EUR/USD – F/X Waiting for ECB Draghi Master Verdict & Lagarde Central Debut…

EUR/USD  –  all time on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation chronological

2014 – 2015 – 2017

20.03.2014 – FED & ELLIOTT IMPLICATIONS – EUR/USD…

06.03.2015 – EUR/USD – GIGA PRECISION

08.03.2015 – EUR/USD – 1 YEAR MOVE – March 2014 vs March 2015

18.07.2017 – EURO RUN on DRAGHI MOTIVE – SMART MONEY in ACTION…

01.09.2017 – EUR/USD FIGHTING…

2018

13.01.2018 –  EURO-SOJUZ vs FIBONACCI…

16.01.2018 – EUR/USD – Focus on Stalingrad Pattern…

25.01.2018 – EUR/USD – Dancing with Draghi…

29.01.2018 –  MAIN EUROPEAN DM CURRENCIES AFTER DRAGHI DUST…

26.07.2018 – EUR/USD BIG PICTURE – ECB Motive…

27.07.2018 – EUR/USD – the Day after Dovish Draghi…

28.07.2018 – EUR/USD & GDP FACTOR : US vs FRANCE…

6.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH…

6.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – FIRST ROUND…

7.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – SECOND ROUND…

8.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – THIRD ROUND…

10.08.2018 – EUR/USD – FINAL CLASH – FINAL ROUND…

12.08.2018 – EUR/USD – TURKISH GAME CHANGER…

19.08.2018 –  EUR/USD vs EURO BANKS TURKISH DEBT VIRUS…

22.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – F/X CANNONBALL…

24.08.2018 – EUR/USD vs POWELL from JACKSON HOLE…

27.08.2018 –  EUR/USD – KIND OF F/X MAGIC…

28.08.2018 – EUR/USD – COT SHORTS vs FIBONACCI…

29.08.2018 – EUR/USD vs US GDP MACRO Factor…

13.09.2018 – EUR/USD vs ECB & DRAGHI…

21.09.2018 –  EUR/USD – Dynamic Strikes Back…

25.09.2018 – EUR/USD vs CENTRAL FACTOR – ECB VERBAL MOTIVE vs FED RATE HIKES…

29.09.2018 – EUR/USD BLACK CLOUDS after FED & ITALY MOTIVES…

7.10.2018 –  EUR/USD – RETURN to F/X EQUATOR…

11.10.2018  –  EUR/USD – ACTIVE DEFENSE of F/X EQUATOR…

25.10.2018  –  EUR/USD under F/X EQUATOR waiting for ECB …

02.11.2018  –  EUR/USD – Against All Odds…Key Pattern Deja Vu…

8.11.2018  –  EUR/USD vs Master F/X Nightmares…from ITALY & ECB to US Election & FED…

19.11.2018 –  EUR/USD – F/X AMBUSH…

2019

19.01.2019 –  EUR/USD – F/X VERDUN…

10.03.2019 –  EUR/USD – Super Mario – Super Dove…

12.05.2019 –  EUR/USD – Fibonacci Retracement 1.12 – “No Pasarán”…

26.05.2019 –  EUR/USD – European Political New Arrangement Risk…

7.06.2019 –  EUR/USD – Missed Opportunities can take Revenge…

18.06.2019 – EUR/USD – F/X FALSE START – after Draghi before FED…

22.06.2019 –  EUR/USD – BROKEN F/X DEADLOCK…

14.07.2019 –  EUR/USD – Fighting in FED vs ECB Central Shadow…

11.08.2019 –  EUR/USD – between Rock – ECB and Hard – FED…

28.08.2019 –  EUR/USD – Back under F/X Water…

4.09.2019 –  EUR/USD – F/X REACTIVATION…

 

 

EUR/USD  Main Motives

Global & CHINA – US – EU – UK Slowdown  & Recession Risk

Global Goverment & Corporate  Debt  Mega Danger 

4  MAIN CENTRAL TIMES EASING 

FED –  after FED July Rate Cut  –  Active Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on Horizon 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with New QE & Rate Cut on Horizon 

SNB & BOJ  NIRP Monetary Policy 

FED & ECB September Real Verdicts & Verbal Strikes 

 

TRUMP TRADE WAR  – US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

TRUMP CURRENCY MANIPULATIONS CHARGE

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO & CHINA – PBoC – YUAN

 

RUSSIA & CHINA Buying Gold 

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

&

Last

China Central RISK ON Strike

PBoC Cut to Reserve Ratio By 0.5 ppt …!!!

&

US – USD – TRUMP

China eating Tariffs

Billions USD from incoming Tariffs

Good Jobs Numbers

No Inflation

China worst year in decades

Talks happening

US Economy is great. only thing “uncertainty” Fake News

vs

Trump Victim of  US Recession Worries

Risk of Lost Second Term…

with

US & China Agree To Resume Trade Talks In October 

&

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with New QE & Rate Cut on Horizon 

vs

EUROZONE – EURO – ECB

Draghi Master Verdict 

Lagarde Hawkish Verbal Strike

” I hope I never have to say “whatever it takes”…” 

” Central Banks not only game in town “

ECB KNOT Strong Verbal Strike

NO NEED TO RESUME QE PROGRAM RIGHT NOW

MARKET EXPECTATIONS ECB SEPT. VERDICT OVERDONE

with

US CHINA TRADE WAR  still Active 

TRUMP – Powell  Conflict still Active

BREXIT SAGA 

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

&

Waiting for ECB  & FED September Verdict

First ECB  12.09.2019

 

ECB - Lagarde

 

First…ATA from  4.09.2019

” Present September Rising Contraction

for Now

Monthly Hammer Candlestick Pattern 

Weekly Bull Candlestick – Lower Shadow 

Two Daily Large Real Body Bull Candlesticks 

with

Today Activated

Two Intraday Reversal Patterns 

Inverted 2B – Key Level 1.0958

&

Inverted H&S Pattern – Neckline 1.0975   

 

&

ATA Tweets…

First of  All

Special ATA Tweets

with

Other Last 

 

 

 

Second…Present  EUR/USD   Situation 

EUR/USD LONG – MEDIUM – SHORT TERM  SITUATION 

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

still Active Present September Rising Contraction

still above Psychological Key Level 1.10 

for Now

Monthly Bullish Spinning Top Candlestick 

Weekly Bullish Spinning Top & Doji Candlestick 

Last Daily  Shooting Star

Doji ; Bullish Spinning Top  Candlesticks 

Long Upper Shadows 

with

Activated Intraday Continuation Trend Pattern

Falling Wedge 

Shot Up  above Upper Edge 1.1030

&

Pullback Last  H4 Bear Candlestick

still above Key Level 1.1030

with

Open Scenario of

Daily Reversal Pattern

Inverted 2B – Key Level 1.1044

vs

with still Active 

MACD Monthly & Weekly Sell Signals

&

 MACD H4 again Activated Sell Signal

vs

MACD Daily Activated Buy Signal

 

EUR/USD

for Now

Active Range  1.10 vs  1.1044 – 68 – 1.1107 – 1.12 

Resistance – Key Level 1.12 

( Italian RISK OFF Low )

vs

Psychological Support – Key Level 1.10 

 

EUR/USD Lows Picture  

April Low : 1.1110

May Low  : 1.1107  & May EOM : 1.1168

June Low 1.1160  & June EOM : 1.1135

July Low  1.1033 & July EOM : 1.1044

August Low 1.0963 & August EOM : 1.0990

September Low so far  : 1.0926

 

 

 

ATA  EUR/USD Present Investment Conclusion 

Now dominating

EURO Up Contraction  from Key Level 1.09 Zone

but with

Present Horizontal Consolidation in 1.10 Zone 

after

Last  ECB Lagarde Hawkish Verbal Strikes  

before

ECB Verdict & Lagarde Debut Speech 

so

Special Focus on

FIB RET  Last Wave Down 

( Daily Chart )

&

still Active

Present Key Levels Range

1.10  vs  1.1027 – 1.1044 

with

Waiting for

Master Central Questions Answers 

How really Dovish will be :

Draghi September Strike

with

LAGARDE – ECB New Face..!!???

&

How Deep will be Final FED Rate Cut Target…!!???

Finally

Focus  carefully on  Every Draghi & Lagarde Word …

because

ECB Draghi & Lagarde Words can do Everything with EURO in Minutes…!!!

 

 

still for Now

the Best Way  is  Pattern Research 

with

hear  Central Voices

 

 

N – TIMES

F/X  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOD-s

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now September 

 

 

EUR/USD  Monthly , Weekly , Daily  & Intraday  ( H4 & H5 )  Charts :

 

20.03.2014

eurusd_w(4)

08.03.2015

EURUSD (miesięcznie) 20150308071830

18.07.2017

EURUSD-M35

01.09.2017

EURUSD-M39

13.01.2018

twój-nowy-tvc2

16.01.2018

twój-nowy-tvc3

25.01.2018

eur-usd-m

26.07.2018

EURUSD-M1

EURUSD-W1

EURUSD-D1

27.07.2018

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

Twoja nowa TVC

27.07.2018  ( EOD ) 

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

Twoja nowa TVC (1)

6.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-H4

6.08.2018 

( before American Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC

Twoja nowa TVC (1)

7.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC (2)

Twoja nowa TVC (3)

8.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC

Twoja nowa TVC (1)

10.08.2018 

( before European Trading Session ) 

Twoja nowa TVC (9)

10.08.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EURUSD-M

EURUSD-W

EURUSD-D

EUR -D

EUR-H5

17.08.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD  & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D -1

EUR-USD-D -2

EUR-USD-H5

22.08.2018  

(  Start European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD -D1

EUR-USD -D2

EUR-USD -H5

EUR-USD-W.png

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD -D1

EUR-USD -D2

EUR-USD -H5

27.08.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD -D1

EUR-USD -D2

EUR-USD -D3

EUR-USD -H5

28.08.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD -M

EUR-USD -W

EUR-USD -D

EUR-USD -D-1

EUR-USD - H5

29.08.2018  

( Before Start of  American F/X Session )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D1

EUR-USD-h5

13.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D1

EUR-USD-h5

21.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D2

EUR-USD-h5-1

25.09.2018  

(  Start of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D3

EUR-USD-h5-2

28.09.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D4

EUR-USD-h5-3

5.10.2018  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-D5

EUR-USD-h5-4

11.10.2018  

(  Start of American Session )

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

 

EUR-USD-D6

EUR-USD-h5-5

25.10.2018  

(  Middle of  European Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-D7EUR-USD-h5-6

2.11.2018  

(  Start  of  American Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-D8EUR-USD-h5-7

8.11.2018  

(  Before American Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-D9EUR-USD-h5-8

19.11.2018  

(  First Phase of American Session  )

EUR-USD-MEUR-USD-WEUR-USD-DEUR-USD-10EUR-USD-h5-9

18.01.2019  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

eur-usd-meur-usd-w

eur-usd-d

eur-usd-fib-d

eur-usd-h5

8.03.2019  

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD-M

EUR-USD-M LINE

EUR-USD-W

EUR-USD-D

EUR-USD-FIB-D

EUR-USD-h5

10.05.2019 

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - D - FIB

EUR-USD - H5- FIB

24.05.2019 

(American Session Close) – (EOD & EOW) 

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - D - FIB

EUR-USD - H5- FIB

7.06.2019 

( First Half of American Session ) 

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - D - FIB

EUR-USD - H5- FIB

18.06.2019 

( First Phase  of American Session ) 

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - D - FIB

EUR-USD - H5- FIB

21.06.2019  ( EOW )

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - D - FIB

EUR-USD - H5- FIB

12.07.2019  ( EOW )

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - D - FIB

EUR-USD - H5- FIB

9.08.2019  ( EOW )

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - H4

EUR-USD - H5 - FIB

EUR-USD - H4 - FIB

28.08.2019 

( Before Start American Session ) 

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - H4

4.09.2019 

( First Phase  American Session )

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - H4

EUR-USD - D - FIB

EUR-USD - H5- FIB

EUR-USD - H4- FIB

 

9.09.2019 

( before American Session )

EUR-USD - M

EUR-USD - W

EUR-USD - D

EUR-USD - H4

EUR-USD - D - FIB

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