CHINA YIELD – Today on ATA Research Radar
with
ATA Following …
25.05.2019 – YUAN – NEW STRIKE F/X CHINA GREAT WALL…
&
7.07.2019 – GLOBAL DEBT – FLIGHT of the DEBT ICARUS…
13.07.2019 – US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH SCENARIO GOES ON…
with
15.09.2018 – Financial Decade after Lehman Panic…
13.07.2019 – PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index on Shining Wave…
22.07.2019 – SWISS FRANC – GLOBAL RISK OFF SPARK ON HORIZON…
22.07.2019 – YEN – JAPAN RISK OFF ACTION…
CHINA YIELD Present Picture
No Dynamic China Yield Rush
vs
Global Hunting any Positive Yields
with
WATERFALL Patterns
on
Main China & Global Motives
China Slowdown
China GDP Growth at 3 Decade Low even China Stimulus doesn’t Help
China Total Debt ( Government Corporate, Household ) 303% of GDP Q1 2019
China Total Debt over 40 Trillion USD – 15% of All Global Debt
PBoC Active Stimulus Program
China – US Trade War
China – US Currency War
&
Global & US – EU Slowdown & Recession Risk
Global Dovish & Dovisher Central Banks Moves
First…
ATA Tweets…
Second…Present China Yield Situation
China Yield SECULAR SITUATION
ATA MARKET MODEL IN LONG TERM ACTION
ATA MIND OVER MARKETS…
ATA MARKET MODEL :
First…Market Motive…
Second…Market Technical Pattern…
First…Key Motives
above in this text…
Second…Market Technical Patterns
China Yield Secular View
( Monthly Chart )
Wide Master Horizontal Range
5.00 – 4.50% vs 2.70 – 2.60 %.
for Now…
Wave Down but No Rush
after
Activated H&S Pattern – Neckline 3.50%
still above
First…Last Low 3.0705% ( March 2019 )
Second…Key Low 2.60 – 2.70 % ( October 2016 )
ATA Investment Conclusion
China Debt Warning
No Smart Money Run for China Bonds
with
Yield still above Key Level 3.00%
N – TIMES
Finally …
F/X Maxim
Most Important is Final Smart Money Reaction….
First…EOD-s
Second…EOW-s
Final…EOM – Now July
don’t forget
Chart is Worth more than Thousand Words…
never forget
Risk Strikes Fast…Very Fast…
10Y China Bond Yield Monthly Charts
5.07.2019
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