OIL – OPEC OPEC+ & Aramco – Double Motive…

OIL  –  All Time  on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

2016

29.07.2016   –  OIL SHOT DOWN – NO SUPRISE for ATA…

6.08.2016   –  OIL – BLACK GOLD COME BACK…

20.08 2016 – OIL – Market & Mainstream Media Trends…

15.10.2016 –  OIL STILL ON GREEN TRACK…

2018

7.05.2018  –   OIL – FIBONACCI WARNING…!!!

11.05.2018 –   OIL – IRAN Motive vs Fibonacci…

28.05.2018  –   BLACK OIL DOWN…

1.07.2018  –  OIL – TRUMP – Saudi Arabia Motive & Fibonacci…

9.07.2018  –   OIL – CHINA – IRAN Motive & Fibonacci…

12.07.2018  –  OIL – Mainstream Verbal Trend vs Fibonacci…

19.07.2018  –  OIL-FIBONACCI WINNING…

29.07.2018   –  OIL – PRICE SUNSET…

5.08.2018   –    OIL-GEOPOLITICAL SPECULATION BURNOUT…

9.08.2018   –    OIL – NO IRAN FEAR…

26.08.2018  –   OIL – RUN OUT OF IMPET…

8.09.2018  –  OIL – BLACK GOLD STILL NOT SHINING…

16.10.2018  –  OIL vs IRAN Sanctions – waiting for November…

3.11.2018  –  OIL OFF vs IRAN SANCTIONS ON…

14.11.2018 –  OIL – BLACK GOLD PANIC…

2019

16.01.2019 –  OIL – V Sharp Correction…

28.04.2019 –  OIL – WASHINGTON vs TEHRAN CLASH…

20.07.2019 –  OIL – HORMUZ GEOPOLITICAL IRANIAN STRIKE…

7.08.2019 –   OIL – Global Slowdown & Recession Barometer…

2.09.2019 –  OIL – BLACK GOLD STATUS QUO…

11.09.2019 –  OIL – Global Slowing vs Central Easing…

15.09.2019 –  OIL – Saudi Aramco Drone Strike…

16.09.2019 – OIL – Hot Reaction after Aramco Drone Strike…

17.09.2019 –  OIL – Black Gold Picture after Saudi Dust Fall…

20.09.2019 –  OIL – SAUDI vs IRAN Rising Risk with US Sanctions Iran National Bank…

2.10.2019 –  OIL – from Saudi Aramco Halted Panic to Dynamic Shot Down …

18.10.2019 –  OIL – No Black Gold Bull Ecstasy Warning…

4.11.2019 –  OIL – ARAMCO STORYTELLING & PUMPING MOTIVE…

19.11.2019 –  OIL – ARAMCO IS NOT ENOUGH…

24.11.2019 –  OIL – OPEC Meeting & Aramco pre-IPO Roadshow – Key Playing Motives…

29.11.2019 –  OIL – Russian Black Friday Sell Off…

5.12.2019 –  OIL – Saudi Shot Up…

with

ATA Following …

8.12.2019 –  Saudi Arabia TASI – Ahead of Aramco Stock Market Debut…

 

Present  OIL  Key Motives

One of the Deepest Oil Output Cuts

OPEC & OPEC+ Members Final Cut Agreement

an extra 500,000 barrels per day for Q1/2020

the total to 1.7 million bpd , 1.7% of global demand

OPEC – an extra  372,000 bpd

OPEC+ mostly Russia – an extra 131,000 bpd

&

Saudi Aramco Stock Market Debut 

vs

still Active

NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE 

Wall Street Back November All Time High Zone 

USD  Falling Contraction

&

OIL 

Rising above 59 USD

but

still under Psychological Key Level 60 USD 

with

Neverending Stories 

US – CHINA  TRADE DEAL  &  BREXIT DEAL 

&

FED – NEW EASING WAVE ” NOT QE4 ” 

MAIN CENTRAL BANKS DOVISH 

vs

GLOBAL FLAT MONEY ERROR SYSTEM MEGA RISK 

GLOBAL EQUITIES & BONDS SELL OFF HIGH RISK 

Global & CHINA – US – EU – UK Slowdown  & Recession Risk

with

SYRIA  &  IRAN  

 

OIL - 10

 

First…ATA  from  5.12.2019 

” Now dominating

Dynamic Shot Up 

&

New Testing Resistance Zone 

Psychological Key Levels

58 – 60 USD   

 

&

ATA OIL – Aramco Motive  Tweet 

 

 

Second…Present  OIL  Situation 

OIL MEDIUM TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL IN MEDIUM TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

Failed Signal is the Strongest Signal

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

After

First…Activated Last W Pattern

Key Level  55 USD 

Second…Dynamic Shot Up 

before & after OPEC & OPEC+ Cut

Now dominating

Rising Wave 

EOW above Key Level 58 USD 

&

Testing Resistance Zone 

Psychological Key Level 60 USD 

vs

still under 60  USD 

with

Risk of Future Active Bear Reversal

2B Pattern – Key Level 58.50 USD 

&

Weekly Bull Candlestick 

Big Real Body

Daily Bull Candlestick

but with

Upper Shadow 

H5 Intraday Candlestick 

with

Very Long Upper Shadow 

&

MACD Weekly Daily H5 Buy Signals

 

 

OIL Present Battlefield 

55-58-58.50   vs   60-63-66  USD

 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

Now  still Special Focus on

New OPEC  ; OPEC+ Cut Commentary 

with

Aramco Stock Market Debut 

&

55-58-58.50   60-63-66 USD Zone 

with

FIB RET Last Wave Down 

Special 68.5%  & 78.6%

( Daily Chart )

 

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…Monday H1-H4 -EOD

Second…EOD-s & EOW-s

Final…EOM – December 

 

by the Black Gold way

don’t forget

Oil  – Key Pathfinder for Wall Street & Global Stock Market…

OIL WARNING

Wall Street Back again to Last All Time High Zone 

vs

OIL still in Lower Price Zone & under Psychological 60 USD 

 

 

OIL Weekly Charts :

20.08.2016

15.10.2016

7.05.2018

Your new TVC (1)

11.05.2018

Your new TVC (2)

25.05.2018

Your new TVC (11)

29.06.2018

Your new TVC (24)

9.07.2018

Your new TVC (39)

12.07.2018

Your new TVC (9)

19.07.2018

Your new TVC (9)

27.07.2018

Your new TVC (2)

Your new TVC (3)

3.08.2018

Your new TVC (15)

Your new TVC (16)

9.08.2018

Your new TVC (3)

Your new TVC (4)

24.08.2018

OIL-1

OIL-2

7.09.2018

OIL-1

OIL-2

16.10.2018

OIL-1

OIL-2

2.11.2018

OIL-1

OIL-2

OIL-3

14.11.2018

OIL-1OIL-2OIL-3

OIL Weekly  & Daily Charts

16.01.2019

oil-1oil-2oil-3

26.04.2019

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL Weekly , Daily  & Intraday- H5  Charts

19.07.2019

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

7.08.2019

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

2.09.2019  (  End Phase European Session )

OIL - W

OIL - DOIL - H5

11.09.2019  (  Start American Session )

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

13.09.2019  (  EOW  )

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

16.09.2019  (  Start US Session  )

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

17.09.2019  (  before Start US Session  )

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

20.09.2019  (  Second Half  US Session  )

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

2.10.2019  (  First Phase  European Session )

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

18.10.2019  (  First Phase US Session )

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

4.11.2019  (  Half  European Session )

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

19.11.2019  (  Half  European Session )

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

22.11.2019 – EOW

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

29.11.2019 – EOW – EOM

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

5.12.2019  (  First Phase US Session )

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

6.12.2019 – EOW 

OIL - W

OIL - D

OIL - H5

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