Alibaba – Today on ATA Research Radar
with
ATA Following …
TATS – ” ASIAN FANG ”
TATS – Taiwan Semiconductor , Alibaba, Tencent, Samsung
7.12.2017 – TATS WARNING – NOT ONLY NASDAQ FANG…
&
8.08.2019 – TATS – ASIAN BIG TECH BEAR STRIKE…
FANG+ Index
6.02.2020 – FANG + INDEX – BIG TECH BULL WAVE vs LONG TERM HORIZON Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…
9.02.2020 – FANG + INDEX – Spectrum of Research – from Long to Short Term Perspectives…
Nasdaq Comp & Nasdaq 100
12.02.2020 – NASDAQ – ELLIOTT WAVE TOP 2020 FINAL COUNTDOWN…
12.02.2020 – NASDAQ – US Tech Bulls Parabolic Wave vs Secular Horizon Major Fibonacci Extensions – Update February 2020…
Alibaba Motives
Negative Divergence
Alibaba No New February 2020 All Time High
vs
Nasdaq & Nasdaq 100 New February 2020 All Time High
Alibaba
Earnings Top Expectations & Beats Forecasts
vs
Warning ” Black Swan ” of Coronavirus
Alibaba Group’s CEO Daniel Zhang Warns
Coronavirus China Outbreak developing into Black Swan Event
with
China Coronavirus Fabricating Numbers Risk
&
Secular Motives
Tech Boom Cycle
US Big Techs Buybacks
with
Central Banks Mega Easing Active Wave
Main Central Players FED , ECB , BOJ, PBoC
ATA Research Secular Conclusion…
Now still Rising Probability of
2000 Year DOT.COM Bubble Burst DEJA VU Scenario
First…ATA from 8.08.2019
“Alibaba
13 months after Master Top – June 2018
Key Levels 200 – 211 Zone
&
Activated 2B Pattern – Key Level 205 USD
Now dominating
H&S Pattern Forming
Neck line – Key Level 158 ”
&
ATA Last Coronavirus Tweet
Second…Present Alibaba Situation
ALIBABA LONG TERM SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS
Hope is Not a Strategy
Follow the Trendlines Not the Headlines
Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal
ATA MARKET MODEL
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
First…Key Master Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
After
First…No Activated Bear Pattern – H&S
Not Break Down Neckline 158 USD
Second… Bull Strike – Baskerville Dog Run
Dynamic Rising Wave
above
Psychological Key Level 200 USD
June 2018 Top – Key Level 211.70 USD
Third…Creating New All Time High – January 2020
Psychological Key Level 230 USD (231.14)
with
Last Pullback to Psychological Key Level 200 USD
Now dominating
Bull Contraction & Present Testing
Psychological Key Level 220 USD
vs
Two Last Weekly Candlesticks
Large Upper Shadows
with
MACD Weekly
still Buy Signal vs near to Active Sell
ATA Long Term Investment Conclusion
Special Focus on
Present Alibaba Battlefield
200 vs 220 – 230 USD
with
Potential 2B Pattern Risk
Key Levels 210 & 200 USD
Future Active by Shot Down
or
Future Cancel by Shot Up
with
FIB RET
and of course
Next China US Fut Markets Smart Money Moves
New Coronavirus News
ATA Wall Street Maximes
MAJOR TOPS WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS
with
EUPHORY PHASE …!!!
vs
MAJOR BOTTOMS WERE ALWAYS CREATED
on
SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS
with
PANIC PHASE
&
WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!
Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created
One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…
that’s why
Charts show you Reversal Pattern First ex ante…!!!
Risk strikes Fast…
Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…
Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction….
First… Today EOW
Alibaba Weekly Charts :
7.08.2019
14.02.2020 – ( First Phase US Session )