YEN – JAPAN RISK OFF ACTION…

JAPAN YEN   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

UD/JPY

2016  – 2017

27.07.2016 –  CURRENCIES BETWEEN FED & BOJ…

29.08.2016 –  USD/JPY – JAPAN IMPACT of DXY BLAST…

18.09.2016 –  FED VS BOJ – DEVIL VS ANGEL of MAINSTREAM MEDIA…

10.02.2017 –  TRUMP VS ABE = USD VS JPY…

2018

16.03.2018 –  JPY – PREPARE FOR KAMIKAZE…

13.07.2018 –  JAPANESE YEN – IT’S ALL about the RISK…

18.07.2018 –  JAPANESE YEN – POWELL – FED MOTIVE…

22.07.2018 –  YEN surfing DXY WAVE…

24.07.2018 –  YEN follows DXY Pathfinder…

30.07.2018 –  YEN vs BOJ CENTRAL FACTOR…

31.07.2018 –  YEN after BOJ & KURODA…

5.08.2018 –  YEN – RISK OFF WAVE STRIKES BACK…

8.08.2018 –  YEN RISES TO POWER…

19.09.2018 –  YEN vs BOJ – Central Nihil Novi…

4.11.2018  –  YEN vs BOJ Central Constans…

JAPAN YEN FUTURES , USD/JPY & EUR/JPY 

2018

17.11.2018 –  YEN – NONE NEW HARD JAPAN STRIKE…

2019 

17.01.2019 –  YEN – RISK OFF REVENGE…

10.05.2019 –  YEN after BOJ – KURODA & TRUMP with IRAN & NORTH KOREA STRIKES…

with

ATA Following …

JAPAN BONDS

6.07.2019 –  JAPAN BOND YIELD – Enigmatic Letters from Debt Iwo Jima…

GLOBAL DEBT

7.07.2019 –  GLOBAL DEBT – FLIGHT of the DEBT ICARUS…

GOLD – SILVER 

13.07.2019 – PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index on Shining Wave…

 

 

JAPAN YEN  Master Motives

BOJ Dovish – NIRP  Monetary Policy 

Global Goverment & Corporate  Debt  Mega Danger 

Global & US – EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

 

Global RISK OFF Wave  but  Not Yet Panic Symptoms…

with

YEN  Relative Strength 

vs

other Global Currencies…special…

EURO 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with New QE & Rate Cut Draghi Verbal on Horizon 

EUROZONE Economy..First Italy even German Problems 

USD 

FED –  Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on  Horizon 

TRUMP TRADE WAR  – US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

TRUMP CURRENCY MANIPULATIONS CHARGE

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO & CHINA – PBoC – YUAN

GBP

BREXIT Saga 

&

RUSSIA & CHINA Buying Gold 

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

IRAN  Geopolitical  Conflict Risk

NORTH KOREA Risk

RUSSIA – TURKEY S400 System  

RUSSIA – INDIA  S400 System  

Hong Kong Protests – China Political Risk

CYPR – TURKEY  Risk 

 

YEN - 2

 

First…ATA from  10.05.2019

” Total  Victory  F/X Option

2B  Pattern  with Key Level 112

Now dominated

Wave Down

 

&

ATA Tweets…

 

 

 

Second…Present  YEN  Situation 

YEN  SECULAR SITUATION 

ATA MARKET MODEL  IN LONG TERM ACTION  

 

ATA MIND OVER MARKETS…

ATA MARKET MODEL : 

First…Market Motive…

Second…Market Technical  Pattern…

 

First…Key Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

JAPAN YEN FUTURES Secular View 

( Monthly  Chart )

still Active Secular  2B Pattern 

vs

Lower Risk  of   Yen Big Fall

No Activated Secular H&S Long Term H&S 

( 2002 – 2019 )

Right Shoulder of  Secular H&S 

( starting  December 2016 )

&

Cancelled  Last Long Term H&S 

( December 2016 – April 2019 )

after

YEN Dynamic Rising Impuls 

Break Up  Last Triangle Pattern 

with

still Active  MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

 

USD/JPY

( Weekly &  Daily Chart )

After Activated

2B  Pattern  – Key Level 112

Wave Down 

Now  still dominated

Testing  January 2019 Low Zone

Lower Shadow Zone 104.79 – 107.16  

for Now Key Level 106.70  – 108.70

with

Shot Down & Shot Up 

Last Low 106.78 ( 25.06.2019 ) 

&

Weekly & Daily  MACD Sell Signals

 

( Monthly Chart )

Long Term Horizon 

still dominated

Hammer  –  Bull Candlestick  Pattern 

Very Long Lower Shadow – Low 104.79

 Real Body – Key Level 108.86

&

W Pattern in  104 Key Level Zone 

Lows 03.2018 & 01.2019 

with Open Option of

Hybryd of Invert H&S 

vs

Monthly MACD Sell Signal

 

EUR/JPY

( Weekly &  Daily Chart )

Open Scenario of  M Pattern 

Psychological Key Level 120 Zone 

vs

Weekly & Daily  MACD Sell Signals

 

( Monthly Chart )

Now dominating

New Test  FIB RET  61.8%  Psychological Key Level 120.00 Zone 

Rising Wave  from  109.41 to 137.50

( December 2016 – February 2018 )

with

Monthly MACD  Sell Signal

 

ATA Investment Conclusion

JAPAN YEN FUTURES

with

USD/JPY  &  EUR/JPY

Monthly Line Charts

show

F/X  Japan Revenge Strike 

 

YEN   CURRENCY SAFE HAVEN…

that’s why Now

Investors Escape to this  SAFE CURRENCY 

 

JAPAN YEN Present Active Range

Active  Key Levels  

YEN  Fut  0.00945  vs  0.00930

USD/JPY   106.80  vs  108 – 109   

EUR/JPY   120  vs  123.35 

 

 

N – TIMES

Finally …

F/X  Maxim 

Most Important is  Final  Smart Money Reaction….

First…EOD-s 

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now July

 

don’t forget

Chart is Worth more than Thousand Words…

never forget

Risk Strikes Fast…Very Fast…

always remember

JAPAN YEN  is  still  , more than 10 years after Lehman, Special  RISK ON/OFF  Vector  for Wall Street  & other Equities…

15.09.2018 –  Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…

 

 

USD/JPY  Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts :

27.07.2016

29.08.2016

16.09.2016

23.12.2016

10.02.2017

14.04.2017

16.03.2018

usdjpy-m

usdjpy-w

usdjpy-d

20.04.2018

usdjpy-m1

usdjpy-w1

usdjpy-d1

24.04.2018

usdjpy-m2

usdjpy-w2

usdjpy-d2

12.06.2018

usdjpy-m3

usdjpy-w3

usdjpy-d3

13.07.2018

USD-JPY - M

USD-JPY - W

USD-JPY - D

USD-JPY - H4

18.07.2018

USD-JPY-M

USD-JPY-W

USD-JPY-D

USD-JPY-H4

20.07.2018

USD-JPY-M

USD-JPY-W

USD-JPY-D

USD-JPY-H4

24.07.2018

USD-JPY-M

USD-JPY-W

USD-JPY-D

30.07.2018

USD-JPY -M

USD-JPY -W

USD-JPY -D

31.07.2018

USD-JPY -M

USD-JPY -W

USD-JPY -D

3.08.2018

YEN - M

YEN - W

YEN - D

8.08.2018

USDJPY-M

USDJPY-W

USDJPY-D

19.09.2018

USD-JPY-M

USD-JPY-W

USD-JPY-D

2.11.2018 

USD-JPY-MUSD-JPY-WUSD-JPY-D

 

JAPAN YEN FUTURES , USD/JPY & EUR/JPY  Monthly , Weekly & Daily Charts :

16.11.2018 

YEN FUT

USD-JPY-MUSD-JPY-WUSD-JPY-D

EUR-JPY-MEUR-JPY-WEUR-JPY-D

 

USD-JPY-M LineEUR-JPY-M Line

JAPAN YEN FUTURES , USD/JPY & EUR/JPY  Monthly & Weekly  Charts :

17.01.2019

yen fut

usd-jpy-m

usd-jpy-weur-jpy-meur-jpy-wusd-jpy-m lineeur-jpy-m line

JAPAN YEN FUTURES , USD/JPY & EUR/JPY  Monthly  Weekly  & Daily Charts :

10.05.2019 ( before US Session )

YEN FUT - M - Line

YEN FUT - M - Line - Focus

USD-JPY - M

USD-JPY - W

USD-JPY - D

EUR-JPY - M

EUR-JPY - W

USD-JPY - M - Line

EUR-JPY - M - Line

22.07.2019 ( Starting Phase  US Session )

YEN FUT - M - Line

USD-JPY - M

USD-JPY - W

USD-JPY - D

EUR-JPY - M

EUR-JPY - W

EUR-JPY - D

USD-JPY - M - Line

EUR-JPY - M - Line

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