DXY – FED – SUPER DOVISH EXPECTATIONS vs FED FUND FUTURES…

DXY –  all time on  ATA Research Radar 

 

DXY   –  Master  Pathfinder 

EM CURRENCIES   &  EQUITIES   

GOLD – SILVER   &  COMMODITIES  

 

ATA Continuation of…

from…

14.02.2018  –  DXY – Close Encounters of the Third Kind…

16.02.2018  –  DXY – The Thin Red Line…

17.03.2018  –  DXY – RISING STAR…

22.03.2018  – FED – THE DAY AFTER US CENTRAL MOTIVE…

27.04.2018  –  DXY – STILL STANDING…

to…

27.05.2018  –  DXY – BIG WAVE UP SURFING…BUT…

7.06.2018  –  DXY – KING IS TIRED…

13.06.2018  – DXY – FED BIG BADA BUM…!!!

16.06.2018  –  DXY – MASTER KEY TO ALL EM DOORS…

17.06.2018  – DXY – EM Currency Side of American Dollar…

23.06.2018  – DXY – SHOT DOWN…

30.06.2018  – DXY – REAL FALLING AGAINST MAINSTREAM MEDIA ” KING ” VOICES…

15.07.2018 –  DXY-STILL LOSING MOMENTUM…

18.07.2018  –  DXY – POWELL – FED MOTIVE…

19.07.2018  –  DXY – NO F/X AIR FLOW…

22.07.2018  – DXY – TRUMP SHOT DOWN…

23.07.2018 –  DXY after G20 Argentina Meeting…

with Last…

1.08.2018  –  DXY vs FED CENTRAL FACTOR…

2.08.2018  – DXY after FED & POWELL…

11.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X NORTHERN STAR for EM CURRENCIES…

12.08.2018 –  DXY -TURKISH GAME CHANGER…

18.08.2018 –  DXY vs EM CURRENCIES on TURKISH RATING DOUBLE IMPACT…

19.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X SAFE HAVEN…

21.08.2018 –  DXY – SHOT DOWN by TRUMP…

23.08.2018 –  DXY – HAWKISH FED MINUTES…

25.08.2018  –  DXY vs All the President’s Men…

28.08.2018 –  DXY – F/X EXECUTION…

15.09.2018  –  Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

20.11.2018 –  DXY – MORE & MORE DANGER GREEN TRACK…

20.01.2019 –  DXY – NO F/X CAPITULATION…

&

20.03.2019 –  DXY – SECULAR TREND… before & beyond FED – POWELL Verbal Action…

23.03.2019 – DXY – SECULAR TREND… after & beyond FED – POWELL Verbal Action…

28.03.2019 –  DXY – SECULAR VIEW with Last Months of F/X VERDUN…

31.03.2019 –  DXY – F/X MARATHON ELITE…

10.06.2019 –  DXY after FED & TRUMP Verbal Sparks…

23.06.2019 –  DXY – FED RATE CUT AHEAD…

14.07.2019 –  DXY in FED CLINCH…

30.07.2019 –  DXY – FED FINAL COUNTDOWN…

1.08.2019 –    DXY – FED the Day After…

11.08.2019 –  DXY – TRUMP ” GREEN AIR ” CUTOFF…

29.08.2019 –  DXY – SURVIVING TRUMP – FED POWELL VERBAL FURY…

with

ATA Following …

15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

 

DXY  Master  Motives

FED – Present Master Vector 

Dovish Expectations 

Big Waiting for Today Next Easing Move

vs

25bps Rate Cut Probability Fall to 56.5%

after

ECB RISK ON Strikes 

ECB – Super Dovish Verdict by Super Mario  

ECB Cuts Deposit Rate to -0.5% from -0.4%

Restarts QE from Nov1 at €20bn/mth

Changes Forward Guidance

Eases TLTRO

&

Trump Advisors Verbal Strike

Consider “Interim China Deal” To Delay Tariffs…!!!

with

Latest RISK ON Verbal Strikes 

from TRUMP, FED – Powell & Kudlow 

US & China Agree To Resume Trade Talks In October 

FED – Powell Dovish Expectations 

vs

Global & CHINA – US – EU – UK Slowdown  & Recession Risk

Global Goverment & Corporate  Debt Mega Danger 

US CHINA TRADE WAR  still formally Active 

BREXIT SAGA 

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

with

TRUMP TRADE WAR  – US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

TRUMP CURRENCY MANIPULATIONS CHARGE

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO & CHINA – PBoC – YUAN

of course Now dominating

BIG WAITING for  FED 

that’s why  Special Focus on

FED Central Strike

FED  Today Verdict & Verbal Predictions

 

N-times…

FED is Not Only US..is Global Central Bank…

which protects

All Global Financial & Monetary System…

 

FED - USD

 

First…ATA from  29.08.2019

” SECULAR ENDING DIAGONAL 

with

New Breaking  F/X VERDUN…

&

Back above Master Key Level 98

Finally  in  Consequence  

Cancel  Earlier AMBUSH 

&

Keeping  Active  Rising Wave 

Back above

Last Months VERDUN Top Zone  98 

after

Strong Defense – Key Level 97.50

Half of July Candlestick   

 

 

&

ATA Tweets…

First of  All

Special ATA  Tweets

 

 

with

DXY  Last 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Second… Present  DXY   Secular  Situation 

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Secular View 

First of All

SECULAR ENDING DIAGONAL 

after Activated

Breaking  F/X VERDUN

still above Master Key Levels Zone

98 – 97.75 

Against All Odds 

FED Super Dovish Expectations 

Trump – Powell Big Rate Cut Verbal Strikes 

but with

ECB Help Draghi Super Dovish Last Verdict 

 

Finally  in  Consequence  

still Active  Rising Wave 

with

Master Condition 

No Back under Key Support Zone 98 –  97.75 

( of course EOM )

 

 

DXY Long Term Perspective 

Now dominating

Big Waiting in 98.50 Zone 

for

FED Verdict & Monetary Projections 

that’s why DXY Chart creating for Now

September Monthly Spinning Top Candlestick 

with

Pullback to Key Level 97.75

( September Low for Now 97.86 )

after

Last August Monthly Bearish Pattern 

Hanging Man Candlestick

Earlier July Monthly Bull Large Real Body Candlestick

 

DXY Long & Medium Term View 

Monthly Picture

ConsolidationSpinning Top Candlestick – 98.50 Zone

so  still above

Key Monthly MA ( Moving Averages ) 

Master Support Zone  98 – 97.75 – F/X VERDUN

&

Weekly  Picture

Present Weekly Bull Candlestick 

with

Pullback to Neckline 98 

of

Activated Inverted H&S Pattern 

&

still Active

Monthly MACD Buy Signal 

Weekly MACD Buy Signal

 

 

ATA Research Conclusion

DXY  July  EOM – 98.61

DXY  August  EOM –  98.92 

&

DXY September  Now –  98.40

with

September  Pullback to Key Level  97.75

( September Low for Now 97.86 )

so

Special Focus on 

Secular DXY Present Active  Battlefield 

  97.75 –   98  vs 98.50 – 99 – 100

 

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Active Monitoring 

DXY  Master Key Levels   98  vs  98.50 

in combination to

US 10Y  Bond Yield – Psychological Key Level

1.50  –  1.80%   –  2.00 %    ( Now 1.775% )

with

still Active Master  Central Questions

What will do FED on September Meeting…!!???

 

with

What will be Next Verbal Strikes of  Powell  & Trump …!!???

vs

How really Dovish will be LAGARDE – ECB New Face..!!???

 

 

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOD-s

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Present  Month September 

 

 

DXY Monthly  Charts :

20.03.2019 – before the FOMC

DXY - M - Secular

 

DXY - M - Secular - Line

22.03.2019 – after the FOMC – EOW

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

28.03.2019 – Start European Session 

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

29.03.2019 – EOM – March

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - FocusDXY - M - Secular - Focus - FocusDXY - M - Secular - LineDXY - M - Secular - Line - FocusDXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus

10.06.2019 – Before Start American Session 

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Focus - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus

21.06.2019 – after the FOMC Meeting – EOW

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Focus - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus.png

12.07.2019 – after  FED Powell Testimony – EOW

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Focus - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus - Focus

 

DXY Monthly & Weekly  Charts

30.07.2019 – the Day before  FED  & Powell Verdict  – ( Half of  US Session )

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY V - W

 

1.08.2019 – the Day after FED  –  (  Before US Session )

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY V - W

9.08.2019 – Week after FED  –  EOW

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY V - W

29.08.2019 –  Stronger against all  odds – Trump Number One  

(  Before European Session )

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY V - W

18.09.2019 – FED Day   –  ( Before US Session )

DXY - M - Secular

DXY - M - Secular - Focus

DXY - M - Secular - Line

DXY - M - Secular - Line - Focus

DXY V - W

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