EM CURRENCIES – DXY HOSTAGES…

EM CURRENCIES   –  Back Today on ATA Research Radar 

 

ATA Continuation of…

21.05.2016 – DXY vs EM CURRENCY – JUNE ( JULY ) MARKET FIGHTING ROUND…

7.08.2016 – EMERGING MARKETS STRIKE BACK…

&

16.06.2018  –  DXY – MASTER KEY TO ALL EM DOORS…

17.06.2018  –  DXY – EM Currency Side of American Dollar…

11.08.2018  –  DXY – F/X NORTHERN STAR for EM CURRENCIES…

18.08.2018 –  DXY vs EM CURRENCIES on TURKISH RATING DOUBLE IMPACT…

2.06.2019 –  EM CURRENCIES – SILENCE before the DXY STORM …

with

ATA Following …

DXY Index 

14.07.2019 –  DXY in FED CLINCH…

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO

14.07.2019 –  EUR/USD – Fighting in FED vs ECB Central Shadow…

GOLD – SILVER Vector 

13.07.2019 –  PHLX Gold/Silver Sector Index on Shining Wave…

DEBT Vector 

13.07.2019 –  US 10Y BOND YIELD – AMBUSH SCENARIO GOES ON…

13.07.2019 –  GERMAN BOND YIELD – from Last DEBT RUSH to Real DEBT AMBUSH…

 

 

EM CURRENCIES Master Motives

USD Weakness after Powell Testimony before  FED July Rate Cut 

US PPI Rising 

 

4  MAIN CENTRAL TIMES EASING 

FED –  Rate Cut Cycle Scenario on  Horizon 

ECB –  New TLTRO III  with New QE & Rate Cut Draghi Verbal on Horizon 

SNB & BOJ  NIRP Monetary Policy 

 

TRUMP TRADE WAR  – US Tariffs  &  China Tariffs 

TRUMP – Powell – FED Monetary Policy Conflict 

TRUMP – CURRENCY WAR 

TRUMP CURRENCY MANIPULATIONS CHARGE

EUROZONE – ECB – EURO & CHINA – PBoC – YUAN

 

Global Equities & Bonds Risk 

Global Goverment & Corporate  Debt Mega Danger 

Global & US – EU Slowdown  & Recession Risk

 

RUSSIA & CHINA Buying Gold 

 

IRAN  NORTH KOREA Risks 

RUSSIA – TURKEY S400 System  

RUSSIA – INDIA  S400 System  

Hong Kong Protests – China Political Risk

 

BRICS

 

First…ATA from  2.06.2019

” DXY is Master Key for EM Currencies

with

Super Master Key Level 98 

MSCI Intl Emerging Market EMEA Currency

for Now is much stronger than

MSCI Intl Emerging Market Currency

with

WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy – ETF 

closer tracking

MSCI Intl Emerging Market Currency

What’s Most Important  in these Three Markets

Fibonacci is the King  

Focus carefully FIB RET

 ( Monthly Charts )

Smart Money Strike

First on DXY  – Super Master Key Level 98 

Second on EM Currencies

from Present Consolidation Zone 

( Monthly & Weekly Charts )

shows

EM Currencies  Main Direction…!!!  “

 

 

Second…Present EM CURRENCIES  Situation 

 

 

First…Main Motives

above in this text…

 

Second…Market Technical  Patterns 

DXY – US Dollar index 

Secular View 

first of all

SECULAR ENDING DIAGONAL 

still Active DXY VERDUN  by FED CLINCH 

with

Activated 2B Pattern in  98 – 97.70  Key Levels Zone

after

Two Monthly ( April – May ) Candlesticks with Upper Shadow 

 

Finally  in  Consequence  

June Monthly Bear Large Real Body Candlestick

July so far..Monthly Candlestick with Long Upper Shadow 

vs

still above Key MA

1-st Key Support Zone – 96.50

2-nd Key Support Zone – Low January 2019  

3-rd Key Support Zone – Tops October & November 2017 

Psychological  Key Levels  Zone   96.50 – 96  &  95.50 –  95  

with

still active Monthly MACD Buy Signal 

&

still under Weekly FIB RET 61.% Last Wave Down 

( January 2017 – February 2018 ) 

with

active Weekly MACD Sell Signal 

 

 

MSCI Intl Emerging Market EMEA Currency

New Top in Rising Wave from Main Low September 2018 

June Monthly Large Real Body Candlestick 

after

3 Months Lower Consolidation 

( March, April, May ) 

vs

FIB RET  61.8% All Wave Down 

( February – September 2018 )

with

Active for Now…MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

&

New  Weekly Line Top in Present Wave Up 

with

Activated MACD Weekly Buy Signal 

MSCI Intl Emerging Market Currency

No New Top in Rising Wave from Main Low September 2018 

still under Key Top from January 2019 

vs

June Monthly Large Real Body Candlestick 

after

4 Months Falling Correction 

(  February March, April, May ) 

vs

FIB RET  50 – 56.4% Zone  All Wave Down 

( February – September 2018 )

with

still Active for Now…MACD Monthly Sell Signal 

&

NO New Weekly Line Top in Present Wave Up 

still Testing  Main Top Zone 

with

Activated MACD Weekly Buy Signal 

WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy – ETF 

New Top in Rising Wave from Main Low September 2018 

June Monthly Large Real Body Candlestick 

after

4 Months Falling Correction 

(  February March, April, May ) 

vs

FIB RET  50%  All Wave Down 

( January – September 2018 )

with

Activated MACD Monthly Buy Signal 

&

New  Weekly Line Top in Present Wave Up 

vs

Weekly Inverted Ending Diagonal Pattern 

with

Activated MACD Weekly Buy Signal 

ATA EM Currencies Investment Conclusion 

DXY is Master Key for EM Currencies

with

DXY VERDUN  by FED CLINCH 

Super Master Key Levels  

98 – 97.70   vs  96.50 – 96  &  95.50 –  95  

Most Important  in these 3 EM  Currency Markets

is Fibonacci – the King  

so

Focus carefully

Next Smart Money Strike on  FED July Verdict Motive 

USD – DXY Index 

&

EM CURRENCIES in FIB RET Zones 

( Monthly Charts )

Final Smart Money  Reaction 

shows

EM Currencies Main Direction…!!!

which depends on

Precision Aswer

to

Master  Central Question 

How Deep will be FED Rate Cut…!!???

not only in July FED Meeting…

 

 

First…EOD-s 

Second…EOW-s

Final…EOM – Now July

 

Remember

Chart is Worth more than Thousand Words…!!!

 

 

DXY  &  EM CURRENCY INDEX & ETF   Weekly Charts :

17.06.2018

Your new TVC (10)

Your new TVC (13)

Your new TVC (14)

10.08.2018

DXY-W

EM1 - W

EM2 - W

17.08.2018

DXY -W

MSCI -W

CEW I -W

DXY , MSCI Intl Emerging Market EMEA Currency ,  MSCI Intl Emerging Market Currency & WisdomTree Emerging Currency Strategy Monthly & Weekly Charts :

31.05.2019 

DXY V - M

DXY V - W

EM CURRENCY - EMEA - M

EM CURRENCY - EMEA - W

EM CURRENCY - M

EM CURRENCY - W

CEW - M

CEW - W

12.07.2019 

DXY V - M

DXY V - W

EM CURRENCY - EMEA - M

EM CURRENCY - EMEA - W

EM CURRENCY - M

EM CURRENCY - W

CEW - M

CEW - W

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