SHANGHAI INDEX on TRADE WAR CHESSBOARD …

SHANGHAI INDEX –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

2014…2015…2016 

Shanghai Composite Index – China Battlefield…

SSE INDEX – RISE OF CHINA TITAN…!!???

China Goat-Sheep Year on Shanghai Composite Index…

Shanghai Composite Index after ATA Scenario from 2014

CHINA STOCK MARKET – SAIGON FORMATON…

Shanghai Composite & DAX – this is how ATA Scenarios work…

CHINA STOCK WAR…

Shanghai Composite Index – in a Line of Fire…

Shanghai Index – STOPPING THE FLOOD…

CHINA BEARS STRIKE BACK…

CHINA STOCKS – COMMUNIST PARTY EDICTS VS MARKET…

SHANGHAI INDEX without SAFETY LOCK

2018

5.07.2018 –  SHANGHAI INDEX in TRADE WAR TIME…

11.07.2018 –  TRUMP NEW VERBAL TRADE WAR STRIKE – SHANGHAI INDEX…

25.07.2018 –  New China Stimulus Factor – Shanghai Index…

with

ATA Following …

16.08.2019 –  NIKKEI – BOJ is NOT ENOUGH…

17.08.2019 –  TOPIX Banks – Japan Debt Yield Omen…

 

SHANGHAI INDEX  – TRADE WAR CHESSBOARD…

after

Trump delayed Tariffs on some Imports from China until 15 December

&

New Verbal US – CHINA  Strikes & Talks…

TRADE WAR  & CURRENCY WAR STILL ON…

that’s why

Trump Move  vs  Xi Move   –  still  the  PARTS  of  TRADE WAR & CURRENCY WAR… 

like

US CHINA  TRADE  WAR  CHESS GAME  

with

SHANGHAI INDEX  on  TRADE  WAR  CHESSBOARD

 

SHANGHAI INDEX Motives 

McKinsey Warning ‘Ominous’ Signs of Another Asian Debt Crisis

ASIA -China – Japan  & Global Slowdown or Recession Risk

TRUMP TRADE WAR  – US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP CURRENCY WAR 

&

Dovish…Dovisher…Mega Dovish Central Game

FED – Powell with Trump 

vs

PBoC  Monetary Policy 

 

 

First…ATA from  25.07.2018

“ SHANGHAI INDEX STRIKES BACK…

from LOW ZONE  ( January 2016 )

but

still Focus on

January 2016 Low 

Secular Bull Trendline 

with

FIB RET  56.4% – 61.8%

Key Level 2650  – 2335  Zone   ”

 

&

ATA Tweets…

TRUMP New Tariff Strike

10% Tarriff on some China Products – Start September 1-st

&

DXY Fut in 98 (98.15)

EUR/USD in 1.11 (1.1088)

GOLD Fut in 1440 (1441)

Nasdaq Fut < 7900 (7868)

US 10Y Bond Yield < 2.% (1.885)

Focus EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/DXgGaJE6JA

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 1, 2019

CHINA Warning after Trump New Tariff Move

TRADE WAR ON

&

DXY Fut in 98 (98.03)

USD/CNY in 6.94 6.940)

EUR/USD in 1.11 (1.1098)

GOLD Fut Dec in 1450 (1448)

Nasdaq Fut < 7750 (7748)

US 10Y Bond Yield < 2.% (1.885)

China 10Y Bond Yield < 3.15% (3.139)

Focus EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/tbgrapqsJy

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 2, 2019

CHINA PBOC Verbal Strike

YUAN Wan't Keep Falling…

USD/CNY Down Contraction – Back to Psychological Key Level 7.00 Zone

Today 7.0225 vs Yesterday Max 7.0325

Focus H1-H4-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/DzUnbih6uR

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 6, 2019

TRADE WAR…

the Day after China Tariff Strike Back …

Tariffs on on US Agricultural Goods…

YUAN Catching F/X Breath…

USD/CNY Back to 7 Zone but still above Key Level 7.00

Now 7.0265

Most Important Final Smart Money Move-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/oRb4VzVUWz

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 6, 2019

CURRENCY WAR…

TRUMP China "Currency Manipulation" Strike
vs
PBOC Real Possibility of Currency Move

USD/CNY in Higher Level 7.00 ( 7.0265 )

Focus EOD-EOW… pic.twitter.com/iALYbUYxqt

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 6, 2019

China on the Trade War

Y/Y July

Exports 3.3% (est -1.0%; prev -1.3%)

Imports -5.6% (est -9.0%; prev -7.3%)

&

USD/CNY > 7.00 ( 7.0457 )

DXY Fut < 97.50 (97.31)

GOLD Fut in 1515 (1515)

Important Final SM Move-H1-H4-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/pQrCfQBLO3

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 8, 2019

Smart Money Currency Strike Targets pic.twitter.com/w7Yfijy1v7

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 9, 2019

TRUMP US- CHINA Deal Strike

GOING VERY WELL WITH CHINA

NOT READY TO MAKE DEAL

ATA Conclusion

THE MAIN US – CHINA DEAL WILL BE DONE BEFORE PRESIDENTAL ELECTION 2020 …!!!

TRUMP TACTICS – KEY WIN MOTIVE pic.twitter.com/YK6YDhWaoC

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 9, 2019

YUAN – " LETHAL WEAPON "…

in

CHINA TRADE & CURRENCY WAR

USD/CNY EOW > Psychological Key Level 7 ( 7.0624 ) pic.twitter.com/59cjluisRY

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 10, 2019

CHINA GDP Down = YUAN Down… pic.twitter.com/5KQoqanD7e

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 12, 2019

TRUMP Verbal RISK ON Action

Trump Admin delaying some Tariffs

USD & Nasdaq Up vs GOLD Down

DXY Fut > 97.50 (97.53)

EUR/USD < 1.12 (1.1183)

GOLD Fut in 1500 (1503)

Nasdaq Fut > 7700 (7744)

US 10Y Bond Yield > 1.65% (1.683)

Important Final SM Move-H1-H4-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/khrDsouC0P

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 13, 2019

There is One TRUMP STRATEGY – Second Presidential Term

&

that's the TRUMP GAME to WIn…

Win with Wall Street…

that's why

Golden Bear Strikes …https://t.co/OZl5NAb5hf

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 13, 2019

TRUMP Tariffs Gambling…

from Action to Delay…

Tactics for Second Presidential Term Win…

ATA Research Conclusion

Open Scenario

Trade War End right before US Presidential Election 2020 pic.twitter.com/90c3p5eZmF

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 14, 2019

Trump Last Verbal Strike

had to 'take China on ' even if it harm US Economy

&

USD/CNY > 7.05 ( 7.0648 )

DXY Fut in 98 (98.03)

EUR/USD in 1.11 (1.1103)

GOLD Fut in 1510 (1510)

Nasdaq Fut > 7700 (7723)

US 10Y Bond Yield in 1.58% (1.581)

Focus H1-H4-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/o4kpsev3A7

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 21, 2019

McKinsey Warning

‘Ominous’ Signs of Another Asian Debt Crisis

&

USD/KRW > 1200 ( 1203)

USD/CNY > 7.05 ( 7.0648 )

DXY Fut in 98 (98.03)

EUR/USD in 1.11 (1.1103)

GOLD Fut in 1510 (1510)

Nasdaq Fut > 7700 (7723)

US 10Y Bond Yield in 1.58% (1.581)

Focus H1-H4-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/tnBgv6UUrH

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 21, 2019

CHINA " No Deal " Scenario on the Trade Tabel

&

USD/CNY > 7.05 ( 7.0640 )

DXY Fut in 98 (98.05)

EUR/USD in 1.11 (1.1100)

GOLD Fut in 1510 (1511)

Nasdaq Fut > 7700 (7730)

US 10Y Bond Yield in 1.58% (1.586)

Focus H1-H4-EOD-EOW pic.twitter.com/HtYouSuKOL

— Piotr Janiszewski (@ATAFIN) August 21, 2019

 

 

 

Second… Present SHANGHAI INDEX  Secular  Situation 

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS

Follow the Trendlines  Not the Headlines 

 

 

ATA MARKET MODEL 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

 

First…Market Motives 

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns

Monthly View 

After

First…

Rising Contraction End  & Back to Falling Trend

Break Down

January 2016 Low  – Secular Bull Trendline 

Test 

FIB RET  56.4% – 61.8%

Key Level 2650  – 2335  Zone

Second…

Activated

Smaller Invert 2B Pattern  Key Level 2486

( Daily Chart )

Dynamic Sharp V  Correction 

Back above 

January 2016 Low  – Secular Bull Trendline 

Activated

Bigger Invert 2B Pattern  Key Level 2737 

( Monthly & Weekly Charts )

Now dominating

Wave Down

Back under

Secular Bull Trendline – Key Level 2940

vs

Still above

January 2016 Low – Key Level 2737 

with

Ending Diagonal Pattern 

( Daily Chart )

All  FIB RET 

( Monthly  Weekly  Daily Charts )

&

MACD Monthly & Daily Buy Signals

vs

MACD Weekly Sell Signal 

 

 

SHANGHAI INDEX  Present Active Range

 2737    vs     2940   

with

Psychological Key Level 2800 

 

ATA  SHANGHAI INDEX  Investment Conclusion 

Special Focus on

Result of  Testing  

 

Master Key Levels   2737    vs     2940   

&

Direction  after Out of this Range 

 

 

N – TIMES

Market  Maximes 

Risk strikes Fast…

Chart is More Important than 1000 Words…

&

Most Important s Final Smart Money Reaction…

First…EOD-s

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now Month  August

 

 

Shanghai Index  Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts :

5.07.2018

11.07.2018

25.07.2018

21.08.2019 – EOD