ONLY NASDAQ FANG…

&

8.08.2019 –  TATS – ASIAN BIG TECH BEAR STRIKE…

FANG+ Index 

6.02.2020 –  FANG + INDEX – BIG TECH BULL WAVE vs LONG TERM HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…

9.02.2020 –  FANG + INDEX – Spectrum of Research – from Long to Short Term Perspectives…

Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100 

12.02.2020 –  NASDAQ – ELLIOTT WAVE TOP 2020 FINAL COUNTDOWN…

12.02.2020 –  NASDAQ – US Tech Bulls Parabolic Wave vs Secular Horizon Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…

 

Alibaba Motives 

Negative Divergence 

Alibaba No New February 2020 All Time High 

vs

Nasdaq & Nasdaq 100 New February 2020 All Time High 

Alibaba

Earnings Top Expectations  &  Beats Forecasts

vs

Warning ” Black Swan ” of  Coronavirus

Alibaba Group’s CEO Daniel Zhang Warns

Coronavirus  China Outbreak  developing into  Black Swan Event

with

China Coronavirus Fabricating Numbers Risk

&

Secular Motives 

Tech Boom Cycle

US Big Techs Buybacks 

with

Central Banks Mega Easing Active Wave 

Main Central Players  FED , ECB , BOJ,  PBoC 

 

ATA Research  Secular  Conclusion…

Now  still  Rising Probability of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

 

Alibaba - 1

 

First…ATA  from  8.08.2019  

Alibaba

13 months after Master Top  – June 2018 

Key Levels 200 – 211 Zone 

&

Activated 2B Pattern – Key Level 205 USD 

Now dominating

H&S Pattern  Forming  

Neck line – Key Level  158   

 

&

ATA Last Coronavirus  Tweet

 

 

Second…Present Alibaba  Situation 

ALIBABA  LONG TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Master Motives 

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns

After

First…No Activated Bear Pattern – H&S 

Not Break Down Neckline 158 USD

Second… Bull Strike – Baskerville Dog Run

Dynamic Rising Wave

above

Psychological Key Level 200 USD

June 2018 Top – Key Level  211.70 USD 

Third…Creating New All Time High – January 2020 

Psychological Key Level 230 USD (231.14) 

with

Last Pullback to Psychological Key Level 200 USD

Now dominating

Bull ContractionPresent Testing 

Psychological Key Level 220 USD

vs

Two Last Weekly Candlesticks 

Large Upper Shadows 

with

MACD Weekly

still Buy Signal vs  near to Active Sell 

 

ATA Long Term Investment Conclusion 

Special  Focus on

Present Alibaba Battlefield

200   vs   220 – 230 USD

with

Potential 2B Pattern Risk 

Key Levels   210  200 USD 

Future Active  by Shot Down 

or

Future Cancel by Shot Up 

with

FIB  RET 

and of course

Next China  US Fut  Markets  Smart Money Moves

New Coronavirus News 

 

 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

 

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First… Today  EOW

 

Alibaba  Weekly Charts :

7.08.2019

ALIBABA - W - Line

14.02.2020 – (  First Phase US Session ) 

ALIBABA - W - Line

ALIBABA - W

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