YUAN – from TRADE WAR to TRADE HOPE…

YUAN  –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

25.02.2014 –  CHINA SYNDROME – Renminbi Shot Down…

14.08.2015 –  Chinese Yuan – Chain Reaction…

01.12.2015 –  China’s Renminbi – New Reserve Star is Born…

28.12.2015 – US Dollar – Chinese Yuan Fly High…

15.02.2016 – People’s Bank of China in Yuan ContrAction…

26.11.2016 – CHINESE YUAN PRESENT FREE FALL WAVE…but in the FUTURE…

1.07.2018  –  YUAN – TRADE WAR CHINA SYNDROME…

11.07.2018  – TRUMP NEW VERBAL TRADE WAR STRIKE – YUAN…

20.07.2018  –  YUAN in CURRENCY WAR…

25.07.2018  –   New China Stimulus Factor – YUAN…

3.08.2018   –   YUAN vs TRUMP – more China Tariffs…

4.08.2018 –  YUAN – CHINA STRIKES BACK…

18.01.2019 –  YUAN – TRADE HOPES…

25.05.2019 –  YUAN – NEW STRIKE F/X CHINA GREAT WALL…

3.08.2019 –  YUAN – TRUMP NEW MOVE on TARIFF CHESSBOARD…

6.08.2019 –  YUAN – CHINA DOUBLE IMPACT…

14.08.2019 –  YUAN – TRUMP Last Delay Action Hero…

18.08.2019 –  YUAN – CURRENCY WAR PING PONG…

1.09.2019 –  YUAN – under F/X RISK OFF CROSSFIRE…

 

 

YUAN Latest Main Motives

Trump Advisors Verbal Strike

Consider “Interim China Deal” To Delay Tariffs…!!!

from TRUMP, FED – Powell & Kudlow 

US & China Agree To Resume Trade Talks In October 

FED – Powell Dovish Expectations 

with

ECB – Super Dovish Verdict by Super Mario  

ECB Cuts Deposit Rate to -0.5% from -0.4%

Restarts QE from Nov1 at €20bn/mth

Changes Forward Guidance

Eases TLTRO

vs

US CHINA TRADE WAR  still formally Active 

for Now

Waiting for FED & New US – CHINA Trade News

so

Special Focus on

FED Central Strike

FED  September Verdict & Verbal Future Vectors

FED Day – 18 September 

&

TRUMP US – Xi China Formal & Verbal Moves 

 

YUAN-5

 

First…ATA from  1.09.2019 

August Monthly Bull Large Real Body Candlestick 

Weekly Bull Candlestick but with Upper Shadow 

Daily & H5 Consolidation (7.1350 – 7.17) 

&

New  Weekly  Daily H5  Active Rising Gap 

with

MACD Monthly Weekly Daily Buy Signals 

vs

H5  Important  Bear Large Real Body Candlestick 

with

MACD H5  Sell Signal  “

 

 

&

ATA Tweets…

First of  All

Special ATA  Tweets

 

with

Other Last 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Second…Present  YUAN  Situation 

YUAN   LONG TERM  SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

USD/CNY

After

August Strong Rising Wave 

August Monthly Bull Large Real Body Candlestick 

&

Testing  FIB RET  56.4%  ( 7.2044 ) 

Real High 7.1848 

with earlier

Activated Invert Hybryd  H&S Pattern 

Shot Up  above

First..Neckline Invert H&S – 6.96 

Second…Psychological Key Level 7.00

Now dominating

YUAN Rising Contraction 

Two Weekly Bear Candlesticks

Close Last Weekly Bull Gap 

Daily & H5 Bear Trend Channels  

with

Activated Bear Gaps 

&

MACD Daily H5  Sell Signals

vs

Testing  First Support Zone

Lower Edge of  Daily & H5 Bear Channels 

&

August Top Zone – Key Level  7.05 -7.06 

with

Half of  August Bull Candlestick – Key Level 7.02 

Psychological Key Level 7.00

MACD Monthly Weekly still Active Buy Signals 

 

 

ATA  Investment  Conclusion 

for Now dominating

US & CHINA Trade Hope Moves 

so Special Focus  on

Present  USD/CNY Active Range 

7.00 – 7.05 – 7.06  vs   7.08 – 7.10

with

FIB RET Last Wave Up  Key Level Zones

( Weekly & Daily Charts )

with

FED Central Strike

FED  September Verdict & Verbal Future Vectors

FED Day – 18 September 

&

TRUMP US – Xi China Formal & Verbal Moves 

 

 

remember

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important is Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOD-s

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now September 

 

 

USD/CNY  Monthly ; Weekly ; Daily  &  H4  – H5 Charts :

 

29.06.2018

Your new TVC (25)

Your new TVC (26)

Your new TVC (27)

Your new TVC (28)

Your new TVC (29)

11.07.2018

Your new TVC

Your new TVC (1)

Your new TVC (2)

Your new TVC (3)

Your new TVC (4)

20.07.2018

Your new TVC (14)

Your new TVC (15)

Your new TVC (16)

Your new TVC (17)

25.07.2018

Your new TVC (3)

Your new TVC (4)

Your new TVC (5)

Your new TVC (6)

Your new TVC (7)

3.08.2018

Your new TVC

Your new TVC (1)

Your new TVC (2)

Your new TVC (3)

Your new TVC (4)

3.08.2018 ( EOD )

Your new TVC (5)

Your new TVC (6)

Your new TVC (7)

Your new TVC (8)

18.01.2019

usd-cny - musd-cny - wusd-cny - dusd-cny - h5

24.05.2019 ( EOW )

USD-CNY - M

USD-CNY - W

USD-CNY - D

USD-CNY - H5

2.08.2019 ( EOW )

USD-CNY - M

USD-CNY - W

USD-CNY - D

USD-CNY - H5

6.08.2019  – ( Second Half  US Session ) 

USD-CNY - M

USD-CNY - W

USD-CNY - D

USD-CNY - H5

14.08.2019  – ( Half  European Session ) 

USD-CNY - M

USD-CNY - W

USD-CNY - D

USD-CNY - H5

16.08.2019 – EOW

USD-CNY - M

USD-CNY - W

USD-CNY - D

USD-CNY - H5

30.08.2019 – EOM

USD-CNY - M

USD-CNY - W

USD-CNY - D

USD-CNY - H5

13.09.2019 – EOW

USD-CNY - M

USD-CNY - W

USD-CNY - D

USD-CNY - H5

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