HONG KONG ASSETS – Coronavirus Strike – Bear Contraction vs No Panic…

HONG KONG Assets   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

16.06.2019 –  HONG KONG ASSETS under POLITICAL RISK…

4.08.2019  –  HONG KONG ASSETS – Against the Background of Political Protest…

9.08.2019 –  HONG KONG ASSETS – Hostage in High Stake Geopolitical Game…

21.08.2019 –  HANG SENG – STATUS QUO…

31.08.2019 –  HONG KONG ASSETS – NO ESCAPE…

6.11.2019 –  HONG KONG ASSETS – Stocks Wave Up & Bonds Wave Down against Economy & Political Protests…

with

ATA Following

24.01.2020 –  SHANGHAI INDEX – No Change Long Term View after Coronavirus Strike…

 

 

Hong Kong Assets Key Motives

China Coronavirus Outbreak Fear Strike 

Hong Kong Protests 

ASIA -China – Japan  & Global Slowdown or Recession Risk

&

US – Global Perspective 

Tech Boom Cycle

Central Banks Mega Easing

Big Techs Buybacks 

with

January Effect 

&

Guggenheim “PONZI SCHEME” Collapse Warning

Central Banks driven ‘Ponzi Scheme’ must Collapse

Tech Bubble High Risk 

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

GLOBAL EQUITIES  SELL OFF HIGH RISK 

Global & CHINA – US – EU – UK Slowdown  & Recession Risk

with

SYRIA – LIBYA – TURKEY , IRAN  & North Korea 

for Now special  IRAN & LIBYA

vs

US – CHINA  TRADE DEAL – Phase One Signed 

NO WAR with IRAN 

 

ATA Conclusion 

Wall Street Factor for  Hong Kong Assets 

Now still Rising Probability of

2000 Year  DOT.COM  Bubble Burst  DEJA VU Scenario

on

Euphory – Super Good News 

US – CHINA  TRADE DEAL – Phase One Signed 

BREXIT – FINAL DONE 

NO WAR with IRAN 

with

GLOBAL RECOVERY SUPER PROJECTIONS

WALL STREET MAINSTREAM MEDIA PRESTIDIGITATORS ECSTASY 

with

Wall Street Major Top Risk on Super Good News

Fund Managers Most Optimistic on Growth 2020-2021

as

Cash at Lowest Levels since 2013

 

A flag bearing the logo of the Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited flies in Hong Kong

 

First…ATA  from  6.11.2019

Hang Seng Index

still Active

Rising Channel 

Last Main Bottom – Key Level 25.000 Zone

( 24.899 –  August 2019 ) 

10Y Hong Kong Bond Yield

Now  dominating

Strong Rising Wave

Back above Psychological Key Level 1.50%   

 

 

Second…Present Hong Kong Assets Situation

HONG KONG ASSETS  SECULAR  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Hang Seng Index

still Active

Rising Channel 

Last Main Bottom – Key Level 25.000 Zone

( 24.899 –  August 2019 ) 

Bull  Trendline – for Now Key Level 24.500

After

Testing 25.000 Zone

First Test – October 2018

Second Test – August 2019

&

Activated

W Pattern – Key Level 25.000 

Now  dominating

Rising Wave – still in 28.000 Zone 

vs

Dynamic Bear Contraction 

from

Last Top Zone  29.000  ( 29.150 ) 

Back under 

Psychological Key Level 28.000

( 27.950 ) 

with

January Monthly Bear Reversal Pattern

Candlestick Shooting Start 

&

All Time Active

Long Term Top 2B Pattern

( 2007 – 2018 )

Key Level 31.350 

Monthly MACD

Sell Signal 

vs

above Rising Trendline 

 

10Y Hong Kong Bond Yield

After

Testing Psychological key Level 1.00 Zone 

First Test – August 2019

Second Test -September  2019

&

Strong Rising Wave

Testing Psychological Zone 1.80% 

( December 2019 High 1.772%) 

Now dominating

Dynamic Bear Contraction 

for Now  Pullback  to

 Neckline – 1.55% – Inverted H&S

Psychological Key Level 1.50% 

vs

still Active

Monthly MACD Break Down Rising Trendline

Monthly MACD Sell Signal 

 

 

ATA  Hong Kong Assets Investment Conclusion 

 Hong Kong Assets React 

on

China Coronavirus Outbreak Fear Strike 

vs

No Panic 

Hang Seng still looking on  Wall Street 

&

Hong Kong Bond Yield falling after Global Yields 

 

Hong Kong

special focus on Psychological Key Level 28.000

10Y Hong Kong Bond Yield

special focus on Psychological Key Level  1.5% 

of course with

New Coronavirus News

 

 

ATA Wall Street Maximes

MAJOR TOPS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED on SUPER GOOD NEWS

with

EUPHORY PHASE …!!!

vs

MAJOR BOTTOMS  WERE ALWAYS CREATED

on

SUPER NEGATIVE NEWS

with

PANIC PHASE

&

WALL STREET NEVER TOLD YOU…YOU SHOULD SELL…!!!

 

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

EOM – Now January 

 

 

Hang Seng Index & 10Y Hong Kong Bond Yield Monthly Charts :

14.06.2019

Hang Seng Index - M

HONG KONG Yield - M

2.08.2019 – EOW

Hang Seng Index - M

HONG KONG Yield - M

9.08.2019 – EOW

Hang Seng Index - M

HONG KONG Yield - M

21.08.2019 – EOD 

Hang Seng Index - M

30.08.2019 – EOM

Hang Seng Index - M

HONG KONG Yield - M

 

6.11.2019 – EOD 

Hang Seng Index - M - Line - Focus

Hang Seng Index - M - Focus

HONG KONG Yield - M - Line

HONG KONG Yield - M

24.01.2020 – EOD

Hang Seng Index - M - Line - Focus

Hang Seng Index - M - Focus

HONG KONG Yield - M - Line

HONG KONG Yield - M

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