PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Dynamic Down Contraction after Last Scratches…

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index  –  All Time on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

Last

24.08.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Bulls vs Bears Fight for Life & Death…

25.08.2019 – PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – EXTREME ZONE TARGET…

&

27.08.2019 – PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index – Intraday Scratches on the Precious Metals Glass…

 

 

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Main Motives

SHORT & MEDIUM  TERM  TOP 

PROS 

RISK ON Verbal Strike from Last Night

US & China Agree To Resume Trade Talks In October 

ECB Lagarde Hawkish Verbal Strike

” I hope I never have to say “whatever it takes”…” 

” Central Banks not only game in town “

ECB KNOT Strong Verbal Strike

NO NEED TO RESUME QE PROGRAM RIGHT NOW

MARKET EXPECTATIONS ECB SEPT. VERDICT OVERDONE

Dominating Mainstream Media GOLDEN – SILVER TREND 

”  PANIC BUYING ”  &  ” GOLD – SILVER RUSH ”    Verbal Strikes 

CONS 

US CHINA TRADE WAR  still Active 

TRUMP – Powell  Conflict still Active

BREXIT SAGA 

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

&

Waiting for FED  & ECB  September Verdicts 

 

 

First…ATA from  27.08.2019 

”  Present   Short  Time Main Target

Psychological Key Level 100  – Top Zone   ” 

 

&

ATA Tweets…

First of  All

Special ATA Tweets

SPECIAL FINANCIAL MARKET IMAGINATION…

from Bond Yields & Stocks to Forex… pic.twitter.com/Mn8hafFCjy

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 1, 2019

Greenspan Finally Truth Verbal Strike

whether there is a Recession or not could depend on the Stock Market…

Wall Street & Nothing Else Matters… pic.twitter.com/35HvIFlDwz

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 4, 2019

Truth Voice

"Central Banks No Longer A Solution – They Have Become The Risk "

Central Götterdämmerung…https://t.co/9NlaOK6Nat

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 5, 2019

CENTRAL PRINTING FAITH…

but remember

Smart Money can lose Faith…

like

Faith in Lehman Brothers… pic.twitter.com/BNGvoi1n7y

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 3, 2019

with

Others 

White House Verbal Strike
Cannot say When China Deal will Happed

vs

Optimistic about China Deal

There have been Calls between US China

&

DXY Fut > 98 (98.07)

EUR/USD < 1.11 (1.1085)

GOLD Fut in 1550 (1552)

Nasdaq Fut < 7550 (7530)

US 10Y Bond Yield in 1.45% (1.458) pic.twitter.com/cnqA0XleTI

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 28, 2019

China MOFCOM Spokesman Gao RISK ON Verbal Strike

China, US Are In Effective Contact

&

DXY Fut > 98 (98.17)

EUR/USD < 1.11 (1.1080)

GOLD Fut in 1550 (1554)

Nasdaq Fut > 7600 (7635)

US 10Y Bond Yield > 1.45% (1.481) pic.twitter.com/dGxsFOD2Oj

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 29, 2019

ECB KNOT Strong Verbal strike

NO NEED TO RESUME QE PROGRAM RIGHT NOW
MARKET EXPECTATIONS ECB SEPT. VERDICT OVERDONE

but

DXY Fut > 98 (98.30)

EUR/USD < 1.11 (1.1065)

GOLD Fut in 1550 (1547)

Nasdaq Fut in 7700 (7691)

US 10Y Bond Yield > 1.50% (1.506)

Focus H1-H4-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/8lpqJBXrz5

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 29, 2019

TRUMP New RISK ON Verbal Strike

US Economy GREAT – Upside Potential If the Fed would do what they should Rocket Upward

&

DXY Fut > 98 (98.35)

EUR/USD < 1.11 (1.1063)

GOLD Fut < 1550 (1545)

Nasdaq Fut in 7700 (7708)

US 10Y Bond Yield > 1.50% (1.511)

Focus H1-H4-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/t0gie29Pid

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 29, 2019

CENTRAL " IRON PUMPING "… from CRISIS to CRISIS…

No Capitalism

Central Committee of Planned Banking & Monetary

in

Global Easing Action… pic.twitter.com/8Yw20KZmys

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 31, 2019

Negative Yields Bonds New Top 17 Trillion USD

30% of All Bonds now Bear Sub-Zero Yields

sponsored by

Central Committee of Planned Banking & Monetary pic.twitter.com/lxjtIQwwJC

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 31, 2019

US CHINA TRADE WAR – New Wave of US Tariffs…

&

USD/CNY > 7.15 (7.1606)

DXY Fut in 98.80 (98.78)

EUR/USD < 1.10 (1.0988)

GOLD Fut in 1530 (1533)

Nasdaq Fut in 7650 (7644)

US 10Y Bond Yield in 1.50% (1.499)

Most Important Final SM Move H1-H4-EOD pic.twitter.com/N1jl9mMVDy

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 2, 2019

US CHINA TRADE WAR – New Wave of China Tariffs…

&

USD/CNY > 7.15 (7.1700)

DXY Fut in 98.80 (98.81)

EUR/USD < 1.10 (1.0983)

GOLD Fut in 1530 (1531)

Nasdaq Fut in 7650 (7658)

US 10Y Bond Yield in 1.50% (1.499)

Most Important Final SM Move H1-H4-EOD pic.twitter.com/sZW9l5XlBO

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 2, 2019

EUROZONE Manufacturing PMI

Eurozone 47

Germany 43.5 France 51.1 Italy 48.7 Spain 48.8

&

DXY Fut > 98.80 (98.85)

EUR/USD < 1.10 (1.0980)

GOLD Fut in 1530 (1530)

DAX Fut > 11.900 (11.935)

DE 10Y Bond Yield > -0.70% (-0.697)

Focus H1-H4-EOD pic.twitter.com/WjSPodGbtx

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 2, 2019

GOLD discounting Inflation…

Inverted H&S Pattern Deja Vu…

No Coincidence… pic.twitter.com/hnFfGl39Oz

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 2, 2019

BANKRUPTCY of DEMOCRACY…

European Infectious Disease…

Perfect Sweden Krona SEK Example…

to Think about…

for EUROZONE & EURO… pic.twitter.com/51kn5B1XIF

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 3, 2019

TRUMP Present Verbal RISK ON Action …

&

USD/CNY > 7.18 (7.1813)

DXY Fut > 99 (99.20)

EUR/USD < 1.0950 (1.0944)

GOLD Fut in 1545 (1545)

Nasdaq Fut > 7650 (7665)

US 10Y Bond Yield in 1.50% (1.503)

Most Important Final SM Move H1-H4-EOD pic.twitter.com/0TV0Z122QZ

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 3, 2019

US ISM Lowest since April 2009

49.1 v est. 51.3

&

USD Shot Down

DXY Fut in 99 (99.00)

EUR/USD > 1.0950 (1.0965)

GOLD Fut in 1550 (1551)

Nasdaq Fut < 7650 (7625)

US 10Y Bond Yield in 1.50% (1.508)

of course

Most Important Final SM Move H1-H4-EOD pic.twitter.com/OlaudobkcF

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 3, 2019

ECB Lagarde Hawkish Verbal Strike

I hope I never have to say "whatever it takes"…!!!

&

EURO Shot Up > Key Level 1.10

DXY Fut in 98.50 (98.55)

EUR/USD > 1.10 (1.1018)

GOLD Fut < 1550 (1545)

DAX Fut > 12.000 (12.033)

DE 10Y Bond Yield > -0.70% (-0.646)

Focus EOD pic.twitter.com/b6ULZhQVWW

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 4, 2019

CENTRAL TRINITY September Verdict Expectations

ECB unch 0%, -10bp 100%

FED -25bp 80.6%, -50bp 19.4%

BOE unch 95.7%, -25bp 4.3%

Moves will determine Major Directions

DXY Fut >98.50 (98.60)

EUR/USD >1.10 (1.1013)

GBP/USD >1.2150 (1.2180)

GOLD Fut in 1550 (1550) pic.twitter.com/BRBm0AXQ0h

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 4, 2019

Bank of Canada Hawkish Verdict

BOC leaves Rates Unchanged

&

USD Shot Down from 1.3330

USD/CAD < 1.33 (1.3280)

DXY Fut in 98.50 (98.50)

EUR/USD > 1.10 (1.1018)

GOLD Fut in 1555 (1556)

Focus H1-H4-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/WTqHV06VwM

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 4, 2019

Debt after Debt… Eurozone Vision of ECB Lagarde

another Hawkish Strike

" Central Banks not only game in town "

&

EURO still Strong Momentum vs No Up Continuation

DXY Fut < 98.50 (98.45)

EUR/USD > 1.10 (1.1023)

GOLD Fut in 1560 (1560)

Focus EOD pic.twitter.com/ERrCPmJqIX

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 4, 2019

Alan Greenspan

'only a matter of time' before Negative Rates spread to US

&

DXY Fut < 98.50 (98.40)

EUR/USD in 1.1030 (1.1028)

GOLD Fut > 1560 (1563)

Nasdaq Fut > 7700 (7710)

US 10Y Bond Yield < 1.50% (1.466)

Focus EOD pic.twitter.com/xvYOEsKRxt

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 4, 2019

TRUMP CAPTAIN AMERICA – New Verbal Strike

Everything for Wall Street Story

" Stocks would be Higher if He hadn't Tariffed China "

&

DXY Fut < 98.50 (98.40)

EUR/USD in 1.1030 (1.1028)

GOLD Fut > 1560 (1565)

Nasdaq Fut >7700 (7708)

US 10Y Bond Yield in 1.45% (1.452) pic.twitter.com/oFc3yGSM9J

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 4, 2019

RISK ON Verbal Strike from Last Night

US & China Agree To Resume Trade Talks In October

&

DXY Fut < 98.50 (98.45)

EUR/USD > 1.10 (1.1021)

GOLD Fut > 1550 (1553)

Nasdaq Fut > 7800 (7805)

US 10Y Bond Yield > 1.50% (1.503) pic.twitter.com/ZK4MJg8tY5

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 5, 2019

New FED " EASING " Wave is comming…

Now

US 10Y Yield in JPMorgan Target Zone

US 10Y Bond Yield > 1.50% (1.501) pic.twitter.com/qJyc5KGKhQ

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 5, 2019

US vs Germany Interesting Forecast…

that's why Special Focus on

FED vs ECB

EUR/USD

10Y Bond Yields US vs Germany pic.twitter.com/oGPHPyYxC8

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 5, 2019

US ISM Non-Manufacturing Index

August 56.4 (est 54.0; prev 53.7)

&

USD Shot Up from 98 Zone

EURO Shot Down from 1.13 Zone

DXY Fut in 98.30 (98.30)

EUR/USD in 1.1050 (1.1053)

GOLD Fut in 1520 (1522)

Nasdaq Fut > 7850 (7871)

US 10Y Bond Yield > 1.58% (1.582) pic.twitter.com/JWETQqEuzf

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) September 5, 2019

 

 

Second…Present  PHLX Gold/Silver  Situation 

PHLX Gold/Silver  MEDIUM – SHORT TERM  SITUATION 

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Gold/Silver  Short Term View

( Intraday H4 Charts )

Activated Intraday Bear Reversal Pattern

2B Pattern – Key Level  101.28

Top in Psychological Key Level 100 

with

Broken Rising Trendline 

&

Risk of  Invert Ending Diagonal Pattern 

Lower Edge – Key Level 94

with

MACD H4  Activated  Sell Signal 

 

Gold-Silver Short Term Battlefield 

94   vs   100 – 101

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on

Invert Ending Diagonal Pattern 

Lower Edge – Key Level 94

with

FIB RET Last Rising Wave 

 

 

Always remember

Market Trend always changed when Mainstream Media created 

One Slogan ” No Chance for Change “…

that’s why

Charts show you  Reversal Pattern First  ex ante…!!!

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…Today -H4-EOD

 

 

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Monthly  Weekly  & Daily Charts :

23.08.2019 – EOW

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Daily Charts – FIB EXT  :

23.08.2019 – EOD

PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index Intraday H4 Charts  :

26.08.2019 – EOD

5.09.2019 – ( First Phase US Session )