HONG KONG ASSETS – Bear Strike Continuation vs still No Panic after New Lunar Year…

HONG KONG Assets   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

2019

16.06.2019 –  HONG KONG ASSETS under POLITICAL RISK…

4.08.2019  –  HONG KONG ASSETS – Against the Background of Political Protest…

9.08.2019 –  HONG KONG ASSETS – Hostage in High Stake Geopolitical Game…

21.08.2019 –  HANG SENG – STATUS QUO…

31.08.2019 –  HONG KONG ASSETS – NO ESCAPE…

6.11.2019 –  HONG KONG ASSETS – Stocks Wave Up & Bonds Wave Down against Economy & Political Protests…

2020

24.01.2020 –  HONG KONG ASSETS – Coronavirus Strike – Bear Contraction vs No Panic…

with

ATA Following

Shanghai Index 

24.01.2020 –  SHANGHAI INDEX – No Change Long Term View after Coronavirus Strike…

Asia & Pacific Equity Indexes

24.01.2020 –  ASIA & PACIFIC Equity Indexes – Secular View in Coronavirus Outbreak Risk Shadow…

&

China Index Futures 

27.01.2020 –  CHINA Index Futures – Bear Reversal Pattern Activated before Coronavirus Fear Main Strike…

28.01.2020 –  CHINA Index Futures – the Day after Coronavirus Panic…

 

 

Hong Kong Assets Key Motives

China Coronavirus Outbreak Fear Strike 

Hong Kong Protests 

ASIA -China – Japan  & Global Slowdown or Recession Risk

 

Hong Kong - 4

 

First…ATA  from  24.01.2020

Hong Kong Assets React 

on

China Coronavirus Outbreak Fear Strike 

vs

No Panic 

Hang Seng still looking on  Wall Street 

&

Hong Kong Bond Yield falling after Global Yields 

Hong Kong

special focus on Psychological Key Level 28.000

10Y Hong Kong Bond Yield

special focus on Psychological Key Level  1.5%   

 

&

ATA  Last  Hang Seng  Coronavirus  Tweet

 

 

Second…Present Hong Kong Assets Situation

HONG KONG ASSETS  SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Hang Seng Index

still Active

Rising Channel 

Last Main Bottom – Key Level 25.000 Zone

( 24.899 –  August 2019 ) 

Bull  Trendline – for Now Key Level 24.500

After

Testing 25.000 Zone

First Test – October 2018

Second Test – August 2019

&

Activated

W Pattern – Key Level 25.000 

Now  dominating

Dynamic Bear Wave Continuation

from

Last Top Zone  29.000  ( 29.150 ) 

after

Back under Key Level 28.000 ( 27.950 ) 

Now dominating

Testing Key Level 27.000 Zone ( 27.160 ) 

with

January Monthly Bear Candlestick 

Upper Shadow 

&

All Time Active

Long Term Top 2B Pattern

( 2007 – 2018 )

Key Level 31.350 

Monthly MACD

Sell Signal 

vs

above Rising Trendline 

 

10Y Hong Kong Bond Yield

After

Testing Psychological key Level 1.00 Zone 

First Test – August 2019

Second Test -September  2019

&

Strong Rising Wave

Testing Psychological Zone 1.80% 

( December 2019 High 1.772%) 

Now still dominating

Dynamic Bear Strike Continuation 

for Now  Shot Down under 

 Neckline – 1.55% – Inverted H&S

Psychological Key Level 1.50% 

( 1.437 ) 

with

still Active

Monthly MACD Break Down Rising Trendline

Monthly MACD Sell Signal 

 

 

ATA  Hong Kong Assets Investment Conclusion 

 Hong Kong Assets React 

on

China Coronavirus Outbreak Fear Strike 

vs

still  No Panic 

Hang Seng still looking on  Wall Street 

&

Hong Kong Bond Yield falling after Global Yields 

 

Hong Kong

special focus on Psychological Key Level 27.000

10Y Hong Kong Bond Yield

special focus on Psychological Key Levels

1.3 %   vs    1.5% 

with

New Pattern Research 

Time Filter 

and of course

New Coronavirus News

 

 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

 

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

EOM – Now January 

 

 

Hang Seng Index & 10Y Hong Kong Bond Yield Monthly Charts :

14.06.2019

Hang Seng Index - M

HONG KONG Yield - M

2.08.2019 – EOW

Hang Seng Index - M

HONG KONG Yield - M

9.08.2019 – EOW

Hang Seng Index - M

HONG KONG Yield - M

21.08.2019 – EOD 

Hang Seng Index - M

30.08.2019 – EOM

Hang Seng Index - M

HONG KONG Yield - M

 

6.11.2019 – EOD 

Hang Seng Index - M - Line - Focus

Hang Seng Index - M - Focus

HONG KONG Yield - M - Line

HONG KONG Yield - M

24.01.2020 – EOD

Hang Seng Index - M - Line - Focus

Hang Seng Index - M - Focus

HONG KONG Yield - M - Line

HONG KONG Yield - M

29.01.2020 – EOD

Hang Seng Index - M - Line - Focus

Hang Seng Index - M - Focus

HONG KONG Yield - M - Line

HONG KONG Yield - M

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