RUSSIAN RUBLE – Secular Perspective -Putin 20 years in Power…

RUSSIAN RUB   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

6.08.2015 –  MXN , ZAR & RUB – THIS IS HOW SMART MONEY DO IT…

12.12.2015 – ZAR…MXN & RUB ON CURRENCY FIRE – FED DEJA VU…

21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…

7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…

&

18.03.2018  –  RTS & RUB – RUSSIA TODAY…

11.04.2018  –  RED ASSETS – from RUSSIA with LOSS…

16.07.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE – TRUMP – PUTIN GEOPOLITICAL FACTOR…

23.07.2018  –  RUBLE – RUSSIAN OIL & GEOPOLITICAL ROULETTE…

9.08.2018   –   RUBLE – TRUMP STRIKES BACK…

10.08.2018  –  RUB – AMERICAN F/X TARGET…

18.08.2018  –  RUB vs US SANCTIONS & OIL RISK OFF FACTORS…

26.08.2018  –  RUB vs TRUMP CURRENCY WAR…

10.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs American Financial Pressure…

12.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs VOSTOCK 2018…

15.09.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs CBR Rate Hike…

18.10.2018  –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs SANCTIONS with ITALIAN VERBAL HELP…

18.11.2018 –  RUSSIAN RUBLE vs OIL STRIKE…

19.01.2019 –  RUSSIAN RUBLE – Relative Strength Rising…

1.06.2019 –  RUSSIAN RUBLE – Above & Beyond RISK…

4.08.2019 –  RUSSIAN RUBLE – under Moscow Political & Oil Strikes…

with

ATA Following …

EM CURRENCIES 

29.08.2019 –  EM CURRENCIES – RISK OFF STRIKE to DANGER ZONE…

DXY Index 

29.08.2019 –  DXY – SURVIVING TRUMP – FED POWELL VERBAL FURY…

EUR/USD

28.08.2019 –  EUR/USD – Back under F/X Water…

OIL 

2.09.2019 –  OIL – BLACK GOLD STATUS QUO…

 

Present  RUSSIAN RUB  Motives

USD F/X Power Against All Odds – Trump Numer One 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict  Rising 

TRUMP  Verbal  FED Attacks 

Waiting for FED  & ECB  September Verdicts 

 

Global & CHINA – US – EU – UK Slowdown  & Recession Risk

Global Goverment & Corporate  Debt  Mega Danger 

4  MAIN CENTRAL TIMES EASING 

FED –  after FED July Rate Cut  –  Active Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on Horizon 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with New QE & Rate Cut  on Horizon 

SNB & BOJ  NIRP Monetary Policy 

FED & ECB September Real Verdicts & Verbal Strikes 

with

TRUMP TRADE WAR  – US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

TRUMP CURRENCY MANIPULATIONS CHARGE

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO & CHINA – PBoC – YUAN

&

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

with

stricte Russian Factors

OIL Risk

Old & New Sanctions Risk

Ukraine – Donbass – Crimea Risk  

PUTIN Political Risk

&

Waiting for FED  & ECB  September Verdicts 

RUB-Putin

First…ATA from  4.08.2019

”  all time Consolidation domination 

but with

Rising USD  Relative Strength …!!!

by

Dynamic Wave Up – Activated Invert Ending Diagonal 

Finally..Back above Key Level 65   

 

 

Second…Present  RUSSIAN RUB   Situation 

USD/RUB   SECULAR   SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Hope is Not a Strategy 

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

Monthly & Weekly View 

First of All

PRO – USD  Secular  Patterns  

Secular Triangle Pattern 

Upper Edge – Key Level  68.00

Lower  Edge – Key Level  59.50

Rising Trend Channel 

Trendline – Key Level  65.50

( Monthly Line Chart )

&

PRO – USD  Long Term Pattern  

Activated Invert Ending Diagonal 

with

August Monthly Bull  Big Real Body Candlestick 

vs

PRO – RUB  Long Term Pattern  

M – Double Top in Psychological Key Level 70  Zone 

( Monthly Chart )

&

for Now…

Dominating Rising Trend 

Testing Key Level 67 Zone 

( Weekly & Daily Charts )

vs

Risk of  M or 2B  Pattern 

Key Level 67 

(  Daily Chart )

with

Monthly MACD  still Sell Signal

vs

Weekly & Daily MACD Buy Signals

of course also with

FIB RET   

(  Monthly,  Weekly  &  Daily  Charts )

 

RUB Smart Money Battlefield  

65 – 65.50  vs   67-70

 

ATA  USD/RUB  Investment Conclusion 

USD  Relative Strength  still Rising …!!!

by

Dynamic Wave Up 

Finally…Testing Key Level 67 

 

ATA   USD/RUB  Present Investment Conclusion

Focus carefully on Key Levels

65  vs  67 & 70

in USD/RUB  Bull Scenario 

Key Level 65 must Break Up

to

Hit on 70 Key Level Zone 

with

Active Monitoring 

DXY , EUR/USD , EM CURRENCIES & OIL 

 

 

always remember

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOD-s 

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now September 

 

 

USD/RUB  Monthly , Weekly  &  Daily  Charts :

18.03.2018

Your new TVC (6)

11.04.2018

Your new TVC

15.07.2018

Your new TVC (3)

Your new TVC (4)

Your new TVC (5)

23.07.2018

Your new TVC

Your new TVC (1)

Your new TVC (2)

9.08.2018

Your new TVC (5)

Your new TVC (6)

Your new TVC (8)

10.08.2018

tvc_1e1d68711527d067624b3bb54ef71d1c

tvc_ce8bc1b6f2353c07c4dd8f89de37ba33

tvc_406b4856071959d34d9241f4f7b0127d

17.08.2018

USD-RUB-M

USD-RUB-W

USD-RUB-D

24.08.2018

RUB-M

RUB-W

 

RUB-D

10.09.2018

USD-RUB-M

USD-RUB-W

USD-RUB-D

12.09.2018

USD-RUB-M-1

USD-RUB-W-1

USD-RUB-D-1

14.09.2018

USD-RUB-M-2

USD-RUB-W-2

USD-RUB-D-2

18.10.2018

USD-RUB-M-3

USD-RUB-W-3

USD-RUB-D-3

16.11.2018

USD-RUB-M-4USD-RUB-W-4USD-RUB-D-4

18.01.2019

usd-rub-musd-rub-wusd-rub-d

31.05.2019

USD-RUB - M

USD-RUB - W

USD-RUB - D

2.08.2019

USD-RUB - M

USD-RUB - W

USD-RUB - D

3.09.2019 

USD-RUB - M-Line

USD-RUB - M

USD-RUB - W

USD-RUB - D

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